The Prediction Markets

Top 10 Fantasy WR

Closes
Jan 18, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$116K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Jaxon Smith-Njigba 91%

Next is Puka Nacua at 89%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
91%
Kalshi 91%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Last price
91%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
96¢
Sell Yes
91¢
$100 on Yes pays
$104 (1.04x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Puka Nacua
89%
Kalshi 89%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
Puka Nacua
Last price
89%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
36¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$707
Trade this on Kalshi
Amon-Ra St. Brown
76%
Kalshi 76%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Last price
76%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
73¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Christian Watson
72%
Kalshi 72%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
Christian Watson
Last price
72%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
64¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
CeeDee Lamb
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
Contract
CeeDee Lamb
Last price
68%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
81¢
Sell Yes
60¢
$100 on Yes pays
$123 (1.23x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ja'Marr Chase
55%
Kalshi 55%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 77¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $130 (1.30x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ja'Marr Chase
Last price
55%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
77¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$130 (1.30x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chris Olave
54%
Kalshi 54%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chris Olave
Last price
54%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
54¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Zay Flowers
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zay Flowers
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Antonio Williams
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Antonio Williams
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Malik Nabers
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Nabers
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 51 more outcomes
Luther Burden III
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 54¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Luther Burden III
Last price
47%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Parker Washington
42%
Kalshi 42%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 48¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $208 (2.08x)
Kalshi
Contract
Parker Washington
Last price
42%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
42¢
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Justin Jefferson
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 42¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $238 (2.38x)
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Jefferson
Last price
40%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Drake London
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drake London
Last price
38%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
38¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Matthew Golden
36%
Kalshi 36%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Golden
Last price
36%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tee Higgins
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 79¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $127 (1.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tee Higgins
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
79¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$127 (1.27x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Tetairoa McMillan
32%
Kalshi 32%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tetairoa McMillan
Last price
32%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalif Raymond
28.5%
Kalshi 28.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 55¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $182 (1.82x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kalif Raymond
Last price
28.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
55¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$182 (1.82x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nico Collins
28%
Kalshi 28%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nico Collins
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jameson Williams
26%
Kalshi 26%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jameson Williams
Last price
26%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Garrett Wilson
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 28¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $357 (3.57x)
Kalshi
Contract
Garrett Wilson
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
28¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$357 (3.57x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
George Pickens
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
George Pickens
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$945
Trade this on Kalshi
Jalen Coker
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Coker
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
18¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$518
Trade this on Kalshi
DeVonta Smith
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
DeVonta Smith
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Denzel Boston
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denzel Boston
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$140
Trade this on Kalshi
Emeka Egbuka
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Emeka Egbuka
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Wilson
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Wilson
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Mike Evans
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mike Evans
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$8K
Trade this on Kalshi
Jaylen Waddle
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 41¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaylen Waddle
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Stefon Diggs
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 69¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $145 (1.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stefon Diggs
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
69¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$145 (1.45x)
Volume
$216
Trade this on Kalshi
Alec Pierce
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alec Pierce
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Downs
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Downs
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$186
Trade this on Kalshi
Tre Tucker
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tre Tucker
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Brian Thomas Jr.
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brian Thomas Jr.
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi
Devaughn Vele
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Devaughn Vele
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$34
Trade this on Kalshi
Jakobi Meyers
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jakobi Meyers
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$250
Trade this on Kalshi
Jordyn Tyson
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jordyn Tyson
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Pittman Jr.
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$53
Trade this on Kalshi
Carnell Tate
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Carnell Tate
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$393
Trade this on Kalshi
Quentin Johnston
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Quentin Johnston
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$672
Trade this on Kalshi
Rome Odunze
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rome Odunze
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$139
Trade this on Kalshi
Wan'Dale Robinson
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wan'Dale Robinson
Last price
6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$643
Trade this on Kalshi
Courtland Sutton
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Courtland Sutton
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$400
Trade this on Kalshi
DK Metcalf
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
DK Metcalf
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Keon Coleman
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Keon Coleman
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Joshua Palmer
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joshua Palmer
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Deebo Samuel Sr.
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi
Makai Lemon
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Makai Lemon
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$666
Trade this on Kalshi
Dontayvion Wicks
2.5%
Kalshi 2.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dontayvion Wicks
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ladd McConkey
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ladd McConkey
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$10K
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Pittman Jr.
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Pittman Jr.
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Rashee Rice
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 19¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rashee Rice
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Terry McLaurin
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Terry McLaurin
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Roman Wilson
1.5%
Kalshi 1.5%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Roman Wilson
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
A.J. Brown
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
A.J. Brown
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Chris Godwin Jr.
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chris Godwin Jr.
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Davante Adams
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Davante Adams
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
DJ Moore
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 86¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Kalshi
Contract
DJ Moore
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
86¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$116 (1.16x)
Volume
$405
Trade this on Kalshi
Rashod Bateman
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rashod Bateman
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$188
Trade this on Kalshi
Romeo Doubs
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Romeo Doubs
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$30
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyquan Thornton
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 32s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyquan Thornton
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
78¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$128 (1.28x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Sleeper

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  • Puka Nacua
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Top 10 Fantasy WR". Jaxon Smith-Njigba leads at 91%. Next is Puka Nacua at 89%. $116K has traded across 61 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 18, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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