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What the markets expect
Abbott, 1+ pts 68%
Next is Abbott, 2+ pts at 59%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
2 of 41 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Abbott, 1+ pts68%Not listed68%68¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 47s ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Abbott, 1+ pts68%Kalshi 68%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Abbott, 1+ pts
68%
Not listed
68%
68¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Abbott, 1+ pts
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abbott, 1+ pts
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $14K
Abbott, 2+ pts59%Not listed59%57¢ bid, 59¢ askpolled, 47s ago59¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $169 (1.69x)Abbott, 2+ pts59%Kalshi 59%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Abbott, 2+ pts
59%
Not listed
59%
57¢ bid, 59¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
59¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Abbott, 2+ pts
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abbott, 2+ pts
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 59¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $169 (1.69x)
- Volume
- $3K
Abbott, 3+ pts52%Not listed52%51¢ bid, 52¢ asklive, just now52¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $192 (1.92x)Abbott, 3+ pts52%Kalshi 52%live, just nowBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Abbott, 3+ pts
52%
Not listed
52%
51¢ bid, 52¢ ask
live, just now
52¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Abbott, 3+ pts
52%
Kalshi 52%live, just nowBest Yes 52¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $192 (1.92x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abbott, 3+ pts
- Price
- 52%
- As of
- Live feed, just now
- Buy Yes
- 52¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $192 (1.92x)
- Volume
- $77K
Abbott, 4+ pts43%Not listed43%39¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 47s ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Abbott, 4+ pts43%Kalshi 43%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Abbott, 4+ pts
43%
Not listed
43%
39¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Abbott, 4+ pts
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abbott, 4+ pts
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 39¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
Abbott, 5+ pts34%Not listed34%33¢ bid, 34¢ asklive, just now34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Abbott, 5+ pts34%Kalshi 34%live, just nowBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Abbott, 5+ pts
34%
Not listed
34%
33¢ bid, 34¢ ask
live, just now
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Abbott, 5+ pts
34%
Kalshi 34%live, just nowBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abbott, 5+ pts
- Price
- 34%
- As of
- Live feed, just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $16K
Abbott, 6+ pts33%Not listed33%32¢ bid, 33¢ askpolled, 47s ago33¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $303 (3.03x)Abbott, 6+ pts33%Kalshi 33%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Abbott, 6+ pts
33%
Not listed
33%
32¢ bid, 33¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
33¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Abbott, 6+ pts
33%
Kalshi 33%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 33¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $303 (3.03x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abbott, 6+ pts
- Last price
- 33%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 33¢
- Sell Yes
- 32¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $303 (3.03x)
- Volume
- $67K
Hinojosa, 1+ pts28%Not listed28%22¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 1 min ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Hinojosa, 1+ pts28%Kalshi 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Hinojosa, 1+ pts
28%
Not listed
28%
22¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Hinojosa, 1+ pts
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hinojosa, 1+ pts
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $95
Abbott, 7+ pts26%Not listed26%21¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 47s ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Abbott, 7+ pts26%Kalshi 26%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Abbott, 7+ pts
26%
Not listed
26%
21¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Abbott, 7+ pts
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abbott, 7+ pts
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $67
Abbott, 8+ pts22%Not listed22%16¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 47s ago22¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Abbott, 8+ pts22%Kalshi 22%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Abbott, 8+ pts
22%
Not listed
22%
16¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
22¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Abbott, 8+ pts
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abbott, 8+ pts
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $783
Abbott 3-6%21.5%21.5%21¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 47s agoNot listed22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Abbott 3-6%21.5%Polymarket 21.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Abbott 3-6%
21.5%
21.5%
21¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
Not listed
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Abbott 3-6%
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Abbott 3-6%
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $4K
Show 31 more outcomesHide 31 outcomes
Abbott 0-3%19.5%19.5%19¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 47s agoNot listed20¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Abbott 0-3%19.5%Polymarket 19.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Abbott 0-3%
19.5%
19.5%
19¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
Not listed
20¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Abbott 0-3%
19.5%
Polymarket 19.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Abbott 0-3%
- Last price
- 19.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $3K
Hinojosa, 2+ pts17%Not listed17%17¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 1 min ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Hinojosa, 2+ pts17%Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Hinojosa, 2+ pts
17%
Not listed
17%
17¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Hinojosa, 2+ pts
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hinojosa, 2+ pts
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $40
Abbott 6-9%16%16%15¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 47s agoNot listed17¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Abbott 6-9%16%Polymarket 16%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Abbott 6-9%
16%
16%
15¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
Not listed
17¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Abbott 6-9%
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Abbott 6-9%
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $7K
Abbott, 9+ pts16%Not listed16%15¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 47s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Abbott, 9+ pts16%Kalshi 16%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Abbott, 9+ pts
16%
Not listed
16%
15¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Abbott, 9+ pts
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abbott, 9+ pts
