The Prediction Markets

South Korea exports YoY for October

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$186K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 65.0% 96%

Next is 148 at 87%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 65.0%
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 48s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 65.0%
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$11
Trade this on Kalshi
148
87%
Polymarket 87%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Polymarket
Contract
148
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
76¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$850
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 70.0%
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 48s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 70.0%
Last price
87%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
60¢
Volume
$400
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 75.0%
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 48s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 75.0%
Last price
86%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$202
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 85.0%
75%
Kalshi 75%polled, 48s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 85.0%
Last price
75%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$83
Trade this on Kalshi
158
53.5%
Polymarket 53.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
158
Last price
53.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
152
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
152
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
160
52%
Polymarket 52%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 93¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
160
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
93¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$108 (1.08x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
144
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
144
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
154
51%
Polymarket 51%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
154
Last price
51%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 39 more outcomes
142
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
Contract
142
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$447
Trade this on Polymarket
146
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
146
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$122
Trade this on Polymarket
156
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
156
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 80.0%
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 48s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 80.0%
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
50¢
Volume
$731
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 90.0%
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 48s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 90.0%
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 100.0%
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 48s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 100.0%
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 105.0%
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 48s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 105.0%
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Kalshi
162
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 87¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $115 (1.15x)
Polymarket
Contract
162
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
87¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$115 (1.15x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
164
44%
Polymarket 44%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
164
Last price
44%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
166
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 67¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
166
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
67¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$149 (1.49x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
140
38%
Polymarket 38%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
140
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
172
36.5%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
172
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
138
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
138
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$449
Trade this on Polymarket
2.5–2.9%
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.5–2.9%
Last price
30.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
3.0–3.4%
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.0–3.4%
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Polymarket
174
27%
Polymarket 27%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
174
Last price
27%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 95.0%
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 95.0%
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$251
Trade this on Kalshi
170
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
170
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
2.0–2.4%
14%
Polymarket 14%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.0–2.4%
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
168
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
168
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
192
12.8%
Polymarket 12.8%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 24.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $408 (4.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
192
Last price
12.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24.5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$408 (4.08x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
3.5–3.9%
11.3%
Polymarket 11.3%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
3.5–3.9%
Last price
11.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
2.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
184
7.5%
Polymarket 7.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
184
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
180
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
180
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
176
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
176
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
178
6.1%
Polymarket 6.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 10.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $962 (9.62x)
Polymarket
Contract
178
Last price
6.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10.4¢
Sell Yes
1.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$962 (9.62x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
2.0%
5.1%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
2.0%
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
186
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
186
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
182
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
182
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
188
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
188
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
194
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
194
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.7¢
Sell Yes
2.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,493 (14.9x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
196
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
196
Last price
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,389 (13.9x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
190
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
190
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
198
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
198
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
4.0–4.4%
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
4.0–4.4%
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
200
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
200
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
202
1.3%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 1.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,250 (62.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
202
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,250 (62.5x)
Volume
$898
Trade this on Polymarket
4.5–4.9%
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
4.5–4.9%
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
5.0%+
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 48s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
5.0%+
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: pythdata.app, bok.or.kr
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Trading Economics

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 65.0%
  • 148
  • Above 70.0%

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 65.0% for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (economics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "South Korea exports YoY for October". Above 65.0% leads at 96%. Next is 148 at 87%. $186K has traded across 49 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 31, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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