The Prediction Markets

Tennessee vs Arkansas: Spread

Closed
Oct 12, 2026
Traded
$24K
Venues
Kalshi
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This market has closed

Trading ended on Oct 12, 2026. The prices below are the last ones before it closed and no longer update. Browse open markets

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 15 days ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 1.5 points
80.5%
Kalshi 80.5%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
80.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
79¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 2.5 points
79%
Kalshi 79%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 80¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
79%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
80¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 3.5 points
74.5%
Kalshi 74.5%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 76¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $132 (1.32x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
74.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
76¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$132 (1.32x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 4.5 points
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 73¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $137 (1.37x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
71¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 5.5 points
71%
Kalshi 71%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 72¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
71%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
70¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 6.5 points
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$16
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 7.5 points
64%
Kalshi 64%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
64%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
64¢
Sell Yes
62¢
$100 on Yes pays
$156 (1.56x)
Volume
$84
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 9.5 points
61%
Kalshi 61%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
61%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
61¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$164 (1.64x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 10.5 points
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
57%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
57¢
Sell Yes
56¢
$100 on Yes pays
$175 (1.75x)
Volume
$374
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 11.5 points
56%
Kalshi 56%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 56¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $179 (1.79x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 11.5 points
Last price
56%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
56¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$179 (1.79x)
Volume
$378
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 21 more outcomes
Tennessee wins by over 13.5 points
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 13.5 points
Last price
51%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
52¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$192 (1.92x)
Volume
$17K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 14.5 points
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 14.5 points
Last price
45%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
45¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 16.5 points
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 16.5 points
Last price
43%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Volume
$409
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 17.5 points
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 17.5 points
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$195
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 20.5 points
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 20.5 points
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$614
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 21.5 points
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 21.5 points
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
29¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$83
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 23.5 points
25.5%
Kalshi 25.5%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 23.5 points
Last price
25.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 24.5 points
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 24.5 points
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
21¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 27.5 points
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 27.5 points
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Kalshi
Arkansas wins by over 1.5 points
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arkansas wins by over 1.5 points
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Arkansas wins by over 2.5 points
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arkansas wins by over 2.5 points
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Arkansas wins by over 4.5 points
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arkansas wins by over 4.5 points
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 30.5 points
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 30.5 points
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$243
Trade this on Kalshi
Arkansas wins by over 5.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arkansas wins by over 5.5 points
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 33.5 points
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 33.5 points
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$84
Trade this on Kalshi
Arkansas wins by over 3.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arkansas wins by over 3.5 points
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Kalshi
Tennessee wins by over 35.5 points
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tennessee wins by over 35.5 points
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Kalshi
Arkansas wins by over 6.5 points
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arkansas wins by over 6.5 points
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Arkansas wins by over 9.5 points
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arkansas wins by over 9.5 points
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Arkansas wins by over 10.5 points
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arkansas wins by over 10.5 points
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Arkansas wins by over 7.5 points
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 381 h agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arkansas wins by over 7.5 points
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 15 d ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$700
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Tennessee wins by over 1.5 points
  • Tennessee wins by over 2.5 points
  • Tennessee wins by over 3.5 points

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Final prediction market prices for "Tennessee vs Arkansas: Spread". Tennessee wins by over 1.5 points last traded at 80.5%. Next is Tennessee wins by over 2.5 points at 79%. $24K has traded across 31 outcomes on Kalshi. The market closed on Oct 12, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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