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Trading ended on Jul 2, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 126 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Los Angeles C31%31%24¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Los Angeles C31%Kalshi 31%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Los Angeles C
31%
31%
24¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Los Angeles C
31%
Kalshi 31%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles C
- Last price
- 31%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 24¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $12K
Atlanta14%14%— bid, 21¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Atlanta14%Kalshi 14%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Atlanta
14%
14%
— bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Atlanta
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Atlanta
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $623
Boston13%13%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Boston13%Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Boston
13%
13%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Boston
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Boston
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $213
Denver13%13%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Denver13%Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Denver
13%
13%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Denver
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Denver
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $213
Houston13%13%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Houston13%Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Houston
13%
13%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Houston
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Houston
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $213
Indiana13%13%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Indiana13%Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Indiana
13%
13%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Indiana
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Indiana
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $213
New Orleans13%13%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)New Orleans13%Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New Orleans
13%
13%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New Orleans
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New Orleans
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $213
Orlando13%13%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Orlando13%Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Orlando
13%
13%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Orlando
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Orlando
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $213
Philadelphia13%13%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Philadelphia13%Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Philadelphia
13%
13%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Philadelphia
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Philadelphia
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $213
San Antonio13%13%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)San Antonio13%Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
San Antonio
13%
13%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
San Antonio
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- San Antonio
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $213
Show 20 more outcomesHide 20 outcomes
Toronto13%13%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Toronto13%Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Toronto
13%
13%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Toronto
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Toronto
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $213
Minnesota11%11%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Minnesota11%Kalshi 11%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Minnesota
11%
11%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Minnesota
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Minnesota
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $212
Dallas9%9%— bid, 12¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Dallas9%Kalshi 9%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Dallas
9%
9%
— bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Dallas
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dallas
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $1K
Brooklyn8%8%8¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Brooklyn8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Brooklyn
8%
8%
8¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Brooklyn
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brooklyn
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $818
Sacramento8%8%8¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Sacramento8%Kalshi 8%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Sacramento
8%
8%
8¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Sacramento
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sacramento
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $1K
Oklahoma City6%6%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Oklahoma City6%Kalshi 6%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Oklahoma City
6%
6%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Oklahoma City
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Oklahoma City
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $958
Utah5%5%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Utah5%Kalshi 5%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Utah
5%
5%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Utah
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Utah
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $213
Chicago4%4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Chicago4%Kalshi 4%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Chicago
4%
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Chicago
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Chicago
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Cleveland2%2%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Cleveland2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Cleveland
2%
2%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Cleveland
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cleveland
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $212
Los Angeles L2%2%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Los Angeles L2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Los Angeles L
2%
2%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Los Angeles L
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Los Angeles L
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $213
Memphis2%2%— bid, 13¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Memphis2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Memphis
2%
2%
— bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Memphis
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Memphis
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $2K
Milwaukee2%2%1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Milwaukee2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Milwaukee
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Milwaukee
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Milwaukee
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $1K
Phoenix2%2%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Phoenix2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Phoenix
2%
2%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Phoenix
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Phoenix
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $213
Washington2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Washington2%Kalshi 2%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Washington
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Washington
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Washington
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $239
Charlotte1%1%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Charlotte1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Charlotte
1%
1%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Charlotte
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Charlotte
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $975
Detroit1%1%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Detroit1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Detroit
1%
1%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Detroit
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Detroit
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $308
Golden State1%1%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Golden State1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Golden State
1%
1%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Golden State
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Golden State
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $616
Miami1%1%— bid, 11¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Miami1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Miami
1%
1%
— bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Miami
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Miami
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $614
New York1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)New York1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New York
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
New York
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- New York
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $213
Portland1%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 3027 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Portland1%Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Portland
1%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 3027 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Portland
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 3027 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Portland
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 126 d ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $220
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Los Angeles C
- Atlanta
- Boston
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Final prediction market prices for "Team to Draft Keaton Wagler". Los Angeles C last traded at 31%. Next is Atlanta at 14%. $27K has traded across 30 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Jul 2, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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