The Prediction Markets

UD Almería vs. Real Oviedo

Starts in 44 hKickoff
Traded
$1K
Venues
Polymarket
Prices updated
just now
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What the markets expect

UD Almería 59%

Next is Draw (UD Almería vs. Real Oviedo) at 24.5%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.

UD Almería 59%Draw (UD Almería vs. Real Oviedo) 24.5%Real Oviedo 16.5%

Odds by venue

Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
UD Almería
59%
Polymarket 59%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 60¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $167 (1.67x)
Polymarket
Contract
UD Almería
Last price
59%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
60¢
Sell Yes
58¢
$100 on Yes pays
$167 (1.67x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Draw (UD Almería vs. Real Oviedo)
24.5%
Polymarket 24.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 25¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $400 (4.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Draw (UD Almería vs. Real Oviedo)
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
24¢
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Real Oviedo
16.5%
Polymarket 16.5%polled, 18s agoBest Yes 17¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $588 (5.88x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Oviedo
Last price
16.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
17¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$588 (5.88x)
Volume
$160
Trade this on Polymarket

Who resolves this market

Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle, source: laliga.com

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • UD Almería
  • Draw (UD Almería vs. Real Oviedo)
  • Real Oviedo

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Open on Polymarket ↗

Top of book

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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Cover all 3 outcomes across venues

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "UD Almería vs. Real Oviedo". UD Almería leads at 59%. Next is Draw (UD Almería vs. Real Oviedo) at 24.5%. $1K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Oct 24, 2026.

This event is for the upcoming La Liga 2 game, scheduled for Saturday, October 24, 2026 between UD Almería and Real Oviedo.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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