Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
This market has closed
Trading ended on Oct 13, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 15 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Dota 242.5%42.5%5¢ bid, 80¢ askpolled, 373 h ago80¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $125 (1.25x)Dota 242.5%Kalshi 42.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Dota 2
42.5%
42.5%
5¢ bid, 80¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
80¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Dota 2
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dota 2
- Last price
- 42.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 80¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $125 (1.25x)
Gears of War: E-Day35%35%17¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 373 h ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Gears of War: E-Day35%Kalshi 35%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Gears of War: E-Day
35%
35%
17¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Gears of War: E-Day
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gears of War: E-Day
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $226
STAR WARS: Galactic Racer™35%35%7¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 373 h ago35¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $286 (2.86x)STAR WARS: Galactic Racer™35%Kalshi 35%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
STAR WARS: Galactic Racer™
35%
35%
7¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
35¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
STAR WARS: Galactic Racer™
35%
Kalshi 35%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- STAR WARS: Galactic Racer™
- Last price
- 35%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $103
Counter-Strike 230%30%4¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 373 h ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Counter-Strike 230%Kalshi 30%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Counter-Strike 2
30%
30%
4¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Counter-Strike 2
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Counter-Strike 2
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $49
AION 211%11%3¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 373 h ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)AION 211%Kalshi 11%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
AION 2
11%
11%
3¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
AION 2
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- AION 2
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
WARDOGS11%11%2¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 373 h ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)WARDOGS11%Kalshi 11%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
WARDOGS
11%
11%
2¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
WARDOGS
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- WARDOGS
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Cyberpunk 20775%5%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 373 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Cyberpunk 20775%Kalshi 5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cyberpunk 2077
5%
5%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Cyberpunk 2077
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cyberpunk 2077
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $18
ACE COMBAT 8: WINGS OF THEVE1.5%1.5%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 373 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)ACE COMBAT 8: WINGS OF THEVE1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
ACE COMBAT 8: WINGS OF THEVE
1.5%
1.5%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
ACE COMBAT 8: WINGS OF THEVE
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- ACE COMBAT 8: WINGS OF THEVE
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Dressmaker1.5%1.5%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 373 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Dressmaker1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Dressmaker
1.5%
1.5%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Dressmaker
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dressmaker
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Marvel Rivals1.5%1.5%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 373 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Marvel Rivals1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Marvel Rivals
1.5%
1.5%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Marvel Rivals
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marvel Rivals
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Show 11 more outcomesHide 11 outcomes
Steam Deck1.5%1.5%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 373 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Steam Deck1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Steam Deck
1.5%
1.5%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Steam Deck
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Steam Deck
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
Warframe1.5%1.5%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 373 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Warframe1.5%Kalshi 1.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Warframe
1.5%
1.5%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Warframe
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Warframe
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
American Truck Simulator1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 373 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)American Truck Simulator1%Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
American Truck Simulator
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
American Truck Simulator
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- American Truck Simulator
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Aniimo1%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 373 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Aniimo1%Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Aniimo
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Aniimo
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aniimo
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $50
Destiny 21%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 373 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Destiny 21%Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Destiny 2
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Destiny 2
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Destiny 2
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $7K
Minecraft Dungeons II1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 373 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Minecraft Dungeons II1%Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Minecraft Dungeons II
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Minecraft Dungeons II
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minecraft Dungeons II
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $9K
Nivalis Nights1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 373 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Nivalis Nights1%Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nivalis Nights
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Nivalis Nights
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Nivalis Nights
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 373 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege1%Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Transport Fever 31%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 373 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Transport Fever 31%Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Transport Fever 3
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Transport Fever 3
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Transport Fever 3
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 21%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 373 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 21%Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Warhammer 40,000: Space Marine 2
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Wuthering Waves1%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 373 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Wuthering Waves1%Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Wuthering Waves
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 373 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Wuthering Waves
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 373 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Wuthering Waves
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 15 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Steam Weekly Top Sellers
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Dota 2
- Gears of War: E-Day
- STAR WARS: Galactic Racer™
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Steam: Weekly Top Seller ". Dota 2 last traded at 42.5%. Next is Gears of War: E-Day at 35%. $34K has traded across 21 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 13, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More culture markets
See all culture markets- New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?March 31, 20275.5%$30.9M traded
- Highest grossing movie in 2026?Spider-Man: Brand New Day93.5%$17.8M traded
- Oscar for Best Picture?The Odyssey46%$10.0M traded
- Dancing with the Stars Season 35 · WinnerEzra Frech58%$5.0M traded
- GTA 6 release date?Before July 202799%$3.7M traded
- Who will be the next James Bond?Jack Lowden62%$2.7M traded