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What the markets expect
Dior 71%
Next is December 31, 2026 at 8.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Dior71%Not listed71%68¢ bid, 71¢ askpolled, 35s ago71¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $141 (1.41x)Dior71%Kalshi 71%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Dior
71%
Not listed
71%
68¢ bid, 71¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
71¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Dior
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 71¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $141 (1.41x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dior
- Last price
- 71%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 71¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $141 (1.41x)
- Volume
- $74K
December 31, 20268.5%8.5%7¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)December 31, 20268.5%Polymarket 8.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
December 31, 2026
8.5%
8.5%
7¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
December 31, 2026
8.5%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- December 31, 2026
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $46K
Armani Privé7%Not listed7%3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 35s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Armani Privé7%Kalshi 7%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Armani Privé
7%
Not listed
7%
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Armani Privé
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Armani Privé
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $13K
Balmain7%Not listed7%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 35s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Balmain7%Kalshi 7%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Balmain
7%
Not listed
7%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Balmain
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Balmain
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $13K
Berta7%Not listed7%5¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 35s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Berta7%Kalshi 7%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Berta
7%
Not listed
7%
5¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Berta
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Berta
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $12K
Elie Saab7%Not listed7%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 35s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Elie Saab7%Kalshi 7%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Elie Saab
7%
Not listed
7%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Elie Saab
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Elie Saab
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $9K
Fendi7%Not listed7%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 35s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Fendi7%Kalshi 7%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Fendi
7%
Not listed
7%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Fendi
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fendi
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $8K
Georges Hobeika7%Not listed7%2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 35s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Georges Hobeika7%Kalshi 7%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Georges Hobeika
7%
Not listed
7%
2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Georges Hobeika
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Georges Hobeika
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $8K
Vera Wang7%Not listed7%3¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 35s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Vera Wang7%Kalshi 7%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Vera Wang
7%
Not listed
7%
3¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Vera Wang
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Vera Wang
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $16K
Vivienne Westwood7%Not listed7%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 35s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Vivienne Westwood7%Kalshi 7%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Vivienne Westwood
7%
Not listed
7%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Vivienne Westwood
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Vivienne Westwood
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $17K
Show 21 more outcomesHide 21 outcomes
Dolce & Gabbana6%Not listed6%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 35s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Dolce & Gabbana6%Kalshi 6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Dolce & Gabbana
6%
Not listed
6%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Dolce & Gabbana
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dolce & Gabbana
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $10K
Ines Di Santo6%Not listed6%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 35s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Ines Di Santo6%Kalshi 6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Ines Di Santo
6%
Not listed
6%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Ines Di Santo
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ines Di Santo
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $10K
Monse6%Not listed6%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 35s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Monse6%Kalshi 6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Monse
6%
Not listed
6%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Monse
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Monse
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $9K
Oscar de la Renta6%Not listed6%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 35s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Oscar de la Renta6%Kalshi 6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Oscar de la Renta
6%
Not listed
6%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Oscar de la Renta
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oscar de la Renta
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $17K
Zuhair Murad6%Not listed6%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 35s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Zuhair Murad6%Kalshi 6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Zuhair Murad
6%
Not listed
6%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Zuhair Murad
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Zuhair Murad
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $6K
Galia Lahav5%Not listed5%2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 35s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Galia Lahav5%Kalshi 5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Galia Lahav
5%
Not listed
5%
2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Galia Lahav
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Galia Lahav
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $9K
Monique Lhuillier5%Not listed5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 35s ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Monique Lhuillier5%Kalshi 5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Monique Lhuillier
5%
Not listed
5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Monique Lhuillier
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Monique Lhuillier
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $17K
Tom Ford4%Not listed4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 35s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Tom Ford4%Kalshi 4%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tom Ford
4%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Tom Ford
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tom Ford
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $8K
Alexander McQueen3%Not listed3%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 35s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Alexander McQueen3%Kalshi 3%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Alexander McQueen
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Alexander McQueen
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Alexander McQueen
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $21K
Gucci2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 35s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Gucci2%Kalshi 2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Gucci
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Gucci
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gucci
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $13K
Mira Zwillinger2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 35s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Mira Zwillinger2%Kalshi 2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Mira Zwillinger
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Mira Zwillinger
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Mira Zwillinger
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $10K
Naeem Khan2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 35s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Naeem Khan2%Kalshi 2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Naeem Khan
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Naeem Khan
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Naeem Khan
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $11K
Pronovias2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 35s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Pronovias2%Kalshi 2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Pronovias
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Pronovias
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Pronovias
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $10K
Reem Acra2%Not listed2%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 35s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Reem Acra2%Kalshi 2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Reem Acra
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Reem Acra
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Reem Acra
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Schiaparelli2%Not listed2%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 35s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Schiaparelli2%Kalshi 2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Schiaparelli
2%
Not listed
2%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Schiaparelli
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Schiaparelli
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Carolina Herrera1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 35s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Carolina Herrera1%Kalshi 1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Carolina Herrera
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Carolina Herrera
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carolina Herrera
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Chanel1%Not listed1%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 35s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Chanel1%Kalshi 1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Chanel
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Chanel
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chanel
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $12K
Givenchy1%Not listed1%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 35s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Givenchy1%Kalshi 1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Givenchy
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Givenchy
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Givenchy
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $13K
Louis Vuitton1%Not listed1%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 35s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Louis Vuitton1%Kalshi 1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Louis Vuitton
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Louis Vuitton
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Louis Vuitton
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $16K
Ralph Lauren1%Not listed1%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 35s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Ralph Lauren1%Kalshi 1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Ralph Lauren
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Ralph Lauren
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ralph Lauren
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $11K
Valentino1%Not listed1%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 35s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Valentino1%Kalshi 1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Valentino
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 35s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Valentino
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 35s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Valentino
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $9K
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Taylor Swift, Vogue, Harper's Bazaar
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Dior
- December 31, 2026
- Armani Privé
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Dior for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Taylor Swift: Wedding Dress". Dior leads at 71%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 8.5%. $2.5M has traded across 31 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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