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What the markets expect
Eyüpspor 67.5%
Next is Gençlerbirliği at 49%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Eyüpspor67.5%67.5%62¢ bid, 73¢ askpolled, 50s ago73¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $137 (1.37x)Eyüpspor67.5%Polymarket 67.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Eyüpspor
67.5%
67.5%
62¢ bid, 73¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
73¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Eyüpspor
67.5%
Polymarket 67.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Eyüpspor
- Last price
- 67.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 73¢
- Sell Yes
- 62¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $137 (1.37x)
- Volume
- $5K
Gençlerbirliği49%49%36¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 50s ago62¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Gençlerbirliği49%Polymarket 49%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Gençlerbirliği
49%
49%
36¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
62¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Gençlerbirliği
49%
Polymarket 49%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gençlerbirliği
- Last price
- 49%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 36¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $657
Konyaspor41.5%41.5%41¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 50s ago42¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Konyaspor41.5%Polymarket 41.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Konyaspor
41.5%
41.5%
41¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
42¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Konyaspor
41.5%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Konyaspor
- Last price
- 41.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 41¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $619
Gaziantep39.5%39.5%38¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 50s ago41¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Gaziantep39.5%Polymarket 39.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Gaziantep
39.5%
39.5%
38¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
41¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Gaziantep
39.5%
Polymarket 39.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gaziantep
- Last price
- 39.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
- Volume
- $1K
Samsunspor33.5%33.5%33¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 50s ago34¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Samsunspor33.5%Polymarket 33.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Samsunspor
33.5%
33.5%
33¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
34¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Samsunspor
33.5%
Polymarket 33.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Samsunspor
- Last price
- 33.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $597
Alanyaspor23%23%2¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 50s ago44¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Alanyaspor23%Polymarket 23%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Alanyaspor
23%
23%
2¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
44¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Alanyaspor
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alanyaspor
- Last price
- 23%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
Kocaelispor22%22%21¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 50s ago23¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Kocaelispor22%Polymarket 22%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kocaelispor
22%
22%
21¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
23¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kocaelispor
22%
Polymarket 22%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kocaelispor
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $195
Erzurumspor18.5%18.5%2¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 50s ago35¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $286 (2.86x)Erzurumspor18.5%Polymarket 18.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Erzurumspor
18.5%
18.5%
2¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
35¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Erzurumspor
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Erzurumspor
- Last price
- 18.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $4K
Trabzonspor18.5%18.5%10¢ bid, 27¢ askpolled, 50s ago27¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $370 (3.70x)Trabzonspor18.5%Polymarket 18.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Trabzonspor
18.5%
18.5%
10¢ bid, 27¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
27¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Trabzonspor
18.5%
Polymarket 18.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Trabzonspor
- Last price
- 18.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 27¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $370 (3.70x)
- Volume
- $655
Fenerbahçe17.6%17.6%1.1¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 50s ago34¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Fenerbahçe17.6%Polymarket 17.6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Fenerbahçe
17.6%
17.6%
1.1¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
34¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Fenerbahçe
17.6%
Polymarket 17.6%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Fenerbahçe
- Last price
- 17.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Show 8 more outcomesHide 8 outcomes
Başakşehir17.5%17.5%10¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 50s ago25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Başakşehir17.5%Polymarket 17.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Başakşehir
17.5%
17.5%
10¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Başakşehir
17.5%
Polymarket 17.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Başakşehir
- Last price
- 17.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $305
orum F.K.16.5%16.5%15¢ bid, 18¢ askpolled, 50s ago18¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $556 (5.56x)orum F.K.16.5%Polymarket 16.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
orum F.K.
16.5%
16.5%
15¢ bid, 18¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
18¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $556 (5.56x)
orum F.K.
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- orum F.K.
- Last price
- 16.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $556 (5.56x)
- Volume
- $2K
Kasımpaşa13%13%1¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 50s ago25¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Kasımpaşa13%Polymarket 13%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kasımpaşa
13%
13%
1¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
25¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kasımpaşa
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kasımpaşa
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $21
aykur Rizespor12%12%1¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 50s ago23¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $435 (4.35x)aykur Rizespor12%Polymarket 12%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
aykur Rizespor
12%
12%
1¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
23¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
aykur Rizespor
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- aykur Rizespor
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Göztepe7%7%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 50s ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Göztepe7%Polymarket 7%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Göztepe
7%
7%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Göztepe
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Göztepe
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $3K
Amedspor6.5%6.5%4¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 50s ago9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Amedspor6.5%Polymarket 6.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Amedspor
6.5%
6.5%
4¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Amedspor
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Amedspor
- Last price
- 6.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $856
Beşiktaş3.5%3.5%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 50s ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Beşiktaş3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Beşiktaş
3.5%
3.5%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Beşiktaş
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Beşiktaş
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $470
Galatasaray3.1%3.1%1.1¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 50s ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Galatasaray3.1%Polymarket 3.1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Galatasaray
3.1%
3.1%
1.1¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 50s ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Galatasaray
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Galatasaray
- Last price
- 3.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 1.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $123
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Eyüpspor
- Gençlerbirliği
- Konyaspor
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Süper Lig: Teams relegated (2026-27)". Eyüpspor leads at 67.5%. Next is Gençlerbirliği at 49%. $21K has traded across 18 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is relegated from Süper Lig at the conclusion of the 2026-27 Süper Lig season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Official relegation is defined as a team losing its place in Süper Lig for the following season through their final standing in the 2026-27 Süper Lig, via relegation playoff defeat, or by any other official league decision recognized by Süper Lig. If the 2026-27 Süper Lig season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for relegation within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official announcements from Süper Lig. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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