The Prediction Markets

Top Fantasy Rookie TE

Closes
Jan 18, 2027, in 3 months
Traded
$15K
Venues
Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Kenyon Sadiq 74.5%

Next is Eli Raridon at 17.6%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

Kenyon Sadiq 74.5%Eli Raridon 17.6%Eli Stowers 1%Justin Joly 1%Marlin Klein 1%5 others 4.9%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Kalshi
Kenyon Sadiq
74.5%
Kalshi 76%(74.5% fair)polled, 53s agoBest Yes 84¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kenyon Sadiq
Last price
76%
Fair, margin removed
74.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
84¢
Sell Yes
48¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Eli Raridon
17.6%
Kalshi 18%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 26¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $385 (3.85x)
Kalshi
Contract
Eli Raridon
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
26¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$385 (3.85x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Eli Stowers
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Eli Stowers
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Justin Joly
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Justin Joly
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$974
Trade this on Kalshi
Marlin Klein
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Marlin Klein
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$858
Trade this on Kalshi
Max Klare
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Max Klare
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$890
Trade this on Kalshi
Nate Boerkircher
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nate Boerkircher
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$474
Trade this on Kalshi
Oscar Delp
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Oscar Delp
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$974
Trade this on Kalshi
Sam Roush
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sam Roush
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$631
Trade this on Kalshi
Will Will Kacmarek be the #1 ranked fantasy rookie tight ends in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?
0.9%
Kalshi 1%polled, 53s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Will Will Kacmarek be the #1 ranked fantasy rookie tight ends in the 2026-27 Pro Football regular season?
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Sleeper

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Kenyon Sadiq
  • Eli Raridon
  • Eli Stowers

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

Loading…

What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Top Fantasy Rookie TE". Kenyon Sadiq leads at 74.5%. Next is Eli Raridon at 17.6%. $15K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 18, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

More sports markets

See all sports markets