The Prediction Markets

Top US Netflix Show this week?

Closes
Oct 27, 2026, in 4 days
Traded
$18K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
4 h ago
Share

What the markets expect

Nobody Wants This: Season 3 90%

Next is Gladiator II at 48.5%. The venues list this event, but none of their outcomes are matched yet, so prices are shown separately.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 4 h ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 90¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $111 (1.11x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nobody Wants This: Season 3
Last price
90%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
90¢
Sell Yes
78¢
$100 on Yes pays
$111 (1.11x)
Volume
$708
Trade this on Kalshi
Gladiator II
48.5%
Polymarket 38.5%polled, 4 h agoPolymarket 56.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 50¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Gladiator II
Last price
38.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$130
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Gladiator II
Last price
56.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
73¢
Sell Yes
40¢
$100 on Yes pays
$137 (1.37x)
Volume
$162
Trade this on Polymarket
Animals
34.1%
Polymarket 29.5%polled, 4 h agoPolymarket 39.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 37¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Animals
Last price
29.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Volume
$345
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Animals
Last price
39.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
32¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$290
Trade this on Polymarket
Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 7¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Cyberpunk: Edgerunners 2
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
7¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,429 (14.3x)
Volume
$6K
Trade this on Kalshi
Sacrifice
5.8%
Polymarket 8.5%polled, 4 h agoPolymarket 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,041 (20.4x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sacrifice
Last price
8.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Sacrifice
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$39
Trade this on Polymarket
The Diplomat: Season 4
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 5¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
The Diplomat: Season 4
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$393
Trade this on Kalshi
Primate
3.1%
Polymarket 3.7%polled, 4 h agoPolymarket 2.6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,083 (20.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
Primate
Last price
3.7%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
7.1¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,408 (14.1x)
Volume
$260
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Primate
Last price
2.6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4.8¢
Sell Yes
0.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,083 (20.8x)
Volume
$246
Trade this on Polymarket
Below: Limited Series
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Below: Limited Series
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$2K
Trade this on Kalshi
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Love Is Blind: S11: Boston
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Evil Dead Burn
2.4%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 4 h agoPolymarket 3.8%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 2.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,571 (35.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Evil Dead Burn
Last price
1.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
2.8¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,571 (35.7x)
Volume
$397
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Evil Dead Burn
Last price
3.8%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
7.4¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,351 (13.5x)
Volume
$246
Trade this on Polymarket
Show 10 more outcomes
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
2.3%
Polymarket 3%polled, 4 h agoPolymarket 0.6%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Polymarket
Contract
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Terry McMillan Presents: Preach, Pray, Love
Last price
0.6%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$42
Trade this on Polymarket
Doing Life
1.2%
Polymarket 2.1%polled, 4 h agoPolymarket 0.9%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $6,667 (66.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Doing Life
Last price
2.1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$7
Trade this on Polymarket
Polymarket
Contract
Doing Life
Last price
0.9%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1.5¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$6,667 (66.7x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
East of Eden: Limited Series
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
East of Eden: Limited Series
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Instadocs: AI Gone Wild
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$85
Trade this on Kalshi
Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Is It Cake? Halloween: Season 2
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
The New Stanford Prison Experiment
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
The New Stanford Prison Experiment
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$377
Trade this on Kalshi
TYSON: Limited Series
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
TYSON: Limited Series
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$52
Trade this on Kalshi
Haunted Hotel: Season 2
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Haunted Hotel: Season 2
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Michael Che: Shot in Minnesota
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Michael Che: Shot in Minnesota
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 4 h agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Raw: 2026 - October 12, 2026
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 4 h ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: netflix.com
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: Netflix

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Nobody Wants This: Season 3
  • Gladiator II
  • Animals

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Nobody Wants This: Season 3 for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (culture rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "Top US Netflix Show this week?". Nobody Wants This: Season 3 leads at 90%. Next is Gladiator II at 48.5%. $18K has traded across 20 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 27, 2026.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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