The Prediction Markets

Six Nations Champion 2026

Closed
Mar 14, 2026
Traded
$156K
Venues
Polymarket
Share

This market has closed

Trading ended on Mar 14, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 223 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Ireland
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5359 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ireland
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 223 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$45K
Trade this on Polymarket
Scotland
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 5359 h agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Scotland
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 223 d ago
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$46K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 2 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Ireland
  • Scotland

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Six Nations Champion 2026". Ireland last traded at 0.1%. Next is Scotland at 0.1%. $156K has traded across 2 outcomes on Polymarket. The market closed on Mar 14, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 Six Nations Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 Six Nations Championship per the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Six Nations Championship is cancelled, postponed after March 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared champions, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The primary resolution source will be official information from the tournament organizer (https://www.sixnationsrugby.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets