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What the markets expect
Over 0.5 goals scored 88%
Next is Over 1.5 goals scored at 60%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 0.5 goals scored88%Not listed88%86¢ bid, 88¢ askpolled, 22s ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Over 0.5 goals scored88%Kalshi 88%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 0.5 goals scored
88%
Not listed
88%
86¢ bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 0.5 goals scored
88%
Kalshi 88%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 0.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 88%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
Over 1.5 goals scored60%Not listed60%59¢ bid, 60¢ askpolled, 22s ago60¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $167 (1.67x)Over 1.5 goals scored60%Kalshi 60%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Over 1.5 goals scored
60%
Not listed
60%
59¢ bid, 60¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
60¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Over 1.5 goals scored
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 1.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 60¢
- Sell Yes
- 59¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $167 (1.67x)
- Volume
- $247
Shanghai Port47%Not listed47%45¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 22s ago47¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Shanghai Port47%Kalshi 47%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Shanghai Port
47%
Not listed
47%
45¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
47¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Shanghai Port
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shanghai Port
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 45¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $1K
Shanghai Haigang FC46.5%46.5%46¢ bid, 47¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed47¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $213 (2.13x)Shanghai Haigang FC46.5%Polymarket 46.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Shanghai Haigang FC
46.5%
46.5%
46¢ bid, 47¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
47¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Shanghai Haigang FC
46.5%
Polymarket 46.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 47¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Shanghai Haigang FC
- Last price
- 46.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 47¢
- Sell Yes
- 46¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $213 (2.13x)
- Volume
- $2K
Over 2.5 goals scored34%Not listed34%33¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 22s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Over 2.5 goals scored34%Kalshi 34%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 2.5 goals scored
34%
Not listed
34%
33¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Over 2.5 goals scored
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 2.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 34%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 33¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $3K
Tie30%Not listed30%30¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 22s ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Tie30%Kalshi 30%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Tie
30%
Not listed
30%
30¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Tie
30%
Kalshi 30%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tie
- Last price
- 30%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
- Volume
- $82
Draw (Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC)28.5%28.5%27¢ bid, 30¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed30¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $333 (3.33x)Draw (Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC)28.5%Polymarket 28.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Draw (Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC)
28.5%
28.5%
27¢ bid, 30¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
30¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Draw (Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC)
28.5%
Polymarket 28.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Draw (Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC)
- Last price
- 28.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $307
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger22%Not listed22%22¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 22s ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Tianjin Jinmen Tiger22%Kalshi 22%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
22%
Not listed
22%
22¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
- Last price
- 22%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 22¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $366
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC21.5%21.5%21¢ bid, 22¢ askpolled, 22s agoNot listed22¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $455 (4.55x)Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC21.5%Polymarket 21.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
21.5%
21.5%
21¢ bid, 22¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
Not listed
22¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
21.5%
Polymarket 21.5%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 22¢
- Sell Yes
- 21¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $455 (4.55x)
- Volume
- $286
Shanghai Port wins by more than 2.5 goalsKalshi: “Shanghai Port wins by more than 1.5 goals”21%Not listed21%19¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 22s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Shanghai Port wins by more than 2.5 goals21%Kalshi 21%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Shanghai Port wins by more than 2.5 goals
Kalshi: “Shanghai Port wins by more than 1.5 goals”
21%
Not listed
21%
19¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Shanghai Port wins by more than 2.5 goals
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shanghai Port wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 19¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $128
Show 6 more outcomesHide 6 outcomes
Over 3.5 goals scored15%Not listed15%14¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 22s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Over 3.5 goals scored15%Kalshi 15%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Over 3.5 goals scored
15%
Not listed
15%
14¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Over 3.5 goals scored
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 3.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $222
Shanghai Port wins by more than 2.5 goals8%Not listed8%6¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 22s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Shanghai Port wins by more than 2.5 goals8%Kalshi 8%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Shanghai Port wins by more than 2.5 goals
8%
Not listed
8%
6¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Shanghai Port wins by more than 2.5 goals
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Shanghai Port wins by more than 2.5 goals
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $2K
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger wins by more than 1.5 goals7%Not listed7%7¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 22s ago8¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Tianjin Jinmen Tiger wins by more than 1.5 goals7%Kalshi 7%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger wins by more than 1.5 goals
7%
Not listed
7%
7¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
8¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger wins by more than 1.5 goals
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger wins by more than 1.5 goals
- Last price
- 7%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $7
Over 4.5 goals scored6%Not listed6%4¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 22s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Over 4.5 goals scored6%Kalshi 6%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 4.5 goals scored
6%
Not listed
6%
4¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Over 4.5 goals scored
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 4.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
Over 5.5 goals scored2%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 22s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Over 5.5 goals scored2%Kalshi 2%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Over 5.5 goals scored
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Over 5.5 goals scored
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 5.5 goals scored
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $47
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger wins by more than 1.5 goalsKalshi: “Tianjin Jinmen Tiger wins by more than 2.5 goals”2%Not listed2%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 22s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Tianjin Jinmen Tiger wins by more than 1.5 goals2%Kalshi 2%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger wins by more than 1.5 goals
Kalshi: “Tianjin Jinmen Tiger wins by more than 2.5 goals”
2%
Not listed
2%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 22s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger wins by more than 1.5 goals
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 22s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger wins by more than 2.5 goals
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: csl-china.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Fox Sports, ESPN, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 0.5 goals scored
- Over 1.5 goals scored
- Shanghai Port
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Polymarket doesn’t list Over 0.5 goals scored for this event.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC". Over 0.5 goals scored leads at 88%. Next is Over 1.5 goals scored at 60%. $9K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.
This event is for the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC and Shanghai Haigang FC.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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