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What the markets expect
Josh Allen 90%
Next is Brock Purdy at 77%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Josh Allen90%90%90¢ bid, 95¢ askpolled, 43s ago95¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $105 (1.05x)Josh Allen90%Kalshi 90%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Josh Allen
90%
90%
90¢ bid, 95¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
95¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Josh Allen
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Allen
- Last price
- 90%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 95¢
- Sell Yes
- 90¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $105 (1.05x)
- Volume
- $243
Brock Purdy77%77%74¢ bid, 86¢ askpolled, 43s ago86¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Brock Purdy77%Kalshi 77%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Brock Purdy
77%
77%
74¢ bid, 86¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
86¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Brock Purdy
77%
Kalshi 77%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brock Purdy
- Last price
- 77%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 86¢
- Sell Yes
- 74¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
- Volume
- $2K
Jared Goff63%63%63¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 43s ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Jared Goff63%Kalshi 63%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Jared Goff
63%
63%
63¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Jared Goff
63%
Kalshi 63%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jared Goff
- Last price
- 63%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 63¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
- Volume
- $3K
Bryce Young62%62%55¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 43s ago62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Bryce Young62%Kalshi 62%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Bryce Young
62%
62%
55¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Bryce Young
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bryce Young
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 55¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $3K
Drake Maye60%60%60¢ bid, 61¢ askpolled, 43s ago61¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $164 (1.64x)Drake Maye60%Kalshi 60%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Drake Maye
60%
60%
60¢ bid, 61¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
61¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Drake Maye
60%
Kalshi 60%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 61¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $164 (1.64x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Drake Maye
- Last price
- 60%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 61¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $164 (1.64x)
- Volume
- $4K
Trevor Lawrence59%59%58¢ bid, 69¢ askpolled, 43s ago69¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $145 (1.45x)Trevor Lawrence59%Kalshi 59%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Trevor Lawrence
59%
59%
58¢ bid, 69¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
69¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Trevor Lawrence
59%
Kalshi 59%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trevor Lawrence
- Last price
- 59%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 69¢
- Sell Yes
- 58¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $145 (1.45x)
- Volume
- $3K
Joe Burrow57%57%51¢ bid, 57¢ askpolled, 43s ago57¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $175 (1.75x)Joe Burrow57%Kalshi 57%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Joe Burrow
57%
57%
51¢ bid, 57¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
57¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Joe Burrow
57%
Kalshi 57%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 57¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $175 (1.75x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Burrow
- Last price
- 57%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 57¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $175 (1.75x)
- Volume
- $5K
Dak Prescott55%55%48¢ bid, 55¢ askpolled, 43s ago55¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $182 (1.82x)Dak Prescott55%Kalshi 55%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Dak Prescott
55%
55%
48¢ bid, 55¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
55¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Dak Prescott
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dak Prescott
- Last price
- 55%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 55¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $182 (1.82x)
- Volume
- $3K
Jordan Love54%54%40¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 43s ago65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Jordan Love54%Kalshi 54%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Jordan Love
54%
54%
40¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Jordan Love
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jordan Love
- Last price
- 54%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $2K
Tyler Shough53%53%47¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 43s ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Tyler Shough53%Kalshi 53%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Tyler Shough
53%
53%
47¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Tyler Shough
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Shough
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $2K
Show 27 more outcomesHide 27 outcomes
Matthew Stafford51%51%51¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 43s ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Matthew Stafford51%Kalshi 51%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Matthew Stafford
51%
51%
51¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Matthew Stafford
51%
Kalshi 51%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matthew Stafford
- Last price
- 51%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 51¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
- Volume
- $1K
Patrick Mahomes48%48%48¢ bid, 65¢ askpolled, 43s ago65¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $154 (1.54x)Patrick Mahomes48%Kalshi 48%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Patrick Mahomes
48%
48%
48¢ bid, 65¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
65¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Patrick Mahomes
48%
Kalshi 48%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 65¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $154 (1.54x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Patrick Mahomes
- Last price
- 48%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 65¢
- Sell Yes
- 48¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $154 (1.54x)
- Volume
- $3K
C.J. Stroud45%45%40¢ bid, 45¢ askpolled, 43s ago45¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $222 (2.22x)C.J. Stroud45%Kalshi 45%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
C.J. Stroud
45%
45%
40¢ bid, 45¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
45¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $222 (2.22x)
C.J. Stroud
45%
Kalshi 45%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 45¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $222 (2.22x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- C.J. Stroud
- Last price
- 45%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 45¢
- Sell Yes
- 40¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $222 (2.22x)
- Volume
- $540
Kirk Cousins26%26%26¢ bid, 28¢ askpolled, 43s ago28¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $357 (3.57x)Kirk Cousins26%Kalshi 26%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kirk Cousins
26%
26%
26¢ bid, 28¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
28¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kirk Cousins
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kirk Cousins
- Last price
- 26%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 28¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $357 (3.57x)
- Volume
- $1K
Lamar Jackson25%25%17¢ bid, 34¢ askpolled, 43s ago34¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $294 (2.94x)Lamar Jackson25%Kalshi 25%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Lamar Jackson
25%
25%
17¢ bid, 34¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
34¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Lamar Jackson
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lamar Jackson
- Last price
- 25%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 34¢
- Sell Yes
- 17¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $294 (2.94x)
- Volume
- $2K
Aaron Rodgers21%21%11¢ bid, 21¢ askpolled, 43s ago21¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $476 (4.76x)Aaron Rodgers21%Kalshi 21%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Aaron Rodgers
21%
21%
11¢ bid, 21¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
21¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Aaron Rodgers
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Rodgers
- Last price
- 21%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 21¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $476 (4.76x)
