Combined depth · both venues
Loading both order books…
What the markets expect
Animals 57.9%
Next is Gladiator II at 21.8%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 3 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Kalshi
Best Yes price
AnimalsArb57.9%12.5%2¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 3 min ago96%95¢ bid, 98¢ askpolled, 1 min ago23¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $435 (4.35x)AnimalsArb57.9%Polymarket 95%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 28%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 12.5%polled, 3 min agoKalshi 96%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
AnimalsArb
57.9%
12.5%
2¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
96%
95¢ bid, 98¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
23¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
AnimalsArb
57.9%
Polymarket 95%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 28%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 12.5%polled, 3 min agoKalshi 96%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Animals
- Last price
- 95%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 97.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 92.8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $103 (1.03x)
- Volume
- $744
Polymarket
- Contract
- Animals
- Last price
- 28%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 30¢
- Sell Yes
- 26¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $333 (3.33x)
- Volume
- $385
Polymarket
- Contract
- Animals
- Last price
- 12.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
- Volume
- $34
Kalshi
- Contract
- Animals
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 98¢
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $102 (1.02x)
- Volume
- $474
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
Buying on Polymarket at 23¢ and selling on Kalshi at 95¢ nets 7200 bps before fees.
Gladiator II21.8%8.5%2¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Gladiator II21.8%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 38.5%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Gladiator II
21.8%
8.5%
2¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Gladiator II
21.8%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 38.5%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gladiator II
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $15
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gladiator II
- Last price
- 38.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 50¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $200 (2.00x)
- Volume
- $130
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gladiator II
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $10
Sacrifice5.8%8.5%2¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed2.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)Sacrifice5.8%Polymarket 1.3%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 7.5%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Sacrifice
5.8%
8.5%
2¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
2.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Sacrifice
5.8%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 7.5%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sacrifice
- Last price
- 1.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,000 (40.0x)
- Volume
- $15
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sacrifice
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 13¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $769 (7.69x)
- Volume
- $40
Polymarket
- Contract
- Sacrifice
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Corpse Bride4%Not listed4%— bid, 4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Corpse Bride4%Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Corpse Bride
4%
Not listed
4%
— bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Corpse Bride
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Corpse Bride
- Last price
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $757
Evil Dead Burn3.5%8.5%2¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed2.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)Evil Dead Burn3.5%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Evil Dead Burn
3.5%
8.5%
2¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
2.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Evil Dead Burn
3.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Evil Dead Burn
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $80
Polymarket
- Contract
- Evil Dead Burn
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,571 (35.7x)
- Volume
- $397
Polymarket
- Contract
- Evil Dead Burn
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $40
Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex3.5%Not listed3.5%1¢ bid, 6¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex3.5%Kalshi 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
3.5%
Not listed
3.5%
1¢ bid, 6¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
3.5%
Kalshi 3.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,667 (16.7x)
Doing Life3.3%8.5%2¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3 min ago1%— bid, 9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Doing Life3.3%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 2.1%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 3 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Doing Life
3.3%
8.5%
2¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
1%
— bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Doing Life
3.3%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 2.1%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 3 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Doing Life
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $15
Polymarket
- Contract
- Doing Life
- Last price
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,125 (31.3x)
- Volume
- $7
Polymarket
- Contract
- Doing Life
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Doing Life
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
- Volume
- $252
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 9¢.
Primate3.3%8.5%2¢ bid, 15¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed0.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $11,111 (111x)Primate3.3%Polymarket 0.5%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Primate
3.3%
8.5%
2¢ bid, 15¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
0.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Primate
3.3%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 8.5%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Primate
- Last price
- 0.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $11,111 (111x)
- Volume
- $276
Polymarket
- Contract
- Primate
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $261
Polymarket
- Contract
- Primate
- Last price
- 8.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 15¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $667 (6.67x)
- Volume
- $40
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love2.7%2.6%0.3¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 3 min agoNot listed4.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love2.7%Polymarket 2.5%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 3%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
2.7%
2.6%
0.3¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
Not listed
4.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
2.7%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 3%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 3 min agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $21
Polymarket
- Contract
- Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
- Last price
- 3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,041 (20.4x)
- Volume
- $117
Polymarket
- Contract
- Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
- Last price
- 2.6%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $242
Ice Age: Collision Course1.7%2.5%0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 3 min ago1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ice Age: Collision Course1.7%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 2.5%polled, 3 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Age: Collision Course
1.7%
2.5%
0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Age: Collision Course
1.7%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 2.5%polled, 3 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ice Age: Collision Course
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $15
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ice Age: Collision Course
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $243
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ice Age: Collision Course
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $257
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Show 6 more outcomesHide 6 outcomes
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs1.6%2.5%0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 3 min ago1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs1.6%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 2.5%polled, 3 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
1.6%
2.5%
0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 2.5%polled, 3 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $95
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $242
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $337
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Ice Age1.6%2.5%0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ askpolled, 3 min ago1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ice Age1.6%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 2.5%polled, 3 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Age
1.6%
2.5%
0.2¢ bid, 4.8¢ ask
polled, 3 min ago
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Age
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 15s agoPolymarket 2.5%polled, 3 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ice Age
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $135
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ice Age
- Last price
- 2.5%
- As of
- Polled 3 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,083 (20.8x)
- Volume
- $242
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ice Age
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $372
Same label, rules unverified
Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.
No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.
Anyone But You1%Not listed1%— bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Anyone But You1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Anyone But You
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Anyone But You
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Anyone But You
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $257
Ice Age: Continental Drift1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ice Age: Continental Drift1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Age: Continental Drift
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Age: Continental Drift
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ice Age: Continental Drift
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $252
Ice Age: The Meltdown1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ice Age: The Meltdown1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Age: The Meltdown
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ice Age: The Meltdown
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Ice Age: The Meltdown
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $252
UNABOMBER1%Not listed1%— bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)UNABOMBER1%Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
UNABOMBER
1%
Not listed
1%
— bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
UNABOMBER
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- UNABOMBER
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- —
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $252
Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Animals on Polymarket at 23¢, sell on Kalshi at 95¢ (7200 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads
Mostly the same bet: one difference
Where they differ
- Trading closes at different times: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle, source: netflix.com, netflix.com
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Netflix
Show full rule comparisonHide full rule comparison
- Trading closes Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Animals
- Gladiator II
- Sacrifice
Live prices for Animals
What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
Polymarket
Open on Polymarket ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…Kalshi
Open on Kalshi ↗Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
Depth · top 8 levels
Loading snapshot…Recent trades
Loading…What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Top Global Netflix Movie this week?". Animals leads at 57.9%. Next is Gladiator II at 21.8%. $7K has traded across 16 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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