The Prediction Markets

Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee: Strikeouts

Starts in 26 hKickoff
Traded
$120K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Jacob Misiorowski: 4+ 92%

Next is Drew Rasmussen: 4+ at 84%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

1 of 57 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Jacob Misiorowski: 4+
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 92¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $109 (1.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Misiorowski: 4+
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
92¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$109 (1.09x)
Volume
$226
Trade this on Kalshi
Drew Rasmussen: 4+
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drew Rasmussen: 4+
Last price
84%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacob Misiorowski: 5+
82%
Kalshi 82%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Misiorowski: 5+
Last price
82%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$662
Trade this on Kalshi
Drew Rasmussen: 3+
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drew Rasmussen: 3+
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
81¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$306
Trade this on Kalshi
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.5
80.5%
Polymarket 80.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 1.5
Last price
80.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 3.5
80.5%
Polymarket 80.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 3.5
Last price
80.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 4.5
71.5%
Polymarket 71.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 4.5
Last price
71.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jacob Misiorowski: 6+
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Misiorowski: 6+
Last price
70%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
71¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$141 (1.41x)
Volume
$711
Trade this on Kalshi
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5
69.5%
Polymarket 69.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 1.5
Last price
69.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Drew Rasmussen: 5+
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drew Rasmussen: 5+
Last price
66%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$103
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 47 more outcomes
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.5
65.5%
Polymarket 65.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 68¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $147 (1.47x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 2.5
Last price
65.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
68¢
Sell Yes
63¢
$100 on Yes pays
$147 (1.47x)
Trade this on Polymarket
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5
63%
Polymarket 63%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5
Last price
63%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
65¢
Sell Yes
61¢
$100 on Yes pays
$154 (1.54x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 5.5
60%
Polymarket 60%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 5.5
Last price
60%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$183
Trade this on Polymarket
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 0.5
53%
Polymarket 53%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 0.5
Last price
53%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jacob Misiorowski: 7+
52%
Kalshi 52%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Misiorowski: 7+
Last price
52%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
53¢
Sell Yes
52¢
$100 on Yes pays
$189 (1.89x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
O/U 6.5
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 6.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
50¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5
50.5%
Polymarket 50.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 52¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 2.5
Last price
50.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
49¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Polymarket
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 3.5
49.5%
Polymarket 49.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 51¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $196 (1.96x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 3.5
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
51¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$196 (1.96x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Drew Rasmussen: 6+
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drew Rasmussen: 6+
Last price
48%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
47¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
46¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Nick Martinez: 2+
46.5%
Kalshi 46.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nick Martinez: 2+
Last price
46.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
41%
Polymarket 41%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$569
Trade this on Polymarket
NRFI
40.5%
Polymarket 40.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
NRFI
Last price
40.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Polymarket
Jacob Misiorowski: 8+
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Misiorowski: 8+
Last price
39%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Nick Martinez: 3+
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nick Martinez: 3+
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers
37.5%
Polymarket 37.5%live, 32s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Price
37.5%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$106K
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 7.5
37%
Polymarket 37%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 7.5
Last price
37%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Polymarket
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 4.5
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 4.5
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.5
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 3.5
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Trade this on Polymarket
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Polymarket
1st 5 Innings Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
34%
Polymarket 34%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st 5 Innings Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Drew Rasmussen: 7+
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drew Rasmussen: 7+
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$644
Trade this on Kalshi
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)
29%
Polymarket 29%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)
Last price
29%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$5
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 8.5
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 8.5
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
25.5%
Polymarket 25.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$125
Trade this on Polymarket
Nick Martinez: 4+
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nick Martinez: 4+
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacob Misiorowski: 9+
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Misiorowski: 9+
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$840
Trade this on Kalshi
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.5
24%
Polymarket 24%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Milwaukee Brewers O/U 5.5
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 4.5
23.5%
Polymarket 23.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tampa Bay Rays O/U 4.5
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Polymarket
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5
23%
Polymarket 23%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Trade this on Polymarket
O/U 9.5
20.5%
Polymarket 20.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
O/U 9.5
Last price
20.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Drew Rasmussen: 8+
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drew Rasmussen: 8+
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$635
Trade this on Kalshi
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)
20%
Polymarket 20%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$12
Trade this on Polymarket
1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st 5 Innings Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
Last price
19.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Polymarket
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Jacob Misiorowski: 10+
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Misiorowski: 10+
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$544
Trade this on Kalshi
Nick Martinez: 5+
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nick Martinez: 5+
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Extra Innings
13.5%
Polymarket 13.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Extra Innings
Last price
13.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)
13%
Polymarket 13%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)
Last price
13%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)
11%
Polymarket 11%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Drew Rasmussen: 9+
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drew Rasmussen: 9+
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
Nick Martinez: 6+
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nick Martinez: 6+
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jacob Misiorowski: 11+
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jacob Misiorowski: 11+
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$747
Trade this on Kalshi
Drew Rasmussen: 10+
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drew Rasmussen: 10+
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nick Martinez: 7+
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nick Martinez: 7+
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 42s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: mlb.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports, the Governing League

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jacob Misiorowski: 4+
  • Drew Rasmussen: 4+
  • Jacob Misiorowski: 5+

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Jacob Misiorowski: 4+ for this event.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Tampa Bay vs Milwaukee: Strikeouts". Jacob Misiorowski: 4+ leads at 92%. Next is Drew Rasmussen: 4+ at 84%. $120K has traded across 57 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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