The Prediction Markets

The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping - The Album: First Week Streams

Closes
Nov 22, 2026, in 30 days
Traded
$7K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Above 50K 99%

Next is Above 100K at 99%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Above 50K
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 50K
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
98¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$600
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 100K
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 15s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 100K
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
77¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 250K
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 15s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 250K
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
22¢
Volume
$813
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 500K
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 15s ago
Kalshi
Contract
Above 500K
Last price
99%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
27¢
Volume
$101
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 1M
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 1M
Last price
98%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$940
Trade this on Kalshi
50+
97.6%
Polymarket 97.6%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Polymarket
Contract
50+
Last price
97.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
96.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Polymarket
60+
89%
Polymarket 89%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
60+
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 10M
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 10M
Last price
77%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
70+
69.5%
Polymarket 69.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 72¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $139 (1.39x)
Polymarket
Contract
70+
Last price
69.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
67¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$500
Trade this on Polymarket
Above 2M
59.5%
Kalshi 59.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 2M
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 5 more outcomes
Above 5M
59.5%
Kalshi 59.5%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 5M
Last price
59.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 3.5M
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 3.5M
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Above 7.5M
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Above 7.5M
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
80+
35%
Polymarket 35%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 39¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $256 (2.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
80+
Last price
35%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
31¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
90+
12%
Polymarket 12%polled, 15s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
90+
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$111
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Luminate

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Above 50K
  • Above 100K
  • Above 250K

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Above 50K for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping - The Album: First Week Streams". Above 50K leads at 99%. Next is Above 100K at 99%. $7K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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