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 15¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $27K
Hinojosa 3-6%15%15%10.9¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 47s agoNot listed19¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Hinojosa 3-6%15%Polymarket 15%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Hinojosa 3-6%
15%
15%
10.9¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
Not listed
19¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Hinojosa 3-6%
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hinojosa 3-6%
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 10.9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $856
Hinojosa, 3+ pts14%Not listed14%14¢ bid, 16¢ askpolled, 1 min ago16¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $625 (6.25x)Hinojosa, 3+ pts14%Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Hinojosa, 3+ pts
14%
Not listed
14%
14¢ bid, 16¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
16¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Hinojosa, 3+ pts
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hinojosa, 3+ pts
- Last price
- 14%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 16¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $625 (6.25x)
- Volume
- $21K
Hinojosa, 4+ pts13%Not listed13%7¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 1 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Hinojosa, 4+ pts13%Kalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Hinojosa, 4+ pts
13%
Not listed
13%
7¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Hinojosa, 4+ pts
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hinojosa, 4+ pts
- Last price
- 13%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $148
Hinojosa 0-3%12.6%12.6%12.2¢ bid, 12.9¢ askpolled, 47s agoNot listed12.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $775 (7.75x)Hinojosa 0-3%12.6%Polymarket 12.6%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 12.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $775 (7.75x)
Hinojosa 0-3%
12.6%
12.6%
12.2¢ bid, 12.9¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
Not listed
12.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $775 (7.75x)
Hinojosa 0-3%
12.6%
Polymarket 12.6%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 12.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $775 (7.75x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hinojosa 0-3%
- Last price
- 12.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 12.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $775 (7.75x)
- Volume
- $2K
Greg Abbott, 2-4%12%Not listed12%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 2 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Greg Abbott, 2-4%12%Kalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Greg Abbott, 2-4%
12%
Not listed
12%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Greg Abbott, 2-4%
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Greg Abbott, 2-4%
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $459
Greg Abbott, 4-6%12%Not listed12%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 2 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Greg Abbott, 4-6%12%Kalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Greg Abbott, 4-6%
12%
Not listed
12%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Greg Abbott, 4-6%
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Greg Abbott, 4-6%
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $459
Greg Abbott, 6-8%12%Not listed12%12¢ bid, 13¢ askpolled, 2 min ago13¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $769 (7.69x)Greg Abbott, 6-8%12%Kalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Greg Abbott, 6-8%
12%
Not listed
12%
12¢ bid, 13¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
13¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Greg Abbott, 6-8%
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Greg Abbott, 6-8%
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $459
Gina Hinojosa, 0-2%11%Not listed11%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 2 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Gina Hinojosa, 0-2%11%Kalshi 11%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Gina Hinojosa, 0-2%
11%
Not listed
11%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Gina Hinojosa, 0-2%
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gina Hinojosa, 0-2%
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $541
Greg Abbott, 0-2%11%Not listed11%11¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 2 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Greg Abbott, 0-2%11%Kalshi 11%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Greg Abbott, 0-2%
11%
Not listed
11%
11¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Greg Abbott, 0-2%
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Greg Abbott, 0-2%
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $459
Greg Abbott, ≥12%10%Not listed10%10¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 2 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Greg Abbott, ≥12%10%Kalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Greg Abbott, ≥12%
10%
Not listed
10%
10¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Greg Abbott, ≥12%
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Greg Abbott, ≥12%
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 10¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $612
Gina Hinojosa, 2-4%9%Not listed9%8¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 2 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Gina Hinojosa, 2-4%9%Kalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Gina Hinojosa, 2-4%
9%
Not listed
9%
8¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Gina Hinojosa, 2-4%
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gina Hinojosa, 2-4%
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $459
Abbott, 12+ pts8.5%Not listed8.5%7¢ bid, 8.5¢ askpolled, 47s ago8.5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)Abbott, 12+ pts8.5%Kalshi 8.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Abbott, 12+ pts
8.5%
Not listed
8.5%
7¢ bid, 8.5¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
8.5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Abbott, 12+ pts
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 8.5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,176 (11.8x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abbott, 12+ pts
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,176 (11.8x)
- Volume
- $7K
Hinojosa, 5+ pts8.2%Not listed8.2%4.1¢ bid, 9.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)Hinojosa, 5+ pts8.2%Kalshi 8.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Hinojosa, 5+ pts
8.2%
Not listed
8.2%
4.1¢ bid, 9.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Hinojosa, 5+ pts
8.2%
Kalshi 8.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hinojosa, 5+ pts
- Last price
- 8.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 4.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,010 (10.1x)
- Volume
- $289
Abbott 9-12%8%8%7¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 47s agoNot listed9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Abbott 9-12%8%Polymarket 8%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Abbott 9-12%
8%
8%
7¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
Not listed
9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Abbott 9-12%
8%
Polymarket 8%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Abbott 9-12%
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $3K
