The Prediction Markets

UEFA Champions League 2027: Home country of champion

Closes
Jun 30, 2027, in 8 months
Traded
$137K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
1 min ago
Share

What the markets expect

Brighton 40%

Next is Spain at 32.8%. The venues differ most on Germany (Polymarket 14%, Kalshi 1%), a 13-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Brighton
40%
Kalshi 40%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 40¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $250 (2.50x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brighton
Last price
40%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
37¢
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Spain
32.8%
Polymarket 32%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 33%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 38¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Spain
Last price
32%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$596
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Spain
Last price
33%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
33¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$51K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 33¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 39¢.

England
23.9%
Polymarket 26.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 23%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
England
Last price
26.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
33¢
Sell Yes
20¢
$100 on Yes pays
$303 (3.03x)
Volume
$467
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
England
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Volume
$23K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 20¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 24¢.

France
20.8%
Polymarket 23%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 20%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 22¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $455 (4.55x)
Polymarket
Contract
France
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$454
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
France
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
22¢
Sell Yes
17¢
$100 on Yes pays
$455 (4.55x)
Volume
$16K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 19¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 22¢.

Egnatia Rrogozhine
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Egnatia Rrogozhine
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
IC Escaldes
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
IC Escaldes
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Jablonec
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Jablonec
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kauno
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kauno
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kuopion Palloseura
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kuopion Palloseura
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Riga FC
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Riga FC
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 43 more outcomes
St. Truidense
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
St. Truidense
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Thun
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Thun
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Uni Craiova
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Uni Craiova
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Banja Luka
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Banja Luka
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Crvena Zvezda
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Crvena Zvezda
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Iberia
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Iberia
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Kairat
14.5%
Kalshi 14.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kalshi
Contract
Kairat
Last price
14.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Monaco
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 18¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Kalshi
Contract
Monaco
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$788
Trade this on Kalshi
Atalanta
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atalanta
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$781
Trade this on Kalshi
Braga
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Braga
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$50
Trade this on Kalshi
PortugalArb
10.8%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Portugal
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$148
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Portugal
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$11K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 2¢ and selling on Kalshi at 9¢ nets 700 bps before fees.

Freiburg
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Freiburg
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
8¢
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$317
Trade this on Kalshi
Brann
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 30¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $333 (3.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Brann
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
30¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$333 (3.33x)
Volume
$51
Trade this on Kalshi
Trabzonspor
9%
Kalshi 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Trabzonspor
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$51
Trade this on Kalshi
Copenhagen
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Copenhagen
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$43
Trade this on Kalshi
Panathinaikos
8%
Kalshi 8%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Panathinaikos
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Volume
$217
Trade this on Kalshi
Ajax
7%
Kalshi 7%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Ajax
Last price
7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$489
Trade this on Kalshi
Gent
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
Gent
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Heart of Midlothian
6%
Kalshi 6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,667 (16.7x)
Kalshi
Contract
Heart of Midlothian
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,667 (16.7x)
Volume
$117
Trade this on Kalshi
Enschede
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Enschede
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Lincoln Red Imps
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lincoln Red Imps
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Midtjylland
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Midtjylland
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Pafos
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Pafos
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
CSKA Sofia
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
CSKA Sofia
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Getafe
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Getafe
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Hajduk
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Hajduk
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Lugano
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Lugano
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Nordsjaelland
4.5%
Kalshi 4.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Kalshi
Contract
Nordsjaelland
Last price
4.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Kalshi
GermanyArb
4.3%
Polymarket 14%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Germany
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
12¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$256
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Germany
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$4K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Kalshi at 2¢ and selling on Polymarket at 12¢ nets 1000 bps before fees.

Aarhus
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Aarhus
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Mjallby
4%
Kalshi 4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Kalshi
Contract
Mjallby
Last price
4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,250 (12.5x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Netherlands
3.3%
Polymarket 4.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Netherlands
Last price
4.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.7¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,299 (13.0x)
Volume
$88
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Netherlands
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,500 (25.0x)
Volume
$7K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 4¢.

Greece
3%
Kalshi 3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Kalshi
Contract
Greece
Last price
3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,333 (33.3x)
Volume
$5K
Trade this on Kalshi
Italy
2.2%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Italy
Last price
2.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
4.9¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,041 (20.4x)
Volume
$201
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Italy
Last price
2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 2¢.

Turkey
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,263 (52.6x)
Polymarket
Contract
Turkey
Last price
1.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,263 (52.6x)
Volume
$62
Trade this on Polymarket
Belgium
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Belgium
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$5,000 (50.0x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Croatia
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Croatia
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$603
Trade this on Kalshi
Denmark
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denmark
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$273
Trade this on Kalshi
Norway
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Norway
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$3K
Trade this on Kalshi
Turkiye
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Turkiye
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$468
Trade this on Kalshi
Wales
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wales
Last price
1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Volume
$281
Trade this on Kalshi
Czechia
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Czechia
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Serbia
0.5%
Kalshi 0.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $10,000 (100x)
Kalshi
Contract
Serbia
Last price
0.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
1¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$10,000 (100x)
Trade this on Kalshi

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Germany on Kalshi at 2¢, sell on Polymarket at 12¢ (1000 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: Jun 30, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jun 28, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, Fox Sports
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes Jun 30, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC on Polymarket and Jun 28, 2027, 2:00 PM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Brighton
  • Spain
  • England

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Brighton for this event.

Top of book

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Best bid
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Spread
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Best ask
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Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

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Buy

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Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "UEFA Champions League 2027: Home country of champion". Brighton leads at 40%. Next is Spain at 32.8%. $137K has traded across 53 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 30, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the home nation of the 2027 UEFA Champions League winner. If at any point it becomes impossible for any club from the listed country to win the 2027 UEFA Champions League (e.g. they are all eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the 2027 UEFA Champions League champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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