The Prediction Markets

Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by ___?

Full timeKickoff Waiting for the venues to settle
Traded
$9K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
1 min ago
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What the markets expect

June 30, 2027 88.6%

Next is March 31, 2027 at 69%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
June 30, 2027
88.6%
Polymarket 88.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 89.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Polymarket
Contract
June 30, 2027
Last price
88.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
89.9¢
Sell Yes
87.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$889
Trade this on Polymarket
March 31, 2027
69%
Polymarket 69%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
March 31, 2027
Last price
69%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
68¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
December 31, 2026
7%
Polymarket 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
Contract
December 31, 2026
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
October 31, 2026
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
October 31, 2026
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.8¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,724 (17.2x)
Volume
$951
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: x.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • June 30, 2027
  • March 31, 2027
  • December 31, 2026

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share (crypto rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by ___?". June 30, 2027 leads at 88.6%. Next is March 31, 2027 at 69%. $9K has traded across 4 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Robinhood makes tokenized stocks available for purchase in the United States by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A tokenized stock means a blockchain-based token that represents one share, or a fraction of a share, of a stock or ETF listed on a U.S. national securities exchange (such as Nasdaq or the NYSE) and is either backed one-to-one by that security or is itself a share of that security recorded on a blockchain. Tokens tracking shares of private companies, synthetic or derivative products that track a stock's price without being backed by the underlying shares, and stablecoins will not count. Tokenized stocks are available when customers holding a U.S. Robinhood brokerage account are able to buy at least one tokenized stock, regardless of subscription tier or account minimum. Availability to customers in at least one U.S. state will qualify. Availability limited to customers outside the United States, accredited investors, internal or employee testing, waitlists, and invite-only programs will not qualify. Announcements alone will not qualify; tokenized stocks must be actively purchasable by the deadline. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Robinhood (https://x.com/RobinhoodApp, https://x.com/RobinhoodCrypto); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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