Gina Hinojosa, ≥6%7%Not listed7%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 2 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Gina Hinojosa, ≥6%7%Kalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Gina Hinojosa, ≥6%
7%
Not listed
7%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Gina Hinojosa, ≥6%
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gina Hinojosa, ≥6%
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $459
Greg Abbott, 8-10%7%Not listed7%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 2 min ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Greg Abbott, 8-10%7%Kalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Greg Abbott, 8-10%
7%
Not listed
7%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Greg Abbott, 8-10%
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Greg Abbott, 8-10%
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $459
Abbott, 15+ pts6.3%Not listed6.3%1¢ bid, 6.3¢ askpolled, 47s ago6.3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)Abbott, 15+ pts6.3%Kalshi 6.3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Abbott, 15+ pts
6.3%
Not listed
6.3%
1¢ bid, 6.3¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
6.3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Abbott, 15+ pts
6.3%
Kalshi 6.3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 6.3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,587 (15.9x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abbott, 15+ pts
- Last price
- 6.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,587 (15.9x)
- Volume
- $680
Gina Hinojosa, 4-6%6%Not listed6%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 2 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Gina Hinojosa, 4-6%6%Kalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Gina Hinojosa, 4-6%
6%
Not listed
6%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Gina Hinojosa, 4-6%
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Gina Hinojosa, 4-6%
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $459
Greg Abbott, 10-12%6%Not listed6%6¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 2 min ago7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Greg Abbott, 10-12%6%Kalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Greg Abbott, 10-12%
6%
Not listed
6%
6¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Greg Abbott, 10-12%
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Greg Abbott, 10-12%
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $459
Hinojosa, 6+ pts6%Not listed6%3.1¢ bid, 8.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8.9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)Hinojosa, 6+ pts6%Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Hinojosa, 6+ pts
6%
Not listed
6%
3.1¢ bid, 8.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8.9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Hinojosa, 6+ pts
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,124 (11.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hinojosa, 6+ pts
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 3.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,124 (11.2x)
Hinojosa 6%+4.7%4.7%4¢ bid, 5.4¢ askpolled, 47s agoNot listed5.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)Hinojosa 6%+4.7%Polymarket 4.7%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Hinojosa 6%+
4.7%
4.7%
4¢ bid, 5.4¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
Not listed
5.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Hinojosa 6%+
4.7%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 5.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,852 (18.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Hinojosa 6%+
- Last price
- 4.7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,852 (18.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
Abbott, 18+ pts4.6%Not listed4.6%— bid, 5.2¢ askpolled, 47s ago5.2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)Abbott, 18+ pts4.6%Kalshi 4.6%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Abbott, 18+ pts
4.6%
Not listed
4.6%
— bid, 5.2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
5.2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Abbott, 18+ pts
4.6%
Kalshi 4.6%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abbott, 18+ pts
- Last price
- 4.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,923 (19.2x)
- Volume
- $435
Hinojosa, 7+ pts4.4%Not listed4.4%0.1¢ bid, 8.7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8.7¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)Hinojosa, 7+ pts4.4%Kalshi 4.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Hinojosa, 7+ pts
4.4%
Not listed
4.4%
0.1¢ bid, 8.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8.7¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Hinojosa, 7+ pts
4.4%
Kalshi 4.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hinojosa, 7+ pts
- Last price
- 4.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,149 (11.5x)
Abbott 12-15%4.2%4.2%2.4¢ bid, 5.9¢ askpolled, 47s agoNot listed5.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)Abbott 12-15%4.2%Polymarket 4.2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Abbott 12-15%
4.2%
4.2%
2.4¢ bid, 5.9¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
Not listed
5.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Abbott 12-15%
4.2%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Abbott 12-15%
- Last price
- 4.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,695 (16.9x)
- Volume
- $488
Abbott 18%+3.5%3.5%0.7¢ bid, 6.2¢ askpolled, 47s agoNot listed6.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)Abbott 18%+3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Abbott 18%+
3.5%
3.5%
0.7¢ bid, 6.2¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
Not listed
6.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Abbott 18%+
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 6.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,613 (16.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Abbott 18%+
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,613 (16.1x)
- Volume
- $412
Abbott, 21+ pts3%Not listed3%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 47s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Abbott, 21+ pts3%Kalshi 3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Abbott, 21+ pts
3%
Not listed
3%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Abbott, 21+ pts
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Abbott, 21+ pts
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $384
Abbott 15-18%1.6%1.6%0.4¢ bid, 2.8¢ askpolled, 47s agoNot listed2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)Abbott 15-18%1.6%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Abbott 15-18%
1.6%
1.6%
0.4¢ bid, 2.8¢ ask
polled, 47s ago
Not listed
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Abbott 15-18%
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 47s agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Abbott 15-18%
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $193
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Texas Secretary of State
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Abbott, 1+ pts
- Abbott, 2+ pts
- Abbott, 3+ pts
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Abbott, 1+ pts for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.04 × price × (1 − price) per share (politics rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Texas Governor: margin of victory". Abbott, 1+ pts leads at 68%. Next is Abbott, 2+ pts at 59%. $265K has traded across 41 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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