Top of book
ConnectingWaiting for the first live quote…
Yes 3.1%
Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

The leading outcome on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
Each venue’s resting orders for the Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Waiting for the first live quote…
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
Loading both order books…
Loading every outcome’s book…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
Live prediction market odds for "Tennessee makes electric chair execution default in 2026?". Yes leads at 3.1%. $2K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jul 1, 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tennessee enacts a law or adopts a constitutional provision making electrocution its default method of execution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Making electrocution the default means replacing lethal injection with electrocution as the generally prescribed method of execution under Tennessee Code Annotated § 40-23-114, or a successor or superseding legal provision. Electrocution must become the method ordinarily required, subject to specific legal exceptions. Establishing electrocution as the default only for a limited category of inmates or offenses will not qualify. Making electrocution and lethal injection equally available options, without establishing electrocution as the default, will not qualify. The existing provisions permitting eligible inmates to elect electrocution or requiring electrocution when statutory fallback conditions are met will not qualify. Activation of those fallback provisions, including a certification by the Commissioner of Correction under § 40-23-114(e), will not qualify even if it results in electrocution being used statewide. Expanding the availability of electrocution as an optional or fallback method will not qualify unless the enacted measure also establishes it as the default. Executive or administrative actions under existing law, official announcements, and the scheduling or carrying out of executions by electrocution will not independently qualify. A qualifying law or constitutional provision must be enacted or adopted. Enactment or adoption occurs when the measure becomes law under Tennessee’s constitution and laws, including through gubernatorial signature, veto override, becoming law without signature, or another legally sufficient enactment or constitutional-adoption process. Bill introduction, legislative passage short of enactment, proposals to amend the constitution, and announced intentions to approve a measure will not qualify. This market resolves based on the date of qualifying enactment or adoption, regardless of when the measure takes effect, including if its effective date falls after the market deadline. Subsequent failure to implement the measure, judicial invalidation, repeal, rescission, or expiry will not affect resolution. No execution by electrocution is required. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the state government of Tennessee, including the Tennessee General Assembly and the Office of the Governor; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.