The Prediction Markets

The Game Awards: Best Game Direction

Closes
Dec 10, 2026, in 49 days
Traded
$63K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
5 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Grand Theft Auto VI 67.3%

Next is Control Resonant at 10.9%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Grand Theft Auto VI 67.3%Control Resonant 10.9%Pragmata 7.6%Resident Evil Requiem 3.1%The Blood of Dawnwalker 3.1%19 others 8%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 5 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Grand Theft Auto VI
67.3%
Polymarket 75.3%(67.3% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 79.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $125 (1.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Grand Theft Auto VI
Last price
75.3%
Fair, margin removed
67.3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
79.7¢
Sell Yes
70.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$125 (1.25x)
Volume
$32K
Trade this on Polymarket
Control Resonant
10.9%
Polymarket 12.2%(10.9% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 15.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $649 (6.49x)
Polymarket
Contract
Control Resonant
Last price
12.2%
Fair, margin removed
10.9%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
15.4¢
Sell Yes
8.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$649 (6.49x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Pragmata
7.6%
Polymarket 8.5%(7.6% fair)polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pragmata
Last price
8.5%
Fair, margin removed
7.6%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Polymarket
Resident Evil Requiem
3.1%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Resident Evil Requiem
Last price
3.5%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
The Blood of Dawnwalker
3.1%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Blood of Dawnwalker
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
007 First Light
2.1%
Polymarket 2.4%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
007 First Light
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$818
Trade this on Polymarket
Saros
2%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Saros
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Silent Hill: Townfall
0.7%
Polymarket 0.8%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Silent Hill: Townfall
Last price
0.8%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1.3¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$7,692 (76.9x)
Volume
$557
Trade this on Polymarket
Titanium Court
0.6%
Polymarket 0.7%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 1.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $8,333 (83.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Titanium Court
Last price
0.7%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
1.2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$8,333 (83.3x)
Volume
$462
Trade this on Polymarket
Mina the Hollower
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mina the Hollower
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$429
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 14 more outcomes
Cairn
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cairn
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$585
Trade this on Polymarket
Crimson Desert
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Crimson Desert
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Esoteric Ebb
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Esoteric Ebb
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$461
Trade this on Polymarket
Forza Horizon 6
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Forza Horizon 6
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$400
Trade this on Polymarket
Gears of War: E-Day
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gears of War: E-Day
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Marvel's Wolverine
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Marvel's Wolverine
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Mixtape
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mixtape
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$872
Trade this on Polymarket
Pokémon Pokopia
0.2%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Pokémon Pokopia
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Schrödinger's Call
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $33,333 (333x)
Polymarket
Contract
Schrödinger's Call
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$33,333 (333x)
Volume
$372
Trade this on Polymarket
Mewgenics
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Mewgenics
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$478
Trade this on Polymarket
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$443
Trade this on Polymarket
OPUS: Prism Peak
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
OPUS: Prism Peak
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$489
Trade this on Polymarket
Reanimal
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Reanimal
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$742
Trade this on Polymarket
The Duskbloods
0.1%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 5 h agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Duskbloods
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled 5 h ago
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$355
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: thegameawards.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Grand Theft Auto VI
  • Control Resonant
  • Pragmata

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "The Game Awards: Best Game Direction". Grand Theft Auto VI leads at 67.3%. Next is Control Resonant at 10.9%. $63K has traded across 24 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 10, 2026.

The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Game Direction when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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