The Prediction Markets

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

Closes
Dec 4, 2026, in 42 days
Traded
$34K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Tate McRae 99%

Next is Cardi B at 95%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Tate McRae
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tate McRae
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
94¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Cardi B
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cardi B
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
Charli xcx
93.5%
Kalshi 93.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Charli xcx
Last price
93.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
88¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Bruno Mars
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bruno Mars
Last price
83%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Ariana Grande
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ariana Grande
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Billie Eilish
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Billie Eilish
Last price
82%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
SZA
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
SZA
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
66¢
Volume
$37
Trade this on Kalshi
The Weeknd
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Weeknd
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
75¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Taylor Swift
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Taylor Swift
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
2¢
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Pepas
63.5%
Polymarket 63.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 66¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pepas
Last price
63.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 31 more outcomes
Don Toliver
58%
Kalshi 58%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Don Toliver
Last price
58%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Bad and Boujee
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bad and Boujee
Last price
53%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Doja Cat
51.5%
Kalshi 51.5%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Doja Cat
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
3¢
Trade this on Kalshi
aespa
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
aespa
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
2¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Beyoncé
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Beyoncé
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
2¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Coldplay
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Coldplay
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
2¢
Trade this on Kalshi
ENHYPEN
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
ENHYPEN
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
2¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Harry Styles
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Harry Styles
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
2¢
Trade this on Kalshi
JENNIE
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
JENNIE
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
2¢
Trade this on Kalshi
LE SSERAFIM
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
LE SSERAFIM
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
2¢
Trade this on Kalshi
ROSÉ
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
ROSÉ
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
2¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Stray Kids
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Stray Kids
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
2¢
Trade this on Kalshi
Drake
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drake
Last price
39%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$187
Trade this on Kalshi
Mask Off
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mask Off
Last price
35%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tyler, The Creator
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyler, The Creator
Last price
31%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
75¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Kalshi
Sicko Mode
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sicko Mode
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Blinding Lights
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Blinding Lights
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sabrina Carpenter
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 1 min ago
Kalshi
Contract
Sabrina Carpenter
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
14¢
Volume
$28
Trade this on Kalshi
God's Plan
21%
Polymarket 21%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
God's Plan
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kendrick Lamar
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kendrick Lamar
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$88
Trade this on Kalshi
Stay
20.2%
Polymarket 20.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $481 (4.81x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stay
Last price
20.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20.8¢
Sell Yes
19.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$481 (4.81x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
KATSEYE
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
KATSEYE
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$61
Trade this on Kalshi
Mo Bamba
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mo Bamba
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$142
Trade this on Polymarket
As It Was
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
As It Was
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Despacito
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Despacito
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
XO Tour Llif3
12.5%
Polymarket 12.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
XO Tour Llif3
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$643
Trade this on Polymarket
Look at Me!
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Look at Me!
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$891
Trade this on Polymarket
Rockstar
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Rockstar
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$797
Trade this on Polymarket
Shape of You
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shape of You
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$220
Trade this on Polymarket
Alex Warren
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alex Warren
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Ed Sheeran
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ed Sheeran
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Rockstar games

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Tate McRae
  • Cardi B
  • Charli xcx

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Tate McRae for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?". Tate McRae leads at 99%. Next is Cardi B at 95%. $34K has traded across 41 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 4, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is confirmed to be included as a playable track on any in-game radio station within Grand Theft Auto VI's base game, as of its initial release on November 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A song counts as included if it can be heard by tuning into any radio station in the base game at launch. Music heard on the title screen or as background/ambient music during gameplay (i.e. not selectable via an in-game radio station) does not count. Songs added later via post-launch updates, DLC, or radio station updates will not count toward resolution. If GTA VI fails to release by December 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source of this market will be Rockstar Games' official announcements regarding GTA VI's in-game radio stations, in-game verification after release, or reliable reporting from credible gaming outlets confirming the in-game radio station tracklists.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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