What are the odds of Erling Braut Haaland in Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026?

Erling Braut Haaland is currently priced at 77.5% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Alysa Liu in Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026?

Alysa Liu is currently priced at 61.5% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Vozinha in Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026?

Vozinha is currently priced at 33.5% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Lindsey Vonn in Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026?

Lindsey Vonn is currently priced at 31% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Lionel Messi in Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026?

Lionel Messi is currently priced at 29.5% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Ilia Malinin in Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026?

Ilia Malinin is currently priced at 23.1% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Kylian Mbappé in Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026?

Kylian Mbappé is currently priced at 21% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Folarin Balogun in Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026?

Folarin Balogun is currently priced at 19.5% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Conor McGregor in Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026?

Conor McGregor is currently priced at 18.5% in prediction markets.

What are the odds of Anthony Joshua in Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026?

Anthony Joshua is currently priced at 18% in prediction markets.

Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026

Closes: Dec 31, 2026, in 2 months
Traded: $51K
Venues: Polymarket
Prices updated: 2 min ago

What the markets expect

Erling Braut Haaland 77.5%

Next is Alysa Liu at 61.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

Polymarket

Outcome

Consensus

Venue prices on a 0–100% scale

Polymarket

Best Yes price

Erling Braut Haaland

77.5%

74¢ bid, 81¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

81¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $123 (1.23x)

Erling Braut Haaland

77.5%

Polymarket 77.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)

Polymarket

Contract: Erling Braut Haaland
Last price: 77.5%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 81¢
Sell Yes: 74¢
$100 on Yes pays: $123 (1.23x)
Volume: $2K

Trade this on Polymarket

Alysa Liu

61.5%

61¢ bid, 62¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

62¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $161 (1.61x)

Alysa Liu

61.5%

Polymarket 61.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)

Polymarket

Contract: Alysa Liu
Last price: 61.5%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 62¢
Sell Yes: 61¢
$100 on Yes pays: $161 (1.61x)
Volume: $8K

Trade this on Polymarket

Vozinha

33.5%

32¢ bid, 35¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

35¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $286 (2.86x)

Vozinha

33.5%

Polymarket 33.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)

Polymarket

Contract: Vozinha
Last price: 33.5%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 35¢
Sell Yes: 32¢
$100 on Yes pays: $286 (2.86x)
Volume: $2K

Trade this on Polymarket

Lindsey Vonn

31%

30¢ bid, 32¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

32¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $313 (3.13x)

Lindsey Vonn

31%

Polymarket 31%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 32¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $313 (3.13x)

Polymarket

Contract: Lindsey Vonn
Last price: 31%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 32¢
Sell Yes: 30¢
$100 on Yes pays: $313 (3.13x)
Volume: $670

Trade this on Polymarket

Lionel Messi

29.5%

29¢ bid, 30¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

30¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $333 (3.33x)

Lionel Messi

29.5%

Polymarket 29.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)

Polymarket

Contract: Lionel Messi
Last price: 29.5%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 30¢
Sell Yes: 29¢
$100 on Yes pays: $333 (3.33x)
Volume: $4K

Trade this on Polymarket

Ilia Malinin

23.1%

21.4¢ bid, 24.7¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

24.7¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $405 (4.05x)

Ilia Malinin

23.1%

Polymarket 23.1%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 24.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $405 (4.05x)

Polymarket

Contract: Ilia Malinin
Last price: 23.1%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 24.7¢
Sell Yes: 21.4¢
$100 on Yes pays: $405 (4.05x)
Volume: $6K

Trade this on Polymarket

Kylian Mbappé

21%

20¢ bid, 22¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

22¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $455 (4.55x)

Kylian Mbappé

21%

Polymarket 21%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)

Polymarket

Contract: Kylian Mbappé
Last price: 21%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 22¢
Sell Yes: 20¢
$100 on Yes pays: $455 (4.55x)
Volume: $5K

Trade this on Polymarket

Folarin Balogun

19.5%

18¢ bid, 21¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

21¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $476 (4.76x)

Folarin Balogun

19.5%

Polymarket 19.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)

Polymarket

Contract: Folarin Balogun
Last price: 19.5%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 21¢
Sell Yes: 18¢
$100 on Yes pays: $476 (4.76x)
Volume: $3K

Trade this on Polymarket

Conor McGregor

18.5%

18¢ bid, 19¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

19¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $526 (5.26x)

Conor McGregor

18.5%

Polymarket 18.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)

Polymarket

Contract: Conor McGregor
Last price: 18.5%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 19¢
Sell Yes: 18¢
$100 on Yes pays: $526 (5.26x)
Volume: $6K

Trade this on Polymarket

Anthony Joshua

18%

16¢ bid, 20¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

20¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $500 (5.00x)

Anthony Joshua

18%

Polymarket 18%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)

Polymarket

Contract: Anthony Joshua
Last price: 18%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 20¢
Sell Yes: 16¢
$100 on Yes pays: $500 (5.00x)
Volume: $4K

Trade this on Polymarket

Show 4 more outcomes

Lamine Yamal

16%

12¢ bid, 20¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

20¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $500 (5.00x)

Lamine Yamal

16%

Polymarket 16%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)

Polymarket

Contract: Lamine Yamal
Last price: 16%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 20¢
Sell Yes: 12¢
$100 on Yes pays: $500 (5.00x)
Volume: $4K

Trade this on Polymarket

Victor Wembanyama

14%

13¢ bid, 15¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

15¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $667 (6.67x)

Victor Wembanyama

14%

Polymarket 14%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)

Polymarket

Contract: Victor Wembanyama
Last price: 14%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 15¢
Sell Yes: 13¢
$100 on Yes pays: $667 (6.67x)
Volume: $1K

Trade this on Polymarket

Arch Manning

3.4%

1¢ bid, 5.8¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

5.8¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)

Arch Manning

3.4%

Polymarket 3.4%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)

Polymarket

Contract: Arch Manning
Last price: 3.4%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 5.8¢
Sell Yes: 1¢
$100 on Yes pays: $1,724 (17.2x)
Volume: $2K

Trade this on Polymarket

Jalen Brunson

1.2%

0.7¢ bid, 1.7¢ ask

polled, 2 min ago

1.7¢ on Polymarket

$100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)

Jalen Brunson

1.2%

Polymarket 1.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)

Polymarket

Contract: Jalen Brunson
Last price: 1.2%
As of: Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes: 1.7¢
Sell Yes: 0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays: $5,882 (58.8x)
Volume: $4K

Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket resolves via:: UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

Erling Braut Haaland
Alysa Liu
Vozinha

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Outcome

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting

Best bid

—

Spread

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Best ask

—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

Stake

Buy

Outcome to buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026". Erling Braut Haaland leads at 77.5%. Next is Alysa Liu at 61.5%. $51K has traded across 14 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed athlete is ranked in the Top 5 of Google’s official Year in Search Global "Athletes" list for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → Athletes. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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What the markets expect

Odds by venue

Who resolves this market

How the odds have moved

Order books

Polymarket

Top of book

Depth · top 8 levels

Recent trades

What your stake buys

About this market

Questions

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