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What the markets expect
David Raya 27.3%
Next is Manuel Neuer at 9%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Fair chance strips out each venue’s built-in margin (its prices add up to more than 100%), then blends the venues by how much has traded there, so the outcomes add up to 100%. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Fair chance
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
David Raya27.3%34.5%27.3% fair34¢ bid, 35¢ askpolled, 1 min ago35¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $286 (2.86x)David Raya27.3%Polymarket 34.5%(27.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
David Raya
27.3%
34.5%
27.3% fair
34¢ bid, 35¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
35¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $286 (2.86x)
David Raya
27.3%
Polymarket 34.5%(27.3% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 35¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $286 (2.86x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- David Raya
- Last price
- 34.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 27.3%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 35¢
- Sell Yes
- 34¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $286 (2.86x)
- Volume
- $2K
Manuel Neuer9%11.5%9% fair10.4¢ bid, 12.5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago12.5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $800 (8.00x)Manuel Neuer9%Polymarket 11.5%(9% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $800 (8.00x)
Manuel Neuer
9%
11.5%
9% fair
10.4¢ bid, 12.5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
12.5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $800 (8.00x)
Manuel Neuer
9%
Polymarket 11.5%(9% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 12.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $800 (8.00x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Manuel Neuer
- Last price
- 11.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 12.5¢
- Sell Yes
- 10.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $800 (8.00x)
- Volume
- $250
Gianluigi Donnarumma7.7%9.8%7.7% fair9.5¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 1 min ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Gianluigi Donnarumma7.7%Polymarket 9.8%(7.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Gianluigi Donnarumma
7.7%
9.8%
7.7% fair
9.5¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Gianluigi Donnarumma
7.7%
Polymarket 9.8%(7.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gianluigi Donnarumma
- Last price
- 9.8%
- Fair, margin removed
- 7.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 9.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Senne Lammens5.5%6.9%5.5% fair4¢ bid, 9.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)Senne Lammens5.5%Polymarket 6.9%(5.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Senne Lammens
5.5%
6.9%
5.5% fair
4¢ bid, 9.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Senne Lammens
5.5%
Polymarket 6.9%(5.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,020 (10.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Senne Lammens
- Last price
- 6.9%
- Fair, margin removed
- 5.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,020 (10.2x)
- Volume
- $515
Alisson Becker4%5%4% fair2¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Alisson Becker4%Polymarket 5%(4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Alisson Becker
4%
5%
4% fair
2¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Alisson Becker
4%
Polymarket 5%(4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alisson Becker
- Last price
- 5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $303
Jan Oblak4%5.1%4% fair0.2¢ bid, 9.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)Jan Oblak4%Polymarket 5.1%(4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Jan Oblak
4%
5.1%
4% fair
0.2¢ bid, 9.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Jan Oblak
4%
Polymarket 5.1%(4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jan Oblak
- Last price
- 5.1%
- Fair, margin removed
- 4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,010 (10.1x)
- Volume
- $120
Ederson3.6%4.6%3.6% fair0.1¢ bid, 9.1¢ askpolled, 1 min ago9.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)Ederson3.6%Polymarket 4.6%(3.6% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Ederson
3.6%
4.6%
3.6% fair
0.1¢ bid, 9.1¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
9.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Ederson
3.6%
Polymarket 4.6%(3.6% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 9.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,099 (11.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ederson
- Last price
- 4.6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 9.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,099 (11.0x)
- Volume
- $120
Rui Silva3.5%4.5%3.5% fair0.2¢ bid, 8.7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)Rui Silva3.5%Polymarket 4.5%(3.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Rui Silva
3.5%
4.5%
3.5% fair
0.2¢ bid, 8.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Rui Silva
3.5%
Polymarket 4.5%(3.5% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,149 (11.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rui Silva
- Last price
- 4.5%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,149 (11.5x)
- Volume
- $98
Thibaut Courtois3.4%4.4%3.4% fair0.4¢ bid, 8.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)Thibaut Courtois3.4%Polymarket 4.4%(3.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Thibaut Courtois
3.4%
4.4%
3.4% fair
0.4¢ bid, 8.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Thibaut Courtois
3.4%
Polymarket 4.4%(3.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,205 (12.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Thibaut Courtois
- Last price
