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What the markets expect
Over 207.5 points 96%
Next is Over 209.5 points at 93%. Only Kalshi lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 2 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Kalshi
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Kalshi
Best Yes price
Over 207.5 points96%96%95¢ bid, 96¢ askpolled, 2 min ago96¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $104 (1.04x)Over 207.5 points96%Kalshi 96%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 207.5 points
96%
96%
95¢ bid, 96¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
96¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Over 207.5 points
96%
Kalshi 96%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 96¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $104 (1.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 207.5 points
- Last price
- 96%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 96¢
- Sell Yes
- 95¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $104 (1.04x)
- Volume
- $367
Over 209.5 points93%93%93¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 2 min ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 209.5 points93%Kalshi 93%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 209.5 points
93%
93%
93¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 209.5 points
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 209.5 points
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 93¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
- Volume
- $4
Over 211.5 points93%93%92¢ bid, 94¢ askpolled, 2 min ago94¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $106 (1.06x)Over 211.5 points93%Kalshi 93%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 211.5 points
93%
93%
92¢ bid, 94¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
94¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Over 211.5 points
93%
Kalshi 93%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 94¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $106 (1.06x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 211.5 points
- Last price
- 93%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 94¢
- Sell Yes
- 92¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $106 (1.06x)
Over 213.5 points92%92%91¢ bid, 93¢ askpolled, 2 min ago93¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $108 (1.08x)Over 213.5 points92%Kalshi 92%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Over 213.5 points
92%
92%
91¢ bid, 93¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
93¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Over 213.5 points
92%
Kalshi 92%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 93¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $108 (1.08x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 213.5 points
- Last price
- 92%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 93¢
- Sell Yes
- 91¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $108 (1.08x)
Over 215.5 points90%90%89¢ bid, 91¢ askpolled, 2 min ago91¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $110 (1.10x)Over 215.5 points90%Kalshi 90%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Over 215.5 points
90%
90%
89¢ bid, 91¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
91¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Over 215.5 points
90%
Kalshi 90%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 91¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $110 (1.10x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 215.5 points
- Last price
- 90%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 91¢
- Sell Yes
- 89¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $110 (1.10x)
Over 217.5 points87%87%86¢ bid, 88¢ askpolled, 2 min ago88¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $114 (1.14x)Over 217.5 points87%Kalshi 87%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 217.5 points
87%
87%
86¢ bid, 88¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
88¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Over 217.5 points
87%
Kalshi 87%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 88¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $114 (1.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 217.5 points
- Last price
- 87%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 88¢
- Sell Yes
- 86¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $114 (1.14x)
Over 219.5 points84.5%84.5%84¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 2 min ago85¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Over 219.5 points84.5%Kalshi 84.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Over 219.5 points
84.5%
84.5%
84¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
85¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Over 219.5 points
84.5%
Kalshi 84.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 85¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 219.5 points
- Last price
- 84.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 84¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
Over 221.5 points80.5%80.5%80¢ bid, 81¢ askpolled, 2 min ago81¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $123 (1.23x)Over 221.5 points80.5%Kalshi 80.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 221.5 points
80.5%
80.5%
80¢ bid, 81¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
81¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Over 221.5 points
80.5%
Kalshi 80.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 81¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $123 (1.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 221.5 points
- Last price
- 80.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 81¢
- Sell Yes
- 80¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $123 (1.23x)
Over 223.5 points77.5%77.5%77¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 2 min ago78¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Over 223.5 points77.5%Kalshi 77.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Over 223.5 points
77.5%
77.5%
77¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
78¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Over 223.5 points
77.5%
Kalshi 77.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 78¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 223.5 points
- Last price
- 77.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 77¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
Over 225.5 points73.5%73.5%73¢ bid, 74¢ askpolled, 2 min ago74¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Over 225.5 points73.5%Kalshi 73.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Over 225.5 points
73.5%
73.5%
73¢ bid, 74¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
74¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Over 225.5 points
73.5%
Kalshi 73.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 225.5 points
- Last price
- 73.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 74¢
- Sell Yes
- 73¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
Show 19 more outcomesHide 19 outcomes
Over 227.5 points68%68%68¢ bid, 70¢ askpolled, 2 min ago70¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $143 (1.43x)Over 227.5 points68%Kalshi 68%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Over 227.5 points
68%
68%
68¢ bid, 70¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
70¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Over 227.5 points
68%
Kalshi 68%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 70¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $143 (1.43x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 227.5 points
- Last price
- 68%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 70¢
- Sell Yes
- 68¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $143 (1.43x)
- Volume
- $3K
Over 229.5 points66%66%65¢ bid, 67¢ askpolled, 2 min ago67¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $149 (1.49x)Over 229.5 points66%Kalshi 66%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Over 229.5 points
66%
66%
65¢ bid, 67¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
67¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Over 229.5 points
66%
Kalshi 66%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 67¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $149 (1.49x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 229.5 points
- Last price
- 66%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 67¢
- Sell Yes
- 65¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $149 (1.49x)
Over 231.5 points62%62%61¢ bid, 62¢ askpolled, 2 min ago62¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $161 (1.61x)Over 231.5 points62%Kalshi 62%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Over 231.5 points
62%
62%
61¢ bid, 62¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
62¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Over 231.5 points
62%
Kalshi 62%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 62¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $161 (1.61x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 231.5 points
- Last price
- 62%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 62¢
- Sell Yes
- 61¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $161 (1.61x)
- Volume
- $16
Over 233.5 points57.5%57.5%57¢ bid, 58¢ askpolled, 2 min ago58¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $172 (1.72x)Over 233.5 points57.5%Kalshi 57.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Over 233.5 points
57.5%
57.5%
57¢ bid, 58¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
58¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Over 233.5 points
57.5%
Kalshi 57.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 58¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $172 (1.72x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 233.5 points
- Last price
- 57.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 58¢
- Sell Yes
- 57¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $172 (1.72x)
Over 235.5 points53%53%52¢ bid, 53¢ askpolled, 2 min ago53¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $189 (1.89x)Over 235.5 points53%Kalshi 53%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Over 235.5 points
53%
53%
52¢ bid, 53¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
53¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Over 235.5 points
53%
Kalshi 53%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 53¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $189 (1.89x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 235.5 points
- Last price
- 53%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 53¢
- Sell Yes
- 52¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $189 (1.89x)
- Volume
- $443
Over 237.5 points47%47%47¢ bid, 49¢ askpolled, 2 min ago49¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $204 (2.04x)Over 237.5 points47%Kalshi 47%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Over 237.5 points
47%
47%
47¢ bid, 49¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
49¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Over 237.5 points
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 237.5 points
- Last price
- 47%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 49¢
- Sell Yes
- 47¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $204 (2.04x)
- Volume
- $138
Over 239.5 points43.5%43.5%43¢ bid, 44¢ askpolled, 2 min ago44¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $227 (2.27x)Over 239.5 points43.5%Kalshi 43.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Over 239.5 points
43.5%
43.5%
43¢ bid, 44¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
44¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Over 239.5 points
43.5%
Kalshi 43.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 239.5 points
- Last price
- 43.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 44¢
- Sell Yes
- 43¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $227 (2.27x)
Over 241.5 points38%38%38¢ bid, 40¢ askpolled, 2 min ago40¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $250 (2.50x)Over 241.5 points38%Kalshi 38%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Over 241.5 points
38%
38%
38¢ bid, 40¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
40¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Over 241.5 points
38%
Kalshi 38%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 241.5 points
- Last price
- 38%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 40¢
- Sell Yes
- 38¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $250 (2.50x)
Over 243.5 points35.5%35.5%34¢ bid, 37¢ askpolled, 2 min ago37¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $270 (2.70x)Over 243.5 points35.5%Kalshi 35.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Over 243.5 points
35.5%
35.5%
34¢ bid, 37¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
37¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Over 243.5 points
35.5%
Kalshi 35.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 37¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $270 (2.70x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 243.5 points
- Last price
- 35.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 37¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $270 (2.70x)
Over 245.5 points30.5%30.5%30¢ bid, 31¢ askpolled, 2 min ago31¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $323 (3.23x)Over 245.5 points30.5%Kalshi 30.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Over 245.5 points
