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What the markets expect
Over 38.5 points 98%
Next is Over 42.5 points at 84%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 38.5 points98%98%81¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 4 min ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Over 38.5 points98%Kalshi 98%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 38.5 points
98%
98%
81¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Over 38.5 points
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 38.5 points
- Last price
- 98%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 81¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $5
Over 42.5 points84%84%73¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 4 min ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Over 42.5 points84%Kalshi 84%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Over 42.5 points
84%
84%
73¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Over 42.5 points
84%
Kalshi 84%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 42.5 points
- Last price
- 84%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
Over 46.5 points77%77%66¢ bid, 88¢ askpolled, 4 min ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Over 46.5 points77%Kalshi 77%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 46.5 points
77%
77%
66¢ bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 46.5 points
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 46.5 points
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 66¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
Over 50.5 points70%70%59¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 4 min ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Over 50.5 points70%Kalshi 70%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 50.5 points
70%
70%
59¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 50.5 points
70%
Kalshi 70%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 50.5 points
- Last price
- 70%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
Over 54.5 points60.5%60.5%50¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, 4 min ago71¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Over 54.5 points60.5%Kalshi 60.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Over 54.5 points
60.5%
60.5%
50¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
71¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Over 54.5 points
60.5%
Kalshi 60.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 54.5 points
- Last price
- 60.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 50¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
Over 58.5 points50%50%48¢ bid, 52¢ askpolled, 4 min ago52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Over 58.5 points50%Kalshi 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Over 58.5 points
50%
50%
48¢ bid, 52¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Over 58.5 points
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 58.5 points
- Last price
- 50%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $1K
Over 62.5 points39%39%28¢ bid, 50¢ askpolled, 4 min ago50¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $200 (2.00x)Over 62.5 points39%Kalshi 39%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Over 62.5 points
39%
39%
28¢ bid, 50¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
50¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Over 62.5 points
39%
Kalshi 39%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 62.5 points
- Last price
- 39%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 28¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
Over 66.5 points30%30%19¢ bid, 41¢ askpolled, 4 min ago41¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $244 (2.44x)Over 66.5 points30%Kalshi 30%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Over 66.5 points
30%
30%
19¢ bid, 41¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
41¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Over 66.5 points
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 66.5 points
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 41¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $244 (2.44x)
Over 70.5 points23.5%23.5%13¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 4 min ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Over 70.5 points23.5%Kalshi 23.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 70.5 points
23.5%
23.5%
13¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 70.5 points
23.5%
Kalshi 23.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 70.5 points
- Last price
- 23.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
Over 74.5 points19.5%19.5%10¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 4 min ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Over 74.5 points19.5%Kalshi 19.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Over 74.5 points
19.5%
19.5%
10¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Over 74.5 points
19.5%
Kalshi 19.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 74.5 points
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
Over 78.5 points10.5%10.5%8¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 4 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Over 78.5 points10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 78.5 points
10.5%
10.5%
8¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 4 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Over 78.5 points
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 4 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 78.5 points
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 4 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 38.5 points
- Over 42.5 points
- Over 46.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Tarleton St. vs West Georgia: Total Points". Over 38.5 points leads at 98%. Next is Over 42.5 points at 84%. $1K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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