The Prediction Markets

South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026

Closes
Dec 1, 2026, in 39 days
Traded
$143K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above -0.4% 76.2%

Next is Above 0.0% at 76%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above -0.4%
76.2%
Kalshi 87%polled, 33s agoKalshi 44%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above -0.4%
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
86¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$66
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 0.4%
Last price
44%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 0.0%
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 0.0%
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
Above -0.2%
69.8%
Kalshi 81.5%polled, 33s agoKalshi 58%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 66¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $152 (1.52x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above -0.2%
Last price
81.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
77¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalshi
Contract
Above 0.2%
Last price
58%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$152 (1.52x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
0.6–0.7%
64.9%
Polymarket 64.9%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.6–0.7%
Last price
64.9%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
64.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
0.3% to -0.1%
45%
Polymarket 45%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.3% to -0.1%
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
44¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
0.3%
26.3%
Polymarket 26.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $305 (3.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.3%
Last price
26.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
32.8¢
Sell Yes
19.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$305 (3.05x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
0.0%–0.8%
25.9%
Polymarket 25.9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.0%–0.8%
Last price
25.9%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
24.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Polymarket
0.0% to 0.2%
22%
Polymarket 22%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.0% to 0.2%
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Polymarket
0.8%–0.0%
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.8%–0.0%
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
0.8%–1.6%
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.8%–1.6%
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 21 more outcomes
Above 0.6%
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 0.6%
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$20
Trade this on Kalshi
1.6%– -0.8%
14.8%
Polymarket 14.8%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 17.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $581 (5.81x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.6%– -0.8%
Last price
14.8%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
17.2¢
Sell Yes
12.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$581 (5.81x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
0.8–0.9%
14.7%
Polymarket 14.7%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 19.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $518 (5.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.8–0.9%
Last price
14.7%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
19.3¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$518 (5.18x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
1.6%–2.4%
12.7%
Polymarket 12.7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 19.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $505 (5.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.6%–2.4%
Last price
12.7%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
19.8¢
Sell Yes
5.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$505 (5.05x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
2.4%– -1.6%
9.2%
Polymarket 9.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 17.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $562 (5.62x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.4%– -1.6%
Last price
9.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
17.8¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$562 (5.62x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 1.0%
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.0%
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$372
Trade this on Kalshi
0.2–0.3%
6.3%
Polymarket 6.3%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.2–0.3%
Last price
6.3%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Polymarket
0.4–0.5%
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.4–0.5%
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
2.4%
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $962 (9.62x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.4%
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10.4¢
Sell Yes
1.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$962 (9.62x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 0.8%
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 0.8%
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
2.4%–3.2%
5.4%
Polymarket 5.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.4%–3.2%
Last price
5.4%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 1.2%
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 33s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1.2%
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$13K
Trade this on Kalshi
0.3% to 0.5%
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,538 (15.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.3% to 0.5%
Last price
3.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.5¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,538 (15.4x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
4.0%+
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
4.0%+
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$816
Trade this on Polymarket
3.2%–4.0%
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.2%–4.0%
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
1.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Negative
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Negative
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
1.0%+
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,222 (22.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.0%+
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
4.5¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,222 (22.2x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
0.6% to 0.8%
2.8%
Polymarket 2.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.6% to 0.8%
Last price
2.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$351
Trade this on Polymarket
0.0–0.1%
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,439 (24.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.0–0.1%
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
4.1¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,439 (24.4x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
0.9% to 1.1%
1.9%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
0.9% to 1.1%
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.4¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,941 (29.4x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
1.2%
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
1.2%
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$336
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: esri.cao.go.jp, ons.gov.uk, ibge.gov.br
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Trading Economics

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above -0.4%
  • Above 0.0%
  • Above -0.2%

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above -0.4% for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "South Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026". Above -0.4% leads at 76.2%. Next is Above 0.0% at 76%. $143K has traded across 31 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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