The Prediction Markets

Top podcast on Spotify in 2026?

Closes
Mar 31, 2027, in 5 months
Traded
$2.1M
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

The Joe Rogan Experience 94%

Next is Debí Tirar Más Fotos at 92%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

2 of 47 prices are live from the exchange feeds; the rest come from our regular price polls, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
The Joe Rogan Experience
94%
Kalshi 94%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 95¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $105 (1.05x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Joe Rogan Experience
Last price
94%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
95¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$105 (1.05x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Debí Tirar Más Fotos
92%
Polymarket 92%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 94¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Polymarket
Contract
Debí Tirar Más Fotos
Last price
92%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
94¢
Sell Yes
90¢
$100 on Yes pays
$106 (1.06x)
Volume
$12K
Trade this on Polymarket
Bad Bunny
90%
Polymarket 90%live, just nowBest Yes 91¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bad Bunny
Price
90%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
91¢
Sell Yes
89¢
$100 on Yes pays
$110 (1.10x)
Volume
$449K
Trade this on Polymarket
End of Beginning – Djo
83.8%
Polymarket 83.8%live, just nowBest Yes 84.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $119 (1.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
End of Beginning – Djo
Price
83.8%
As of
Live feed, just now
Buy Yes
84.1¢
Sell Yes
83.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$119 (1.19x)
Volume
$78K
Trade this on Polymarket
Babydoll – Dominic Fike
13.7%
Polymarket 13.7%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 13.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $719 (7.19x)
Polymarket
Contract
Babydoll – Dominic Fike
Last price
13.7%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13.9¢
Sell Yes
13.4¢
$100 on Yes pays
$719 (7.19x)
Volume
$67K
Trade this on Polymarket
Taylor Swift
6.4%
Polymarket 6.4%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 7.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,408 (14.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Taylor Swift
Last price
6.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
5.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$72K
Trade this on Polymarket
This Past Weekend w/ Theo Von
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
This Past Weekend w/ Theo Von
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Crime Junkie
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Crime Junkie
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo
3.1%
Polymarket 3.1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
Contract
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo
Last price
3.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
5.6¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,786 (17.9x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Huberman Lab
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Huberman Lab
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$687
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 37 more outcomes
The Romantic - Bruno Mars
2.6%
Polymarket 2.6%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 4.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,128 (21.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Romantic - Bruno Mars
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
4.7¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,128 (21.3x)
Volume
$823
Trade this on Polymarket
Drake
2.5%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 3.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,703 (27.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drake
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$127K
Trade this on Polymarket
Arirang - BTS
2.3%
Polymarket 2.3%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 3.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,564 (25.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arirang - BTS
Last price
2.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
3.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,564 (25.6x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Polymarket
The Tucker Carlson Show
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Tucker Carlson Show
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$761
Trade this on Kalshi
Bruno Mars
1.5%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,882 (58.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bruno Mars
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1.7¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,882 (58.8x)
Volume
$424K
Trade this on Polymarket
Call Her Daddy
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Call Her Daddy
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$742
Trade this on Kalshi
Modern Wisdom
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Modern Wisdom
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$162
Trade this on Kalshi
On Purpose with Jay Shetty
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
On Purpose with Jay Shetty
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$282
Trade this on Kalshi
The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Diary Of A CEO with Steven Bartlett
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
The Mel Robbins Podcast
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Mel Robbins Podcast
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$284
Trade this on Kalshi
Iceman - Drake
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Iceman - Drake
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
The Fall-Off - J-Cole
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Fall-Off - J-Cole
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$599
Trade this on Polymarket
Bully - Ye
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bully - Ye
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$495
Trade this on Polymarket
Petal - Ariana Grande
0.6%
Polymarket 0.6%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Petal - Ariana Grande
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$476
Trade this on Polymarket
Dandelion - Ella Langley
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $12,500 (125x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dandelion - Ella Langley
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$12,500 (125x)
Volume
$449
Trade this on Polymarket
The Great Divide - Noah Kahan
0.5%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $14,286 (143x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Great Divide - Noah Kahan
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.7¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$14,286 (143x)
Volume
$571
Trade this on Polymarket
Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
Contract
Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.6¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$16,667 (167x)
Volume
$19K
Trade this on Polymarket
Octane - Don Toliver
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $20,000 (200x)
Polymarket
Contract
Octane - Don Toliver
Last price
0.4%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$20,000 (200x)
Volume
$550
Trade this on Polymarket
Cloud 9 - Megan Moroney
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Cloud 9 - Megan Moroney
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$641
Trade this on Polymarket
Don't Be Dumb - A$AP Rocky
0.3%
Polymarket 0.3%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $25,000 (250x)
Polymarket
Contract
Don't Be Dumb - A$AP Rocky
Last price
0.3%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$25,000 (250x)
Volume
$555
Trade this on Polymarket
Arirang - BTS
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Swim – BTS
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Polymarket
Beyoncé
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Beyoncé
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$166K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kendrick Lamar
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Kendrick Lamar
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$126K
Trade this on Polymarket
Morgan Wallen
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Morgan Wallen
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$50K
Trade this on Polymarket
Sabrina Carpenter
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sabrina Carpenter
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$124K
Trade this on Polymarket
The Weeknd
0.2%
Polymarket 0.2%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $50,000 (500x)
Polymarket
Contract
The Weeknd
Last price
0.2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.2¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$50,000 (500x)
Volume
$163K
Trade this on Polymarket
APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$620
Trade this on Polymarket
Billie Jean – Michael Jackson
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Billie Jean – Michael Jackson
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Chappell Roan
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Chappell Roan
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$52K
Trade this on Polymarket
Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Polymarket
Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Polymarket
Man I Need – Olivia Dean
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Man I Need – Olivia Dean
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Risk It All – Bruno Mars
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Risk It All – Bruno Mars
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Polymarket
Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
stupid song – Olivia Rodrigo
0.1%
Polymarket 0.1%polled, 19s agoBest Yes 0.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $100,000 (1000x)
Polymarket
Contract
stupid song – Olivia Rodrigo
Last price
0.1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
0.1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$100,000 (1000x)
Volume
$688
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: newsroom.spotify.com, newsroom.spotify.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Spotify Newsroom

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • The Joe Rogan Experience
  • Debí Tirar Más Fotos
  • Bad Bunny

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list The Joe Rogan Experience for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Top podcast on Spotify in 2026?". The Joe Rogan Experience leads at 94%. Next is Debí Tirar Más Fotos at 92%. $2.1M has traded across 47 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Mar 31, 2027.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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