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Best ask
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What the markets expect
Above 1.60M 86%
Next is Above 1.80M at 78%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Above 1.60M86%Not listed86%86¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 min ago98¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $102 (1.02x)Above 1.60M86%Kalshi 86%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Above 1.60M
86%
Not listed
86%
86¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
98¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Above 1.60M
86%
Kalshi 86%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.60M
- Last price
- 86%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $200
Above 1.80M78%Not listed78%71¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 1 min ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Above 1.80M78%Kalshi 78%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Above 1.80M
78%
Not listed
78%
71¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Above 1.80M
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 1.80M
- Last price
- 78%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 71¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
- Volume
- $270
Above 2.00M62%Not listed62%53¢ bid, 63¢ askpolled, 1 min ago63¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $159 (1.59x)Above 2.00M62%Kalshi 62%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Above 2.00M
62%
Not listed
62%
53¢ bid, 63¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
63¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Above 2.00M
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 63¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $159 (1.59x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 2.00M
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 63¢
- Sell Yes
- 53¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $159 (1.59x)
- Volume
- $139
Above 2.20M41%Not listed41%31¢ bid, 42¢ askpolled, 1 min ago42¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $238 (2.38x)Above 2.20M41%Kalshi 41%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Above 2.20M
41%
Not listed
41%
31¢ bid, 42¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
42¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Above 2.20M
41%
Kalshi 41%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 2.20M
- Last price
- 41%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 42¢
- Sell Yes
- 31¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $238 (2.38x)
- Volume
- $102
2M-2.2M38.5%38.5%37¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 46s agoNot listed40¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $250 (2.50x)2M-2.2M38.5%Polymarket 38.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
2M-2.2M
38.5%
38.5%
37¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
Not listed
40¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
2M-2.2M
38.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 40¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2M-2.2M
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 37¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
- Volume
- $4K
2.2M-2.4M30.5%30.5%29¢ bid, 32¢ askpolled, 46s agoNot listed32¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $313 (3.13x)2.2M-2.4M30.5%Polymarket 30.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
2.2M-2.4M
30.5%
30.5%
29¢ bid, 32¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
Not listed
32¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $313 (3.13x)
2.2M-2.4M
30.5%
Polymarket 30.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2.2M-2.4M
- Last price
- 30.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 32¢
- Sell Yes
- 29¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $313 (3.13x)
- Volume
- $2K
Above 2.40M15%Not listed15%13¢ bid, 24¢ askpolled, 1 min ago24¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $417 (4.17x)Above 2.40M15%Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Above 2.40M
15%
Not listed
15%
13¢ bid, 24¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
24¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Above 2.40M
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 2.40M
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 24¢
- Sell Yes
- 13¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $417 (4.17x)
- Volume
- $276
1.8M-2M10.3%10.3%7.4¢ bid, 13.2¢ askpolled, 46s agoNot listed13.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $758 (7.58x)1.8M-2M10.3%Polymarket 10.3%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 13.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $758 (7.58x)
1.8M-2M
10.3%
10.3%
7.4¢ bid, 13.2¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
Not listed
13.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $758 (7.58x)
1.8M-2M
10.3%
Polymarket 10.3%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 13.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $758 (7.58x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.8M-2M
- Last price
- 10.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 7.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $758 (7.58x)
- Volume
- $5K
1.6M9.3%9.3%6.4¢ bid, 12.1¢ askpolled, 46s agoNot listed12.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $826 (8.26x)1.6M9.3%Polymarket 9.3%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 12.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $826 (8.26x)
1.6M
9.3%
9.3%
6.4¢ bid, 12.1¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
Not listed
12.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $826 (8.26x)
1.6M
9.3%
Polymarket 9.3%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 12.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $826 (8.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.6M
- Last price
- 9.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 6.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $826 (8.26x)
- Volume
- $2K
2.4M-2.6M7.9%7.9%6.4¢ bid, 9.3¢ askpolled, 46s agoNot listed9.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)2.4M-2.6M7.9%Polymarket 7.9%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 9.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
2.4M-2.6M
7.9%
7.9%
6.4¢ bid, 9.3¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
Not listed
9.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
2.4M-2.6M
7.9%
Polymarket 7.9%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 9.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,075 (10.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2.4M-2.6M
- Last price
- 7.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 6.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,075 (10.8x)
- Volume
- $1K
Show 9 more outcomesHide 9 outcomes
Above 2.80M5.5%Not listed5.5%1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Above 2.80M5.5%Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above 2.80M
5.5%
Not listed
5.5%
1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Above 2.80M
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 2.80M
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
2.6M+5.5%5.5%3.6¢ bid, 7.3¢ askpolled, 46s agoNot listed7.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)2.6M+5.5%Polymarket 5.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
2.6M+
5.5%
5.5%
3.6¢ bid, 7.3¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
Not listed
7.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
2.6M+
5.5%
Polymarket 5.5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 2.6M+
- Last price
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,370 (13.7x)
- Volume
- $2K
Above 2.60M5%Not listed5%4¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 1 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Above 2.60M5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Above 2.60M
5%
Not listed
5%
4¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Above 2.60M
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 2.60M
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $391
Above 3.60M5%Not listed5%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Above 3.60M5%Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 3.60M
5%
Not listed
5%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Above 3.60M
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.60M
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $1
1.6M-1.8M5%5%2.4¢ bid, 7.5¢ askpolled, 46s agoNot listed7.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)1.6M-1.8M5%Polymarket 5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
1.6M-1.8M
5%
5%
2.4¢ bid, 7.5¢ ask
polled, 46s ago
Not listed
7.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
1.6M-1.8M
5%
Polymarket 5%polled, 46s agoBest Yes 7.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,333 (13.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- 1.6M-1.8M
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,333 (13.3x)
- Volume
- $2K
Above 3.00M3.5%Not listed3.5%— bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Above 3.00M3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 3.00M
3.5%
Not listed
3.5%
— bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 3.00M
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.00M
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
Above 3.20M3.5%Not listed3.5%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 3.20M3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.20M
3.5%
Not listed
3.5%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.20M
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.20M
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.30M3%Not listed3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 3.30M3%Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.30M
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.30M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.30M
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.50M3%Not listed3%— bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Above 3.50M3%Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.50M
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Above 3.50M
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Above 3.50M
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Tennessee Secretary of State
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Above 1.60M
- Above 1.80M
- Above 2.00M
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Above 1.60M for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Tennessee Senate General Election: voter turnout". Above 1.60M leads at 86%. Next is Above 1.80M at 78%. $21K has traded across 19 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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