The Prediction Markets

Top US Netflix Movie this week?

Closes
Oct 27, 2026, in 4 days
Traded
$10K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Animals 55.4%

Next is Gladiator II at 21.2%. Polymarket and Kalshi agree within 1 point on each matched outcome.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
AnimalsArb
55.4%
Polymarket 95%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 65.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 33%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Animals
Last price
95%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
97.2¢
Sell Yes
92.8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$103 (1.03x)
Volume
$744
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Animals
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
26¢
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$385
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Animals
Last price
65.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
72¢
Sell Yes
59¢
$100 on Yes pays
$139 (1.39x)
Volume
$350
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Animals
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
13¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 33¢ and selling on Polymarket at 92.8¢ nets 5980 bps before fees.

Gladiator II
21.2%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 38.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 19%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gladiator II
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Gladiator II
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$130
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Gladiator II
Last price
19%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
35¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$286 (2.86x)
Volume
$177
Trade this on Polymarket
Sacrifice
6.2%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 7.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,000 (40.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sacrifice
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.5¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,000 (40.0x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Sacrifice
Last price
7.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$40
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Sacrifice
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$54
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sacrifice
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 13¢.

Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
2%
Kalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hot Wheels Let's Race: Attack of the T-Rex
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Volume
$430
Trade this on Kalshi
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
1.7%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 3%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$77
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$168
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 7¢.

Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$95
Trade this on Polymarket
Evil Dead Burn
1.4%
Polymarket 2.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Evil Dead Burn
Last price
2.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$80
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Evil Dead Burn
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$397
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Evil Dead Burn
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$261
Trade this on Polymarket
Primate
1.4%
Polymarket 0.5%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 0.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $11,111 (111x)
Polymarket
Contract
Primate
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
0.9¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$11,111 (111x)
Volume
$276
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Primate
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$261
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Primate
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$261
Trade this on Polymarket
Doing Life
1.4%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 2.4%polled, 1 min agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Doing Life
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Doing Life
Last price
2.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.7¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,703 (27.0x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Doing Life
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$135
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Doing Life
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Ice Age
1.3%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ice Age
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$135
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

Show 5 more outcomes
Ice Age: Collision Course
1.1%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Ice Age: Collision Course
Last price
1.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$15
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Ice Age: Collision Course
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 1¢.

The Breadwinner
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Breadwinner
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Widower: 'Til Death Do Us Part
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$959
Trade this on Kalshi
Twilight
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Twilight
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$98
Trade this on Kalshi
UNABOMBER
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
UNABOMBER
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$177
Trade this on Kalshi

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Animals on Kalshi at 33¢, sell on Polymarket at 92.8¢ (5980 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: netflix.com, netflix.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Netflix
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Oct 28, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Oct 27, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Animals
  • Gladiator II
  • Sacrifice

Live prices for Animals

What it costs to buy Yes, what you would get selling it, and the last trade on each exchange, updating as orders change. Hover a status for timing details.

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Combined depth · both venues

Loading both order books…

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

Loading snapshot…

Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Top US Netflix Movie this week?". Animals leads at 55.4%. Next is Gladiator II at 21.2%. $10K has traded across 15 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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