The Prediction Markets

Titled Tuesday Top 8: Oct 27

Closes
Nov 10, 2026, in 18 days
Traded
$2K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Sina Movahed 25%

Next is Denis Lazavik at 22%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Sina Movahed
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sina Movahed
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Denis Lazavik
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denis Lazavik
Last price
22%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Alireza Firouzja
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alireza Firouzja
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Aleksei Sarana
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aleksei Sarana
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hikaru Nakamura
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hikaru Nakamura
Last price
18%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
Maxime Vachier-Lagrave
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
32¢
Sell Yes
15¢
$100 on Yes pays
$313 (3.13x)
Volume
$200
Trade this on Kalshi
Vladislav Artemiev
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vladislav Artemiev
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ian Nepomniachtchi
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ian Nepomniachtchi
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dmitry Andreikin
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dmitry Andreikin
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jose Martinez
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jose Martinez
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 61 more outcomes
Nihal Sarin
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nihal Sarin
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Arjun Erigaisi
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Arjun Erigaisi
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Le Tuan Minh
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Le Tuan Minh
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Fabiano Caruana
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fabiano Caruana
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jan-Krzysztof Duda
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jeffery Xiong
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jeffery Xiong
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Magnus Carlsen
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Magnus Carlsen
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Seyyed Mohammad Amin Tabatabaei
Last price
12%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Bardiya Daneshvar
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bardiya Daneshvar
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Liem Le
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Liem Le
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Vincent Keymer
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Vincent Keymer
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Wesley So
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wesley So
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Andrey Esipenko
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Andrey Esipenko
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Christopher Woojin Yoo
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Christopher Woojin Yoo
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Oleksandr Bortnyk
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oleksandr Bortnyk
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Parham Maghsoodloo
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Parham Maghsoodloo
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam Sevian
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Sevian
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Sergey Sklokin
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sergey Sklokin
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Alexander Grischuk
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alexander Grischuk
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Maxim Matlakov
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Maxim Matlakov
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nguyen Ngoc Truong Son
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nguyen Ngoc Truong Son
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nodirbek Abdusattorov
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Pranav Venkatesh
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pranav Venkatesh
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Pranesh Munirethinam
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pranesh Munirethinam
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Rasmus Svane
9.5%
Kalshi 9.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rasmus Svane
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Awonder Liang
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Awonder Liang
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Frederik Svane
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Frederik Svane
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hans Niemann
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hans Niemann
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Javokhir Sindarov
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Javokhir Sindarov
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Martyn Kravtsiv
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Martyn Kravtsiv
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shamsiddin Vokhidov
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zhamsaran Tsydypov
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Artem Avanesian
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Artem Avanesian
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bogdan-Daniel Deac
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cristobal Henriquez Villagra
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Haik Martirosyan
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Haik Martirosyan
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jules Moussard
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jules Moussard
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Matthias Bluebaum
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matthias Bluebaum
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nikolas Theodorou
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nikolas Theodorou
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Rudik Makarian
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rudik Makarian
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Shant Sargsyan
8.5%
Kalshi 8.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shant Sargsyan
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Aravindh Chithambaram
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aravindh Chithambaram
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
David Anton
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
David Anton
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Faustino Oro
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Faustino Oro
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Levon Aronian
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Levon Aronian
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Aleksandar Indjic
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aleksandar Indjic
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Aleksandr Shimanov
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aleksandr Shimanov
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Artin Ashraf
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Artin Ashraf
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Benjamin Bok
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Benjamin Bok
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dau Khuong Duy
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dau Khuong Duy
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Haowen Xue
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Haowen Xue
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nitzan Steinberg
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nitzan Steinberg
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Renato Terry Lujan
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Renato Terry Lujan
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tobias Koelle
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tobias Koelle
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Volen Dyulgerov
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Volen Dyulgerov
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Yoseph Theolifus Taher
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Akshay Borgaonkar
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Akshay Borgaonkar
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Aleksandr Usov
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aleksandr Usov
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dincer Tasdogen
6.5%
Kalshi 6.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dincer Tasdogen
Last price
6.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Zarina Nurgaliyeva
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zarina Nurgaliyeva
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Liquipedia, Chess.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Sina Movahed
  • Denis Lazavik
  • Alireza Firouzja

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Titled Tuesday Top 8: Oct 27". Sina Movahed leads at 25%. Next is Denis Lazavik at 22%. $2K has traded across 71 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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