The Prediction Markets

Taca de Portugal Champion

Closes
Jun 13, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$7K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Sporting CP 80%

Next is SL Benfica at 76%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Sporting CP
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sporting CP
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
SL Benfica
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
SL Benfica
Last price
76%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Volume
$22
Trade this on Kalshi
AVS
41.5%
Kalshi 41.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
AVS
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Braga
41.5%
Kalshi 41.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Braga
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Famalicao
41.5%
Kalshi 41.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Famalicao
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Porto
41.5%
Kalshi 41.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Porto
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Alverca
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alverca
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Arouca
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arouca
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Casa Pia
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Casa Pia
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Estoril
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Estoril
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 10 more outcomes
Estrela Amadora
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Estrela Amadora
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Guimaraes
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Guimaraes
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Madeira
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Madeira
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Moreirense
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Moreirense
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Nacional
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nacional
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Rio Ave
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rio Ave
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Santa Clara Azores
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Santa Clara Azores
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Tondela
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tondela
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Vicente Barcelos
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vicente Barcelos
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi
Viseu
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Viseu
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Sporting CP
  • SL Benfica
  • AVS

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Taca de Portugal Champion". Sporting CP leads at 80%. Next is SL Benfica at 76%. $7K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 13, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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