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What the markets expect
Ermedin Demirovic: 1+ 99%
Next is Ermedin Demirovic: 2+ at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Ermedin Demirovic: 1+99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askErmedin Demirovic: 1+99%Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Ermedin Demirovic: 1+
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Ermedin Demirovic: 1+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ermedin Demirovic: 1+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $3K
Ermedin Demirovic: 2+99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askErmedin Demirovic: 2+99%Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Ermedin Demirovic: 2+
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Ermedin Demirovic: 2+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ermedin Demirovic: 2+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $222
Joe Scally: 1+99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askJoe Scally: 1+99%Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Joe Scally: 1+
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Joe Scally: 1+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Scally: 1+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $627
Shuto Machino: 1+99%99%99¢ bid, — askpolled, just nowNo askShuto Machino: 1+99%Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Shuto Machino: 1+
99%
99%
99¢ bid, — ask
polled, just now
No ask
Shuto Machino: 1+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just now
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shuto Machino: 1+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- —
- Sell Yes
- 99¢
- Volume
- $768
Wael Mohya: 1+99%99%80¢ bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Wael Mohya: 1+99%Kalshi 99%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Wael Mohya: 1+
99%
99%
80¢ bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Wael Mohya: 1+
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Wael Mohya: 1+
- Last price
- 99%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $1
Chris Fuhrich: 2+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Chris Fuhrich: 2+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Chris Fuhrich: 2+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Chris Fuhrich: 2+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Fuhrich: 2+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Daiki Hashioka: 1+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Daiki Hashioka: 1+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Daiki Hashioka: 1+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Daiki Hashioka: 1+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daiki Hashioka: 1+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Florian Neuhaus: 2+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Florian Neuhaus: 2+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Florian Neuhaus: 2+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Florian Neuhaus: 2+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Florian Neuhaus: 2+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Joe Scally: 2+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Joe Scally: 2+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Joe Scally: 2+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Joe Scally: 2+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Scally: 2+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Lukas Ullrich: 1+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Lukas Ullrich: 1+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Lukas Ullrich: 1+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Lukas Ullrich: 1+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lukas Ullrich: 1+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Show 31 more outcomesHide 31 outcomes
Maximilian Mittelstadt: 2+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Maximilian Mittelstadt: 2+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Maximilian Mittelstadt: 2+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Maximilian Mittelstadt: 2+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Maximilian Mittelstadt: 2+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Philipp Sander: 1+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Philipp Sander: 1+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Philipp Sander: 1+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Philipp Sander: 1+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philipp Sander: 1+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Shuto Machino: 2+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Shuto Machino: 2+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Shuto Machino: 2+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Shuto Machino: 2+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shuto Machino: 2+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Shuto Machino: 3+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Shuto Machino: 3+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Shuto Machino: 3+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Shuto Machino: 3+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shuto Machino: 3+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Wael Mohya: 2+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Wael Mohya: 2+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Wael Mohya: 2+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Wael Mohya: 2+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Wael Mohya: 2+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Zento Uno: 1+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Zento Uno: 1+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Zento Uno: 1+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Zento Uno: 1+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zento Uno: 1+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Zento Uno: 2+49.5%49.5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Zento Uno: 2+49.5%Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Zento Uno: 2+
49.5%
49.5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Zento Uno: 2+
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zento Uno: 2+
- Last price
- 49.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
Florian Neuhaus: 1+15%15%— bid, 90¢ askpolled, just now90¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $111 (1.11x)Florian Neuhaus: 1+15%Kalshi 15%polled, just nowBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Florian Neuhaus: 1+
15%
15%
— bid, 90¢ ask
polled, just now
90¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Florian Neuhaus: 1+
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, just nowBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Florian Neuhaus: 1+
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 90¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $111 (1.11x)
- Volume
- $1
Maximilian Mittelstadt: 1+15%15%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Maximilian Mittelstadt: 1+15%Kalshi 15%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Maximilian Mittelstadt: 1+
15%
15%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Maximilian Mittelstadt: 1+
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Maximilian Mittelstadt: 1+
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $12
Angelo Stiller: 1+7%7%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Angelo Stiller: 1+7%Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Angelo Stiller: 1+
7%
7%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Angelo Stiller: 1+
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Angelo Stiller: 1+
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $73
Ramon Hendriks: 1+5%5%— bid, 99¢ askpolled, just now99¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $101 (1.01x)Ramon Hendriks: 1+5%Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ramon Hendriks: 1+
