The Prediction Markets

Spirit Academy vs. Inner Circle Academy

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$20K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Spirit Academy 65%

Next is Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 50%. The venues differ most on Inner Circle Academy (Polymarket 38.5%, Kalshi 34%), a 4.5-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Spirit Academy
65%
Kalshi 65%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
Contract
Spirit Academy
Last price
65%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 41s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
47¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 41s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 2 Winner
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 2 Winner
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$45
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 2.5 Games
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 2.5 Games
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Map Handicap: TS.A (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+1.5)
42.5%
Polymarket 42.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map Handicap: TS.A (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Academy (+1.5)
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$162
Trade this on Polymarket
Inner Circle AcademyArb
37.4%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 41s agoKalshi 34%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
Contract
Match Winner
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Inner Circle Academy
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$137
Trade this on Kalshi
Partial parity

Payoffs match in ordinary outcomes; see the rule differences below the table.

Buying on Kalshi at 34¢ and selling on Polymarket at 38¢ nets 400 bps before fees.

Map 1 Winner
35.5%
Polymarket 35.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map 1 Winner
Last price
35.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$9
Trade this on Polymarket
Map Handicap: IC.A (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5)
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 41s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
Map Handicap: IC.A (-1.5) vs Spirit Academy (+1.5)
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Volume
$109
Trade this on Polymarket

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Inner Circle Academy on Kalshi at 34¢, sell on Polymarket at 38¢ (400 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: two differences

Where they differ

  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: kick.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: B03, HLTV, Gamers World
Show full rule comparison
  • If the game is postponed: Kalshi resolves to a fair price if the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time; Polymarket stays open until the game is played and resolves 50-50 only if it is cancelled with no make-up.
  • Trading closes Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 25, 2026, 11:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Spirit Academy
  • Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
  • Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Spirit Academy for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Spirit Academy vs. Inner Circle Academy". Spirit Academy leads at 65%. Next is Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 at 50%. $20K has traded across 10 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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