The Prediction Markets

The Game Awards: Best Mobile Game

Closes
Jan 1, 2027, in 2 months
Traded
$37K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Arknights: Endfield 39.4%

Next is Monster Hunter Outlanders at 19.9%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Arknights: Endfield 39.4%Monster Hunter Outlanders 19.9%Wuthering Waves 14.8%NTE: Neverness to Everness 11.3%Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Mobile 4.5%7 others 10.1%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
Arknights: Endfield
39.4%
Polymarket 34.5%(39.4% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 36¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arknights: Endfield
Last price
34.5%
Fair, margin removed
39.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$27K
Trade this on Polymarket
Monster Hunter Outlanders
19.9%
Polymarket 17.5%(19.9% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 24.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $408 (4.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Monster Hunter Outlanders
Last price
17.5%
Fair, margin removed
19.9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24.5¢
Sell Yes
10.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$408 (4.08x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Wuthering Waves
14.8%
Polymarket 13%(14.8% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Wuthering Waves
Last price
13%
Fair, margin removed
14.8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$831
Trade this on Polymarket
NTE: Neverness to Everness
11.3%
Polymarket 9.9%(11.3% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 12.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $775 (7.75x)
Polymarket
Contract
NTE: Neverness to Everness
Last price
9.9%
Fair, margin removed
11.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12.9¢
Sell Yes
6.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$775 (7.75x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Mobile
4.5%
Polymarket 3.9%(4.5% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Mobile
Last price
3.9%
Fair, margin removed
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Valorant Mobile
4.1%
Polymarket 3.6%(4.1% fair)polled, just nowBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Valorant Mobile
Last price
3.6%
Fair, margin removed
4.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6.4¢
Sell Yes
0.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,563 (15.6x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
The Seven Deadly Sins: Origin
2.5%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, just nowBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Seven Deadly Sins: Origin
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$726
Trade this on Polymarket
Azur Promilia
0.7%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Azur Promilia
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$176
Trade this on Polymarket
Digimon Up
0.7%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Digimon Up
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$176
Trade this on Polymarket
Honkai: Nexus Anima
0.7%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Honkai: Nexus Anima
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$194
Trade this on Polymarket
Sea of Remnants
0.7%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sea of Remnants
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$176
Trade this on Polymarket
The Division Resurgence
0.7%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, just nowBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Division Resurgence
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$176
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: thegameawards.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Arknights: Endfield
  • Monster Hunter Outlanders
  • Wuthering Waves

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "The Game Awards: Best Mobile Game". Arknights: Endfield leads at 39.4%. Next is Monster Hunter Outlanders at 19.9%. $37K has traded across 12 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

The Game Awards are presented annually to honor achievements in the video game industry. The 2026 Game Awards are currently scheduled to be presented on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Best Mobile Game. If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Best Mobile Game when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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