5%
5%
— bid, 99¢ ask
polled, just now
99¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Ramon Hendriks: 1+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, just nowBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ramon Hendriks: 1+
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 99¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $101 (1.01x)
- Volume
- $10
Atakan Karazor: 1+1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Atakan Karazor: 1+1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Atakan Karazor: 1+
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Atakan Karazor: 1+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atakan Karazor: 1+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Bilal El Khannouss: 1+1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Bilal El Khannouss: 1+1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bilal El Khannouss: 1+
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bilal El Khannouss: 1+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bilal El Khannouss: 1+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2
Chris Fuhrich: 1+1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Chris Fuhrich: 1+1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chris Fuhrich: 1+
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Chris Fuhrich: 1+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chris Fuhrich: 1+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $247
Deniz Undav: 1+1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Deniz Undav: 1+1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Deniz Undav: 1+
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Deniz Undav: 1+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Deniz Undav: 1+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $414
Dzenan Pejcinovic: 1+1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Dzenan Pejcinovic: 1+1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dzenan Pejcinovic: 1+
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dzenan Pejcinovic: 1+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dzenan Pejcinovic: 1+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $991
Dzenan Pejcinovic: 2+1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Dzenan Pejcinovic: 2+1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dzenan Pejcinovic: 2+
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dzenan Pejcinovic: 2+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dzenan Pejcinovic: 2+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $95
Ermedin Demirovic: 3+1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Ermedin Demirovic: 3+1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ermedin Demirovic: 3+
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Ermedin Demirovic: 3+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ermedin Demirovic: 3+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $139
Finn Jeltsch: 1+1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Finn Jeltsch: 1+1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Finn Jeltsch: 1+
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Finn Jeltsch: 1+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Finn Jeltsch: 1+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $10
Hugo Bolin: 1+1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Hugo Bolin: 1+1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hugo Bolin: 1+
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hugo Bolin: 1+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hugo Bolin: 1+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $266
Jamie Leweling: 1+1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jamie Leweling: 1+1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jamie Leweling: 1+
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jamie Leweling: 1+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jamie Leweling: 1+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $89
Leo Sauer: 1+1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Leo Sauer: 1+1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Leo Sauer: 1+
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Leo Sauer: 1+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Leo Sauer: 1+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $583
Lorenz Assignon: 1+1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Lorenz Assignon: 1+1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lorenz Assignon: 1+
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Lorenz Assignon: 1+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lorenz Assignon: 1+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $90
Robin Hack: 1+1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Robin Hack: 1+1%Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Robin Hack: 1+
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Robin Hack: 1+
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Robin Hack: 1+
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Dzenan Pejcinovic: 3+0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Dzenan Pejcinovic: 3+0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dzenan Pejcinovic: 3+
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dzenan Pejcinovic: 3+
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dzenan Pejcinovic: 3+
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Fabio Chiarodia: 1+0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Fabio Chiarodia: 1+0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Fabio Chiarodia: 1+
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Fabio Chiarodia: 1+
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fabio Chiarodia: 1+
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Grischa Promel: 1+0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Grischa Promel: 1+0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Grischa Promel: 1+
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Grischa Promel: 1+
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Grischa Promel: 1+
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Hugo Bolin: 2+0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Hugo Bolin: 2+0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hugo Bolin: 2+
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hugo Bolin: 2+
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hugo Bolin: 2+
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Hugo Bolin: 3+0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Hugo Bolin: 3+0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hugo Bolin: 3+
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Hugo Bolin: 3+
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hugo Bolin: 3+
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Leo Sauer: 2+0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Leo Sauer: 2+0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Leo Sauer: 2+
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Leo Sauer: 2+
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Leo Sauer: 2+
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Leo Sauer: 3+0.5%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, just now1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Leo Sauer: 3+0.5%Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Leo Sauer: 3+
0.5%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, just now
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Leo Sauer: 3+
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Leo Sauer: 3+
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Ermedin Demirovic: 1+
- Ermedin Demirovic: 2+
- Joe Scally: 1+
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Stuttgart vs M´gladbach: Goalscorer". Ermedin Demirovic: 1+ leads at 99%. Next is Ermedin Demirovic: 2+ at 99%. $7K has traded across 41 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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