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What the markets expect
Josh Allen 55.2%
Next is Brock Purdy at 10.5%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Josh Allen55.2%63%55.3% fair60¢ bid, 64¢ askpolled, 1 h ago64¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $156 (1.56x)Josh Allen55.2%Kalshi 63%(55.3% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Josh Allen
55.2%
63%
55.3% fair
60¢ bid, 64¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
64¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Josh Allen
55.2%
Kalshi 63%(55.3% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 64¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $156 (1.56x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Josh Allen
- Last price
- 63%
- Fair, margin removed
- 55.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 64¢
- Sell Yes
- 60¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $156 (1.56x)
- Volume
- $20K
Brock Purdy10.5%12%10.5% fair12¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 1 h ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Brock Purdy10.5%Kalshi 12%(10.5% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Brock Purdy
10.5%
12%
10.5% fair
12¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Brock Purdy
10.5%
Kalshi 12%(10.5% fair)polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Brock Purdy
- Last price
- 12%
- Fair, margin removed
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
- Volume
- $11K
Jared Goff2.6%3%2¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 h ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Jared Goff2.6%Kalshi 3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Jared Goff
2.6%
3%
2¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Jared Goff
2.6%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jared Goff
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
- Volume
- $4K
Bryce Young1.7%2%2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 1 h ago3¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Bryce Young1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Bryce Young
1.7%
2%
2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
3¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Bryce Young
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bryce Young
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $4K
Caleb Williams1.7%2%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Caleb Williams1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Caleb Williams
1.7%
2%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Caleb Williams
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Caleb Williams
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $8K
Drake Maye1.7%2%2¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 1 h ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Drake Maye1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Drake Maye
1.7%
2%
2¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Drake Maye
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Drake Maye
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $12K
Trevor Lawrence1.7%2%2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 h ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Trevor Lawrence1.7%Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Trevor Lawrence
1.7%
2%
2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Trevor Lawrence
1.7%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Trevor Lawrence
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $8K
Aaron Rodgers0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Aaron Rodgers0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Aaron Rodgers
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Aaron Rodgers
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Aaron Rodgers
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $312
Baker Mayfield0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Baker Mayfield0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Baker Mayfield
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Baker Mayfield
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Baker Mayfield
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Bo Nix0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Bo Nix0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bo Nix
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Bo Nix
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Bo Nix
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $4K
Show 27 more outcomesHide 27 outcomes
Cam Ward0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Cam Ward0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cam Ward
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Cam Ward
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Cam Ward
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Dak Prescott0.9%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Dak Prescott0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Dak Prescott
0.9%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Dak Prescott
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Dak Prescott
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $7K
Daniel Jones0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Daniel Jones0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Daniel Jones
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Daniel Jones
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Daniel Jones
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $46
Fernando Mendoza0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Fernando Mendoza0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Fernando Mendoza
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Fernando Mendoza
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Fernando Mendoza
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Geno Smith0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Geno Smith0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Geno Smith
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Geno Smith
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Geno Smith
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Jacoby Brissett0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jacoby Brissett0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jacoby Brissett
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jacoby Brissett
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jacoby Brissett
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $372
Jalen Hurts0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jalen Hurts0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jalen Hurts
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jalen Hurts
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jalen Hurts
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $7K
Jameis Winston0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jameis Winston0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jameis Winston
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jameis Winston
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jameis Winston
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $381
Jaxson Dart0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jaxson Dart0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jaxson Dart
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jaxson Dart
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jaxson Dart
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Jayden Daniels0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jayden Daniels0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jayden Daniels
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jayden Daniels
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jayden Daniels
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $5K
Joe Burrow0.9%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Joe Burrow0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Joe Burrow
0.9%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Joe Burrow
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Joe Burrow
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Jordan Love0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Jordan Love0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jordan Love
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Jordan Love
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Jordan Love
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $3K
Justin Herbert0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Justin Herbert0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Justin Herbert
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Justin Herbert
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Justin Herbert
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $7K
Kirk Cousins0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kirk Cousins0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kirk Cousins
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kirk Cousins
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kirk Cousins
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $468
Kyler Murray0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Kyler Murray0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kyler Murray
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kyler Murray
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Kyler Murray
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $4K
Lamar Jackson0.9%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Lamar Jackson0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Lamar Jackson
0.9%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Lamar Jackson
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Lamar Jackson
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $13K
Malik Willis0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Malik Willis0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Malik Willis
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Malik Willis
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Malik Willis
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $4K
Marcus Mariota0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Marcus Mariota0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marcus Mariota
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Marcus Mariota
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Marcus Mariota
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $100
Matthew Stafford0.9%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Matthew Stafford0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Matthew Stafford
0.9%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Matthew Stafford
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Matthew Stafford
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
Michael Penix Jr.0.9%1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Michael Penix Jr.0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Michael Penix Jr.
0.9%
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Michael Penix Jr.
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Michael Penix Jr.
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $22
Patrick Mahomes0.9%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Patrick Mahomes0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Patrick Mahomes
0.9%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Patrick Mahomes
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Patrick Mahomes
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $6K
Sam Darnold0.9%1%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Sam Darnold0.9%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sam Darnold
0.9%
1%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Sam Darnold
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Sam Darnold
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
- Volume
- $2K
Tyler Shough0.8%1%1¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 h ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Tyler Shough0.8%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tyler Shough
0.8%
1%
1¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Tyler Shough
0.8%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Tyler Shough
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $5K
C.J. Stroud0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)C.J. Stroud0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
C.J. Stroud
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
C.J. Stroud
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- C.J. Stroud
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Carson Wentz0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Carson Wentz0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Carson Wentz
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Carson Wentz
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Carson Wentz
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Deshaun Watson0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Deshaun Watson0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Deshaun Watson
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Deshaun Watson
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Deshaun Watson
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Drew Lock0.4%0.5%— bid, 1¢ askpolled, 1 h ago1¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $10,000 (100x)Drew Lock0.4%Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Drew Lock
0.4%
0.5%
— bid, 1¢ ask
polled, 1 h ago
1¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Drew Lock
0.4%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Drew Lock
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 h ago
- Buy Yes
- 1¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $10,000 (100x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Sleeper
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Josh Allen
- Brock Purdy
- Jared Goff
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Top Fantasy QB". Josh Allen leads at 55.2%. Next is Brock Purdy at 10.5%. $160K has traded across 37 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 18, 2027.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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