30.5%
30.5%
30¢ bid, 31¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
31¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Over 245.5 points
30.5%
Kalshi 30.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 31¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $323 (3.23x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 245.5 points
- Last price
- 30.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 31¢
- Sell Yes
- 30¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $323 (3.23x)
Over 247.5 points27%27%27¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 2 min ago29¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Over 247.5 points27%Kalshi 27%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Over 247.5 points
27%
27%
27¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
29¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Over 247.5 points
27%
Kalshi 27%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 247.5 points
- Last price
- 27%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 27¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $108
Over 249.5 points24%24%23¢ bid, 25¢ askpolled, 2 min ago25¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $400 (4.00x)Over 249.5 points24%Kalshi 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Over 249.5 points
24%
24%
23¢ bid, 25¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
25¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Over 249.5 points
24%
Kalshi 24%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 25¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 249.5 points
- Last price
- 24%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 25¢
- Sell Yes
- 23¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $400 (4.00x)
Over 251.5 points21.5%21.5%20¢ bid, 23¢ askpolled, 2 min ago23¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $435 (4.35x)Over 251.5 points21.5%Kalshi 21.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 251.5 points
21.5%
21.5%
20¢ bid, 23¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
23¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Over 251.5 points
21.5%
Kalshi 21.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 23¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $435 (4.35x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 251.5 points
- Last price
- 21.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 23¢
- Sell Yes
- 20¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $435 (4.35x)
Over 253.5 points18%18%16¢ bid, 20¢ askpolled, 2 min ago20¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $500 (5.00x)Over 253.5 points18%Kalshi 18%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Over 253.5 points
18%
18%
16¢ bid, 20¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
20¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Over 253.5 points
18%
Kalshi 18%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 253.5 points
- Last price
- 18%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 20¢
- Sell Yes
- 16¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $500 (5.00x)
Over 255.5 points15.5%15.5%14¢ bid, 17¢ askpolled, 2 min ago17¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $588 (5.88x)Over 255.5 points15.5%Kalshi 15.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Over 255.5 points
15.5%
15.5%
14¢ bid, 17¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
17¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Over 255.5 points
15.5%
Kalshi 15.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 17¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 255.5 points
- Last price
- 15.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 17¢
- Sell Yes
- 14¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $588 (5.88x)
Over 257.5 points12%12%12¢ bid, 14¢ askpolled, 2 min ago14¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $714 (7.14x)Over 257.5 points12%Kalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 257.5 points
12%
12%
12¢ bid, 14¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
14¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Over 257.5 points
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 257.5 points
- Last price
- 12%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 14¢
- Sell Yes
- 12¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $714 (7.14x)
Over 261.5 points11%11%8¢ bid, 11¢ askpolled, 2 min ago11¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $909 (9.09x)Over 261.5 points11%Kalshi 11%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 261.5 points
11%
11%
8¢ bid, 11¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
11¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Over 261.5 points
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 261.5 points
- Last price
- 11%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 11¢
- Sell Yes
- 8¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $909 (9.09x)
- Volume
- $86
Over 259.5 points10.5%10.5%9¢ bid, 12¢ askpolled, 2 min ago12¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $833 (8.33x)Over 259.5 points10.5%Kalshi 10.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 259.5 points
10.5%
10.5%
9¢ bid, 12¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
12¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Over 259.5 points
10.5%
Kalshi 10.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 259.5 points
- Last price
- 10.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12¢
- Sell Yes
- 9¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $833 (8.33x)
Over 263.5 points7.5%7.5%6¢ bid, 9¢ askpolled, 2 min ago9¢ on Kalshi$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)Over 263.5 points7.5%Kalshi 7.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Over 263.5 points
7.5%
7.5%
6¢ bid, 9¢ ask
polled, 2 min ago
9¢ on Kalshi
$100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Over 263.5 points
7.5%
Kalshi 7.5%polled, 2 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
- Contract
- Over 263.5 points
- Last price
- 7.5%
- As of
- Polled 2 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9¢
- Sell Yes
- 6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,111 (11.1x)
Who resolves this market
- Kalshi resolves via:
- Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: the Governing League, ESPN
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Over 207.5 points
- Over 209.5 points
- Over 211.5 points
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "Toronto vs Washington: Total Points". Over 207.5 points leads at 96%. Next is Over 209.5 points at 93%. $4K has traded across 29 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 25, 2026.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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