The Prediction Markets

STRC hits $100 by…

Closes
Nov 1, 2026, in 9 days
Traded
$1.4M
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

December 31 73.9%

Next is November 30 at 57.2%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
December 31
73.9%
Polymarket 73.9%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 75.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
December 31
Last price
73.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
75.3¢
Sell Yes
72.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$133 (1.33x)
Volume
$486K
Trade this on Polymarket
November 30
57.2%
Polymarket 57.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 66.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $151 (1.51x)
Polymarket
Contract
November 30
Last price
57.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
66.4¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$151 (1.51x)
Volume
$40K
Trade this on Polymarket
October 31
14.5%
Polymarket 14.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
October 31
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$36K
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: tradingview.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • December 31
  • November 30
  • October 31

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "STRC hits $100 by…". December 31 leads at 73.9%. Next is November 30 at 57.2%. $1.4M has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any TradingView 1 minute candle for STRC between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, has a final “High” value of at least $100. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is TradingView, specifically the STRC “High” values available at https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ%3ASTRC, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. If, on the listed date at 11:59 PM ET, price data is unavailable from TradingView for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and MarketWatch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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