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Trading ended on Jul 27, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 125 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Mikel Oyarzabal37%37%7¢ bid, 36¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago36¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $278 (2.78x)Mikel Oyarzabal37%Kalshi 37%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Mikel Oyarzabal
37%
37%
7¢ bid, 36¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
36¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Mikel Oyarzabal
37%
Kalshi 37%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mikel Oyarzabal
- Last price
- 37%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 36¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $278 (2.78x)
- Volume
- $2K
Lamine Yamal32%32%7¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Lamine Yamal32%Kalshi 32%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Lamine Yamal
32%
32%
7¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Lamine Yamal
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lamine Yamal
- Last price
- 32%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $3K
Dani Olmo14%14%4¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Dani Olmo14%Kalshi 14%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Dani Olmo
14%
14%
4¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Dani Olmo
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dani Olmo
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $416
Nico Williams14%14%1¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Nico Williams14%Kalshi 14%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Nico Williams
14%
14%
1¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Nico Williams
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nico Williams
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $119
Fabian Ruiz13%13%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Fabian Ruiz13%Kalshi 13%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Fabian Ruiz
13%
13%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Fabian Ruiz
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fabian Ruiz
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $226
Gavi12%12%— bid, 12¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Gavi12%Kalshi 12%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Gavi
12%
12%
— bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Gavi
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gavi
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $157
Mikel Merino11%11%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Mikel Merino11%Kalshi 11%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Mikel Merino
11%
11%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Mikel Merino
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mikel Merino
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $166
Alex Baena7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Alex Baena7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Alex Baena
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Alex Baena
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alex Baena
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Borja Iglesias7.5%7.5%— bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Borja Iglesias7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Borja Iglesias
7.5%
7.5%
— bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Borja Iglesias
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Borja Iglesias
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Alex Grimaldo7%7%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Alex Grimaldo7%Kalshi 7%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Alex Grimaldo
7%
7%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Alex Grimaldo
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alex Grimaldo
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $134
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
Pedri7%7%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Pedri7%Kalshi 7%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Pedri
7%
7%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Pedri
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pedri
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $132
Marcos Llorente5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Marcos Llorente5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Marcos Llorente
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Marcos Llorente
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marcos Llorente
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Martin Zubimendi5%5%— bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Martin Zubimendi5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Martin Zubimendi
5%
5%
— bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Martin Zubimendi
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Martin Zubimendi
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
Aymeric Laporte4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Aymeric Laporte4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Aymeric Laporte
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Aymeric Laporte
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aymeric Laporte
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Marc Cucurella4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Marc Cucurella4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Marc Cucurella
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Marc Cucurella
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marc Cucurella
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Pedro Porro4.5%4.5%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Pedro Porro4.5%Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Pedro Porro
4.5%
4.5%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Pedro Porro
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pedro Porro
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
No Goalscorer4%4%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)No Goalscorer4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
No Goalscorer
4%
4%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
No Goalscorer
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- No Goalscorer
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $796
Pau Cubarsi4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Pau Cubarsi4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Pau Cubarsi
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Pau Cubarsi
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pau Cubarsi
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $117
Rodri4%4%— bid, 8¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Rodri4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Rodri
4%
4%
— bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Rodri
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Rodri
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
Eric Garcia3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Eric Garcia3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Eric Garcia
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Eric Garcia
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Eric Garcia
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Marc Pubill3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Marc Pubill3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Marc Pubill
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Marc Pubill
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marc Pubill
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Victor Munoz3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Victor Munoz3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Victor Munoz
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Victor Munoz
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Victor Munoz
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Yeremy Pino3.5%3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Yeremy Pino3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Yeremy Pino
3.5%
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Yeremy Pino
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Yeremy Pino
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Ferran Torres3%3%3¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 3019 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Ferran Torres3%Kalshi 3%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Ferran Torres
3%
3%
3¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 3019 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Ferran Torres
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 3019 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ferran Torres
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 125 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $2K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIFA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Mikel Oyarzabal
- Lamine Yamal
- Dani Olmo
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Spain: Goal Leader". Mikel Oyarzabal last traded at 37%. Next is Lamine Yamal at 32%. $8K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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