The Prediction Markets

Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?

Closes
Oct 26, 2026, in 2 days
Traded
$24K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
1 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Been By Now 99%

Next is Choosin' Texas at 99%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Been By Now
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Been By Now
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
99¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Choosin' Texas
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Choosin' Texas
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
81¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Lies
99%
Kalshi 99%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
Lies
Last price
99%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
61¢
Volume
$122
Trade this on Kalshi
Boston
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Boston
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
93¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
stupid song
98%
Kalshi 98%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
stupid song
Last price
98%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
75¢
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
HOUSEWIFE
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 1 h ago
Kalshi
Contract
HOUSEWIFE
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
—
Sell Yes
66¢
Volume
$621
Trade this on Kalshi
expectations
85%
Kalshi 85%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
expectations
Last price
85%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
74¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
BbY WOW
80%
Kalshi 80%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
BbY WOW
Last price
80%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Babydoll
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Babydoll
Last price
49%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$316
Trade this on Kalshi
Earrings
19%
Kalshi 19%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Earrings
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$476
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 15 more outcomes
BE HER
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
Contract
BE HER
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$265
Trade this on Kalshi
Nicole Kidman
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nicole Kidman
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
hate that i made you love me
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 89¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Kalshi
Contract
hate that i made you love me
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
LODI WHEN
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
LODI WHEN
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
LOVING LIFE AGAIN
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
LOVING LIFE AGAIN
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
Man I Need
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Man I Need
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
Midnight Sun
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Midnight Sun
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
Patient Zero
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Patient Zero
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Quebec
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Quebec
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$939
Trade this on Kalshi
Risk It All
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Risk It All
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$87
Trade this on Kalshi
LAST THING YOU NEED
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
LAST THING YOU NEED
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$17
Trade this on Kalshi
the cure
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
the cure
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$429
Trade this on Kalshi
ROBOT KILLED THE WORKING MAN
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
ROBOT KILLED THE WORKING MAN
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$538
Trade this on Kalshi
I Just Might
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
I Just Might
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$92
Trade this on Kalshi
Solar Eclipse
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Solar Eclipse
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 h ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$281
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Billboard

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Been By Now
  • Choosin' Texas
  • Lies

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?". Been By Now leads at 99%. Next is Choosin' Texas at 99%. $24K has traded across 25 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 26, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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