The Prediction Markets

Top 3 Fantasy WR

Closes
Jan 18, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$12K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Jordyn Tyson 95%

Next is Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 78%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Jordyn Tyson
95%
Kalshi 95%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jordyn Tyson
Last price
95%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$25
Trade this on Kalshi
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
78%
Kalshi 78%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Last price
78%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Volume
$160
Trade this on Kalshi
Kalif Raymond
50%
Kalshi 50%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 99¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $101 (1.01x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kalif Raymond
Last price
50%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
99¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$101 (1.01x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Antonio Williams
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Antonio Williams
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Denzel Boston
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denzel Boston
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dontayvion Wicks
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dontayvion Wicks
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Rashod Bateman
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rashod Bateman
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Roman Wilson
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Roman Wilson
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Rome Odunze
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rome Odunze
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stefon Diggs
49.5%
Kalshi 49.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stefon Diggs
Last price
49.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 51 more outcomes
DJ Moore
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
DJ Moore
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Emeka Egbuka
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Emeka Egbuka
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Ladd McConkey
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ladd McConkey
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Makai Lemon
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Makai Lemon
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Marvin Harrison Jr.
49%
Kalshi 49%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 97¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $103 (1.03x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Pittman Jr.
Last price
49%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
97¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Matthew Golden
45.5%
Kalshi 45.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 83¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $120 (1.20x)
Kalshi
Contract
Matthew Golden
Last price
45.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
83¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$120 (1.20x)
Trade this on Kalshi
DeVonta Smith
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
DeVonta Smith
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Trade this on Kalshi
George Pickens
42.5%
Kalshi 42.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 82¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $122 (1.22x)
Kalshi
Contract
George Pickens
Last price
42.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
82¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$122 (1.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Puka Nacua
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Puka Nacua
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Amon-Ra St. Brown
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 35¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Kalshi
Contract
Amon-Ra St. Brown
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
CeeDee Lamb
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 36¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $278 (2.78x)
Kalshi
Contract
CeeDee Lamb
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Ja'Marr Chase
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ja'Marr Chase
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$710
Trade this on Kalshi
Justin Jefferson
20%
Kalshi 20%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Jefferson
Last price
20%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Kalshi
Chris Olave
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chris Olave
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Parker Washington
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Parker Washington
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Tetairoa McMillan
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tetairoa McMillan
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Christian Watson
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Christian Watson
Last price
15%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Garrett Wilson
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Garrett Wilson
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Kalshi
Zay Flowers
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Zay Flowers
Last price
14%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Kalshi
Alec Pierce
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
Contract
Alec Pierce
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$181
Trade this on Kalshi
Rashee Rice
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Rashee Rice
Last price
11%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Volume
$181
Trade this on Kalshi
Drake London
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Drake London
Last price
10%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
10¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Volume
$1
Trade this on Kalshi
Jaylen Waddle
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jaylen Waddle
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$74
Trade this on Kalshi
Nico Collins
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nico Collins
Last price
9%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$145
Trade this on Kalshi
Josh Downs
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Josh Downs
Last price
8%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$693
Trade this on Kalshi
Tee Higgins
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tee Higgins
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Brian Thomas Jr.
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brian Thomas Jr.
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$181
Trade this on Kalshi
Luther Burden III
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 98¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $102 (1.02x)
Kalshi
Contract
Luther Burden III
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
98¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$102 (1.02x)
Volume
$54
Trade this on Kalshi
Malik Nabers
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Malik Nabers
Last price
7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$691
Trade this on Kalshi
Jalen Coker
5.5%
Kalshi 5.5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jalen Coker
Last price
5.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Chris Godwin Jr.
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Chris Godwin Jr.
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$56
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Wilson
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Wilson
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$691
Trade this on Kalshi
Tre Tucker
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tre Tucker
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$0
Trade this on Kalshi
Wan'Dale Robinson
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wan'Dale Robinson
Last price
5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
A.J. Brown
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
A.J. Brown
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
23¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$435 (4.35x)
Volume
$637
Trade this on Kalshi
Carnell Tate
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Carnell Tate
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Courtland Sutton
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Courtland Sutton
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Devaughn Vele
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Devaughn Vele
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
DK Metcalf
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
DK Metcalf
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jakobi Meyers
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jakobi Meyers
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jameson Williams
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jameson Williams
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Joshua Palmer
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Joshua Palmer
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Keon Coleman
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Keon Coleman
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Quentin Johnston
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Quentin Johnston
Last price
4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mike Evans
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mike Evans
Last price
3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
85¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$118 (1.18x)
Volume
$33
Trade this on Kalshi
Davante Adams
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Davante Adams
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$180
Trade this on Kalshi
Marvin Harrison Jr.
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marvin Harrison Jr.
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$123
Trade this on Kalshi
Deebo Samuel Sr.
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Deebo Samuel Sr.
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Romeo Doubs
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Romeo Doubs
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
88¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$114 (1.14x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Terry McLaurin
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Terry McLaurin
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi
Tyquan Thornton
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 50s agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
Contract
Tyquan Thornton
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$100
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Sleeper

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Jordyn Tyson
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba
  • Kalif Raymond

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Top 3 Fantasy WR". Jordyn Tyson leads at 95%. Next is Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 78%. $12K has traded across 61 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 18, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

See all sports markets