- Volume
- $32
Bo Nix18%18%9¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 43s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Bo Nix18%Kalshi 18%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Bo Nix
18%
18%
9¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Bo Nix
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bo Nix
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $2K
Jayden Daniels17%17%7¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 43s ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Jayden Daniels17%Kalshi 17%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Jayden Daniels
17%
17%
7¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Jayden Daniels
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jayden Daniels
- Last price
- 17%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
- Volume
- $1K
Caleb Williams16%16%16¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 43s ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Caleb Williams16%Kalshi 16%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Caleb Williams
16%
16%
16¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Caleb Williams
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caleb Williams
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
- Volume
- $3K
Kyler Murray16%16%11¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 43s ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Kyler Murray16%Kalshi 16%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kyler Murray
16%
16%
11¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kyler Murray
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyler Murray
- Last price
- 16%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 11¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
- Volume
- $2K
Geno Smith15%15%7¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 43s ago15¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $667 (6.67x)Geno Smith15%Kalshi 15%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Geno Smith
15%
15%
7¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
15¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Geno Smith
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geno Smith
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $228
Jacoby Brissett12%12%7¢ bid, 19¢ askpolled, 43s ago19¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $526 (5.26x)Jacoby Brissett12%Kalshi 12%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Jacoby Brissett
12%
12%
7¢ bid, 19¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
19¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Jacoby Brissett
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jacoby Brissett
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 19¢
- Sell Yes
- 7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $526 (5.26x)
- Volume
- $193
Cam Ward10%10%1¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 43s ago10¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Cam Ward10%Kalshi 10%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Cam Ward
10%
10%
1¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
10¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Cam Ward
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cam Ward
- Last price
- 10%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $263
Daniel Jones9%9%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 43s ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Daniel Jones9%Kalshi 9%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Daniel Jones
9%
9%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Daniel Jones
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Jones
- Last price
- 9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $68
Malik Willis8%8%6¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 43s ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Malik Willis8%Kalshi 8%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Malik Willis
8%
8%
6¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Malik Willis
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis
- Last price
- 8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $5K
Sam Darnold5%5%5¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 43s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Sam Darnold5%Kalshi 5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Sam Darnold
5%
5%
5¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Sam Darnold
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sam Darnold
- Last price
- 5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $341
Baker Mayfield3%3%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 43s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Baker Mayfield3%Kalshi 3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Baker Mayfield
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Baker Mayfield
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baker Mayfield
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $3K
Fernando Mendoza3%3%1¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 43s ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Fernando Mendoza3%Kalshi 3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Fernando Mendoza
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Fernando Mendoza
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Mendoza
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $4K
Jameis Winston3%3%1¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 43s ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Jameis Winston3%Kalshi 3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jameis Winston
3%
3%
1¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Jameis Winston
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jameis Winston
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $289
Deshaun Watson2%2%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 43s ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Deshaun Watson2%Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Deshaun Watson
2%
2%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Deshaun Watson
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Deshaun Watson
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Jalen Hurts2%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Jalen Hurts2%Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jalen Hurts
2%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jalen Hurts
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jalen Hurts
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Justin Herbert2%2%1¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 43s ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Justin Herbert2%Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Justin Herbert
2%
2%
1¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Justin Herbert
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Justin Herbert
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
- Volume
- $3K
Carson Wentz1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Carson Wentz1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Carson Wentz
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Carson Wentz
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carson Wentz
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $100
Drew Lock1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Drew Lock1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Drew Lock
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Drew Lock
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Drew Lock
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $100
Jaxson Dart1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Jaxson Dart1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jaxson Dart
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Jaxson Dart
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaxson Dart
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $2K
Marcus Mariota1%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 43s ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Marcus Mariota1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Marcus Mariota
1%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Marcus Mariota
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marcus Mariota
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $100
Michael Penix Jr.1%1%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 43s ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Michael Penix Jr.1%Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Michael Penix Jr.
1%
1%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 43s ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Michael Penix Jr.
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 43s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Penix Jr.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $268
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Sleeper
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Josh Allen
- Brock Purdy
- Jared Goff
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Top 10 Fantasy QB". Josh Allen leads at 90%. Next is Brock Purdy at 77%. $68K has traded across 37 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 18, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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