The Prediction Markets

South Africa Premiership: Teams relegated (2026-27)

Closes
Jul 1, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$8K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Marumo Gallants 74%

Next is Richards Bay at 50.4%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Marumo Gallants
74%
Polymarket 74%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marumo Gallants
Last price
74%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$89
Trade this on Polymarket
Richards Bay
50.4%
Polymarket 50.4%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Richards Bay
Last price
50.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$514
Trade this on Polymarket
Chippa United
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chippa United
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
Durban City
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Durban City
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Kaizer Chiefs
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kaizer Chiefs
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polokwane City
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Polokwane City
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Siwelele
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Siwelele
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Stellenbosch
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stellenbosch
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Polymarket
TS Galaxy
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 98.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
TS Galaxy
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
AmaZulu
49.7%
Polymarket 49.7%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 98.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
AmaZulu
Last price
49.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98.3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$24
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 6 more outcomes
Milford
49.2%
Polymarket 49.2%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 97.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milford
Last price
49.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97.3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$121
Trade this on Polymarket
Lamontville Golden Arrows
15.4%
Polymarket 15.4%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 30.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $328 (3.28x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lamontville Golden Arrows
Last price
15.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$328 (3.28x)
Volume
$193
Trade this on Polymarket
Kruger United
12.4%
Polymarket 12.4%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kruger United
Last price
12.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
5.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mamelodi Sundowns
3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mamelodi Sundowns
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Sekhukhune United
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 4.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,326 (23.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sekhukhune United
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.3¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,326 (23.3x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Orlando Pirates
1.7%
Polymarket 1.7%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 3.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,030 (30.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Orlando Pirates
Last price
1.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,030 (30.3x)
Volume
$428
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Marumo Gallants
  • Richards Bay
  • Chippa United

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "South Africa Premiership: Teams relegated (2026-27)". Marumo Gallants leads at 74%. Next is Richards Bay at 50.4%. $8K has traded across 16 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from South Africa Premiership at the conclusion of the 2026-27 South Africa Premiership season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in South Africa Premiership for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 South Africa Premiership, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by South Africa Premiership. If the 2026-27 South Africa Premiership season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from South Africa Premiership. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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