The Prediction Markets

The Game Awards: Best Audio Design

Closes
Dec 10, 2026, in 49 days
Traded
$37K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Grand Theft Auto VI 43.5%

Next is Forza Horizon 6 at 13.8%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Grand Theft Auto VI 43.5%Forza Horizon 6 13.8%Saros 7.3%Resident Evil Requiem 7.1%Silent Hill: Townfall 5.8%15 others 22.5%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Grand Theft Auto VI
43.5%
Polymarket 48.7%(43.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 50.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $199 (1.99x)
Polymarket
Contract
Grand Theft Auto VI
Last price
48.7%
Fair, margin removed
43.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50.3¢
Sell Yes
47.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$199 (1.99x)
Volume
$14K
Trade this on Polymarket
Forza Horizon 6
13.8%
Polymarket 15.5%(13.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Forza Horizon 6
Last price
15.5%
Fair, margin removed
13.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Saros
7.3%
Polymarket 8.2%(7.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Polymarket
Contract
Saros
Last price
8.2%
Fair, margin removed
7.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
2.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$290
Trade this on Polymarket
Resident Evil Requiem
7.1%
Polymarket 8%(7.1% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Resident Evil Requiem
Last price
8%
Fair, margin removed
7.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Silent Hill: Townfall
5.8%
Polymarket 6.5%(5.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Silent Hill: Townfall
Last price
6.5%
Fair, margin removed
5.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9.8¢
Sell Yes
3.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,020 (10.2x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Control Resonant
5%
Polymarket 5.7%(5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $971 (9.71x)
Polymarket
Contract
Control Resonant
Last price
5.7%
Fair, margin removed
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10.3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$971 (9.71x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Nioh 3
3.9%
Polymarket 4.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,316 (13.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Nioh 3
Last price
4.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.6¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,316 (13.2x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Pragmata
3.6%
Polymarket 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pragmata
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$648
Trade this on Polymarket
Marvel's Wolverine
2.9%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marvel's Wolverine
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mina the Hollower
1.7%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mina the Hollower
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$223
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 10 more outcomes
007 First Light
1.6%
Polymarket 1.8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,704 (37.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
007 First Light
Last price
1.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.7¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,704 (37.0x)
Volume
$238
Trade this on Polymarket
Crimson Desert
0.8%
Polymarket 0.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,143 (71.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Crimson Desert
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.4¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,143 (71.4x)
Volume
$794
Trade this on Polymarket
Pathologic 3
0.6%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pathologic 3
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$396
Trade this on Polymarket
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$225
Trade this on Polymarket
Reanimal
0.5%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reanimal
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mixtape
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mixtape
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$592
Trade this on Polymarket
Fatal Frame II: Crimson Butterfly Remake
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fatal Frame II: Crimson Butterfly Remake
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$369
Trade this on Polymarket
Marathon
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marathon
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$677
Trade this on Polymarket
Phantom Blade Zero
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Phantom Blade Zero
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$855
Trade this on Polymarket
Phonopolis
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Phonopolis
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$643
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: thegameawards.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Grand Theft Auto VI
  • Forza Horizon 6
  • Saros

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "The Game Awards: Best Audio Design". Grand Theft Auto VI leads at 43.5%. Next is Forza Horizon 6 at 13.8%. $37K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 10, 2026.

The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Audio Design. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Audio Design when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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