The Prediction Markets

Stade Brest 29 vs OGC Nice: 1st Half Correct Score

Starts in 9 daysKickoff
Traded
$21K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Any Other Score 30%

Next is OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901 at 30%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Any Other Score
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
Any Other Score
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$20K
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 4 - 3 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 4 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 5 - 3 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 0 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 1 - 4 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 2 - 3 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 5 - 0 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 5 - 4 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 42 more outcomes
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 1 - 3 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 3 - 0 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 0 - 3 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 4 - 0 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 1 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 2 - 4 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 0 - 0 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 5 - 1 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 2 - 0 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 0 - 4 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
30%
Polymarket 30%polled, just nowBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 4 - 1 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
30%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw 1H 0-0
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Draw 1H 0-0
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stade Brest 29 wins 1H 1-0
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stade Brest 29 wins 1H 1-0
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stade Brest 29 wins 1H 3-0
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stade Brest 29 wins 1H 3-2
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Kalshi
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
OGC Nice wins 1H 3-2
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
OGC Nice wins 1H 1-0
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Draw 1H 1-1
11.5%
Kalshi 11.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Draw 1H 1-1
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 13¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 1 - 1 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 1 - 2 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 3 - 1 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 4 - 2 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 3 - 2 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 2 - 1 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 2 - 2 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 0 - 1 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 4 - 4 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 2 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 1 - 0 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 3 - 3 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 5 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Stade Brest 29 wins 1H 2-0
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stade Brest 29 wins 1H 2-0
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 5 - 2 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
4%
Polymarket 4%polled, just nowBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 3 - 4 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 7.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,389 (13.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
OGC Nice 0 - 2 Stade Rennais FC 1901
Last price
3.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,389 (13.9x)
Trade this on Polymarket
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
OGC Nice wins 1H 2-0
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stade Brest 29 wins 1H 2-0
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stade Brest 29 wins 1H 2-1
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
OGC Nice wins 1H 2-1
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Draw 1H 2-2
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Draw 1H 2-2
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$948
Trade this on Kalshi
Stade Brest 29 wins 1H 3-0
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stade Brest 29 wins 1H 3-0
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$400
Trade this on Kalshi
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
OGC Nice wins 1H 3-1
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
OGC Nice wins 1H 3-0
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stade Brest 29 wins 1H 3-0
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stade Brest 29 wins 1H 3-1
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 4 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: ligue1.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: FIFA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Any Other Score
  • OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901
  • OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Any Other Score for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Stade Brest 29 vs OGC Nice: 1st Half Correct Score". Any Other Score leads at 30%. Next is OGC Nice 3 - 5 Stade Rennais FC 1901 at 30%. $21K has traded across 52 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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