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What the markets expect
SK Rapid 99.5%
Next is SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals at 98%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
SK Rapid99.5%99.5%99¢ bid, 99.9¢ askpolled, 25s agoNot listed99.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $100 (1.00x)SK Rapid99.5%Polymarket 99.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
SK Rapid
99.5%
99.5%
99¢ bid, 99.9¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
Not listed
99.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $100 (1.00x)
SK Rapid
99.5%
Polymarket 99.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 99.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100 (1.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- SK Rapid
- Last price
- 99.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $100 (1.00x)
- Volume
- $1K
SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goalsKalshi: “SK Rapid wins by more than 1.5 goals”98%Not listed98%97¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, 25s ago99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals98%Kalshi 98%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals
Kalshi: “SK Rapid wins by more than 1.5 goals”
98%
Not listed
98%
97¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SK Rapid wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 97¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $171
SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals90%Not listed90%90¢ bid, 92¢ askpolled, 25s ago92¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $109 (1.09x)SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals90%Kalshi 90%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals
90%
Not listed
90%
90¢ bid, 92¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
92¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $109 (1.09x)
SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals
- Last price
- 90%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 92¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $109 (1.09x)
- Volume
- $2K
SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goalsKalshi: “SK Rapid wins by more than 3.5 goals”67%Not listed67%65¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 25s ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals67%Kalshi 67%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals
Kalshi: “SK Rapid wins by more than 3.5 goals”
67%
Not listed
67%
65¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals
67%
Kalshi 67%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SK Rapid wins by more than 3.5 goals
- Last price
- 67%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
- Volume
- $118
SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goalsKalshi: “SK Rapid wins by more than 4.5 goals”49.5%Not listed49.5%1¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 25s ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals
Kalshi: “SK Rapid wins by more than 4.5 goals”
49.5%
Not listed
49.5%
1¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- SK Rapid wins by more than 4.5 goals
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
Lustenau wins by more than 1.5 goals1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 25s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Lustenau wins by more than 1.5 goals1%Kalshi 1%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lustenau wins by more than 1.5 goals
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lustenau wins by more than 1.5 goals
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lustenau wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $300
Lustenau wins by more than 2.5 goals1%Not listed1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 25s ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Lustenau wins by more than 2.5 goals1%Kalshi 1%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lustenau wins by more than 2.5 goals
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lustenau wins by more than 2.5 goals
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lustenau wins by more than 2.5 goals
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $522
Draw (SK Rapid vs. Austria Lustenau)0.8%0.8%0.1¢ bid, 1.5¢ askpolled, 25s agoNot listed1.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)Draw (SK Rapid vs. Austria Lustenau)0.8%Polymarket 0.8%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Draw (SK Rapid vs. Austria Lustenau)
0.8%
0.8%
0.1¢ bid, 1.5¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
Not listed
1.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Draw (SK Rapid vs. Austria Lustenau)
0.8%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Draw (SK Rapid vs. Austria Lustenau)
- Last price
- 0.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $6,667 (66.7x)
- Volume
- $230
Austria Lustenau0.5%0.5%0.1¢ bid, 1¢ askpolled, 25s agoNot listed1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Austria Lustenau0.5%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Austria Lustenau
0.5%
0.5%
0.1¢ bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 25s ago
Not listed
1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Austria Lustenau
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 25s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Austria Lustenau
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $673
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: bundesliga.at
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- SK Rapid
- SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals
- SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Kalshi
Kalshi doesn’t list SK Rapid for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "SK Rapid vs Lustenau: Spread". SK Rapid leads at 99.5%. Next is SK Rapid wins by more than 2.5 goals at 98%. $5K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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