The Prediction Markets

Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee: First Inning Run

LiveKickoff In play now; prices move fast
Traded
$1.4M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) 82.5%

Next is Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 51.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

1 of 33 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
82.5%
Polymarket 82.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
Last price
82.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
82¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Volume
$56K
Trade this on Polymarket
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
51.5%
Polymarket 51.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Last price
51.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 7.5
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 27s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 7.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
1¢
Trade this on Polymarket
Extra Innings
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 27s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Extra Innings
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Volume
$50
Trade this on Polymarket
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 6.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 6.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 6.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 27s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 6.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 7.5
50%
Polymarket 50%polled, 27s ago
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 7.5
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
—
Trade this on Polymarket
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 5.5
48.5%
Polymarket 48.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 5.5
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$149
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 4.5
47.5%
Polymarket 47.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 4.5
Last price
47.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
NRFI
45%
Polymarket 41.5%polled, 2 min agoPolymarket 48.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Polymarket
Contract
NRFI
Last price
41.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
NRFI
Last price
48.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 21 more outcomes
Over 0.5 runs
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Over 0.5 runs
Last price
41%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 3.5
32.5%
Polymarket 32.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 3.5
Last price
32.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$114
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 25.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $386 (3.86x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25.9¢
Sell Yes
22.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$386 (3.86x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 5.5
22.5%
Polymarket 22.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 5.5
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$18K
Trade this on Polymarket
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 4.5
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 4.5
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$194
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 6.5
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 6.5
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$356K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Polymarket
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers
14.1%
Polymarket 4.8%live, just nowPolymarket 42%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Price
4.8%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
4.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$918K
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Last price
42%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
41¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.5
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.5
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)
12.4%
Polymarket 12.4%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 13.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $719 (7.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)
Last price
12.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.9¢
Sell Yes
10.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$719 (7.19x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)
12.4%
Polymarket 12.4%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 24.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $405 (4.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)
Last price
12.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$405 (4.05x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.5
11.5%
Polymarket 11.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.5
Last price
11.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 4.5
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 4.5
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$144
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 7.5
7.6%
Polymarket 7.6%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 7.5
Last price
7.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$9K
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)
6.5%
Polymarket 6.5%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$590
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 8.5
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 5.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,754 (17.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 8.5
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,754 (17.5x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 9.5
2.1%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 9.5
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$921
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)
1.4%
Polymarket 1.4%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)
Last price
1.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$770
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)
0.9%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 27s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: mlb.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
  • Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
  • Milwaukee Brewers O/U 7.5

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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Kalshi

Kalshi doesn’t list Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) for this event.

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee: First Inning Run". Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) leads at 82.5%. Next is Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays at 51.5%. $1.4M has traded across 31 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 28, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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