The Prediction Markets

Top 5 Most Searched Movies on Google 2026

Closes
Dec 31, 2026, in 2 months
Traded
$28K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
2 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

The Odyssey 93.5%

Next is Obsession at 88%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
The Odyssey
93.5%
Polymarket 93.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Odyssey
Last price
93.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
92¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Polymarket
Obsession
88%
Polymarket 88%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 89¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $112 (1.12x)
Polymarket
Contract
Obsession
Last price
88%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
89¢
Sell Yes
87¢
$100 on Yes pays
$112 (1.12x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Polymarket
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
68%
Polymarket 68%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
Last price
68%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
70¢
Sell Yes
66¢
$100 on Yes pays
$143 (1.43x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Backrooms
56.5%
Polymarket 56.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Polymarket
Contract
Backrooms
Last price
56.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
58¢
Sell Yes
55¢
$100 on Yes pays
$172 (1.72x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Michael
52.5%
Polymarket 52.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 54¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $185 (1.85x)
Polymarket
Contract
Michael
Last price
52.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
54¢
Sell Yes
51¢
$100 on Yes pays
$185 (1.85x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Toy Story 5
40%
Polymarket 40%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 41¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $244 (2.44x)
Polymarket
Contract
Toy Story 5
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
41¢
Sell Yes
39¢
$100 on Yes pays
$244 (2.44x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
The Devil Wears Prada 2
19%
Polymarket 19%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Devil Wears Prada 2
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Avengers: Doomsday
17%
Polymarket 17%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Avengers: Doomsday
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Avatar: Fire and Ash
15.5%
Polymarket 15.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Avatar: Fire and Ash
Last price
15.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Trade this on Polymarket
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
9.5%
Polymarket 9.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
Last price
9.5%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$326
Trade this on Polymarket
Shrek 5
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 5.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,887 (18.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shrek 5
Last price
3.2%
As of
Polled 2 min ago
Buy Yes
5.3¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,887 (18.9x)
Volume
$255
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • The Odyssey
  • Obsession
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
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Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (other / general rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Top 5 Most Searched Movies on Google 2026". The Odyssey leads at 93.5%. Next is Obsession at 88%. $28K has traded across 11 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is ranked in the Top 5 of Google’s official Year in Search Global "Movies" list for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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