The Prediction Markets

The Beatles Streams in 2026

Closes
Jan 2, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$49K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 4.9B 99%

Next is Above 5.1B at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Above 4.9B
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 59s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 4.9B
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.1B
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 59s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.1B
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.2B
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 59s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.2B
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
92¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5B
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 59s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5B
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
95¢
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.3B
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 59s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.3B
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
92¢
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.4B
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 59s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.4B
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
92¢
Volume
$610
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.5B
97%
Kalshi 97%polled, 59s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.5B
Last price
97%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
92¢
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.7B
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 59s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.7B
Last price
96%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
91¢
Volume
$130
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.6B
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 59s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.6B
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
92¢
Volume
$123
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 5.8B
83%
Kalshi 83%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.8B
Last price
83%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$116
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 3 more outcomes
Above 5.9B
81%
Kalshi 81%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5.9B
Last price
81%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$39
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 6.0B
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.0B
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 6.1B
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 59s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 6.1B
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Luminate

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 4.9B
  • Above 5.1B
  • Above 5.2B

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "The Beatles Streams in 2026". Above 4.9B leads at 99%. Next is Above 5.1B at 99%. $49K has traded across 13 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 2, 2027.

Kalshi event status: open

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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