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Trading ended on Jul 2, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Chicago58.1%75%58.1% fair74¢ bid, 75¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago75¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $133 (1.33x)Chicago58.1%Kalshi 75%(58.1% fair)polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Chicago
58.1%
75%
58.1% fair
74¢ bid, 75¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
75¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Chicago
58.1%
Kalshi 75%(58.1% fair)polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 75¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $133 (1.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago
- Last price
- 75%
- Fair, margin removed
- 58.1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 75¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $133 (1.33x)
- Volume
- $11K
Memphis10.8%14%10.9% fair13¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Memphis10.8%Kalshi 14%(10.9% fair)polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Memphis
10.8%
14%
10.9% fair
13¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Memphis
10.8%
Kalshi 14%(10.9% fair)polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis
- Last price
- 14%
- Fair, margin removed
- 10.9%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
- Volume
- $2K
Los Angeles C5.4%7%5.4% fair5¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Los Angeles C5.4%Kalshi 7%(5.4% fair)polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Los Angeles C
5.4%
7%
5.4% fair
5¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Los Angeles C
5.4%
Kalshi 7%(5.4% fair)polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles C
- Last price
- 7%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Brooklyn2.3%3%2.3% fair— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Brooklyn2.3%Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Brooklyn
2.3%
3%
2.3% fair
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Brooklyn
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brooklyn
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $522
Utah2.3%3%2.3% fair2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Utah2.3%Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Utah
2.3%
3%
2.3% fair
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Utah
2.3%
Kalshi 3%(2.3% fair)polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Utah
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.3%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $1K
Milwaukee1.5%2%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Milwaukee1.5%Kalshi 2%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Milwaukee
1.5%
2%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Milwaukee
1.5%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Washington1.5%2%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Washington1.5%Kalshi 2%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Washington
1.5%
2%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Washington
1.5%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $3K
Atlanta0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Atlanta0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Atlanta
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Atlanta
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $731
Boston0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Boston0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Boston
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Boston
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boston
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $332
Charlotte0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Charlotte0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Charlotte
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Charlotte
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charlotte
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $426
Show 20 more outcomesHide 20 outcomes
Cleveland0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cleveland0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cleveland
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cleveland
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $332
Dallas0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Dallas0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dallas
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Dallas
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $735
Denver0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Denver0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Denver
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Denver
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denver
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $332
Detroit0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Detroit0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Detroit
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Detroit
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Detroit
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $325
Golden State0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Golden State0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Golden State
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Golden State
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $325
Houston0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Houston0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Houston
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Houston
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $325
Indiana0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Indiana0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Indiana
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Indiana
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $332
Los Angeles L0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Los Angeles L0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles L
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Los Angeles L
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles L
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $325
Miami0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Miami0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Miami
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Miami
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $327
Minnesota0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Minnesota0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Minnesota
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Minnesota
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $327
New Orleans0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)New Orleans0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New Orleans
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New Orleans
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $325
New York0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)New York0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New York
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New York
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $325
Oklahoma City0.8%1%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Oklahoma City0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Oklahoma City
0.8%
1%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Oklahoma City
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oklahoma City
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $863
Orlando0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Orlando0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Orlando
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Orlando
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $325
Philadelphia0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Philadelphia0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Philadelphia
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Philadelphia
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $325
Phoenix0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Phoenix0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Phoenix
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Phoenix
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Phoenix
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $325
Portland0.8%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Portland0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Portland
0.8%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Portland
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Portland
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $327
Sacramento0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Sacramento0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sacramento
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sacramento
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sacramento
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $730
San Antonio0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)San Antonio0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
San Antonio
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
San Antonio
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Antonio
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $327
Toronto0.7%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Toronto0.7%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Toronto
0.7%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Toronto
0.7%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toronto
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $327
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Chicago
- Memphis
- Los Angeles C
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Team to Draft Caleb Wilson". Chicago last traded at 58.1%. Next is Memphis at 10.8%. $31K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 2, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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