- 4.4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,205 (12.0x)
- Volume
- $201
Berke Özer3.2%4.1%3.2% fair0.2¢ bid, 7.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)Berke Özer3.2%Polymarket 4.1%(3.2% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Berke Özer
3.2%
4.1%
3.2% fair
0.2¢ bid, 7.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Berke Özer
3.2%
Polymarket 4.1%(3.2% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Berke Özer
- Last price
- 4.1%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,266 (12.7x)
- Volume
- $118
Show 14 more outcomesHide 14 outcomes
Uğurcan Çakır3.2%4.1%3.2% fair0.1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Uğurcan Çakır3.2%Polymarket 4.1%(3.2% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Uğurcan Çakır
3.2%
4.1%
3.2% fair
0.1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Uğurcan Çakır
3.2%
Polymarket 4.1%(3.2% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Uğurcan Çakır
- Last price
- 4.1%
- Fair, margin removed
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $338
Gregor Kobel2.8%3.6%2.8% fair0.4¢ bid, 6.7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)Gregor Kobel2.8%Polymarket 3.6%(2.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Gregor Kobel
2.8%
3.6%
2.8% fair
0.4¢ bid, 6.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Gregor Kobel
2.8%
Polymarket 3.6%(2.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Gregor Kobel
- Last price
- 3.6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,493 (14.9x)
- Volume
- $361
Joan García2.8%3.6%2.8% fair0.2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Joan García2.8%Polymarket 3.6%(2.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Joan García
2.8%
3.6%
2.8% fair
0.2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Joan García
2.8%
Polymarket 3.6%(2.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Joan García
- Last price
- 3.6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $166
Zion Suzuki2.8%3.6%2.8% fair0.2¢ bid, 7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)Zion Suzuki2.8%Polymarket 3.6%(2.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Zion Suzuki
2.8%
3.6%
2.8% fair
0.2¢ bid, 7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Zion Suzuki
2.8%
Polymarket 3.6%(2.8% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,429 (14.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Zion Suzuki
- Last price
- 3.6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.8%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,429 (14.3x)
- Volume
- $118
Mile Svilar2.7%3.4%2.7% fair0.1¢ bid, 6.7¢ askpolled, 1 min ago6.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)Mile Svilar2.7%Polymarket 3.4%(2.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Mile Svilar
2.7%
3.4%
2.7% fair
0.1¢ bid, 6.7¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
6.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Mile Svilar
2.7%
Polymarket 3.4%(2.7% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,493 (14.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Mile Svilar
- Last price
- 3.4%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.7%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 6.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,493 (14.9x)
- Volume
- $103
lvaro Valles2.4%3%2.4% fair0.2¢ bid, 5.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)lvaro Valles2.4%Polymarket 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
lvaro Valles
2.4%
3%
2.4% fair
0.2¢ bid, 5.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
lvaro Valles
2.4%
Polymarket 3%(2.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- lvaro Valles
- Last price
- 3%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,724 (17.2x)
- Volume
- $186
Matej Kovář2.4%3.1%2.4% fair0.2¢ bid, 5.9¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)Matej Kovář2.4%Polymarket 3.1%(2.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Matej Kovář
2.4%
3.1%
2.4% fair
0.2¢ bid, 5.9¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Matej Kovář
2.4%
Polymarket 3.1%(2.4% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,695 (16.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Matej Kovář
- Last price
- 3.1%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.4%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,695 (16.9x)
- Volume
- $310
Maarten Vandevoordt2.1%2.6%2.1% fair0.2¢ bid, 5¢ askpolled, 1 min ago5¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)Maarten Vandevoordt2.1%Polymarket 2.6%(2.1% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Maarten Vandevoordt
2.1%
2.6%
2.1% fair
0.2¢ bid, 5¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
5¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Maarten Vandevoordt
2.1%
Polymarket 2.6%(2.1% fair)polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Maarten Vandevoordt
- Last price
- 2.6%
- Fair, margin removed
- 2.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 5¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,000 (20.0x)
- Volume
- $120
Diogo Costa1.7%2.2%0.2¢ bid, 4.2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago4.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)Diogo Costa1.7%Polymarket 2.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Diogo Costa
1.7%
2.2%
0.2¢ bid, 4.2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
4.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Diogo Costa
1.7%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 4.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,381 (23.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Diogo Costa
- Last price
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 4.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,381 (23.8x)
- Volume
- $196
Péter Gulácsi1.6%2%0.2¢ bid, 3.8¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)Péter Gulácsi1.6%Polymarket 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Péter Gulácsi
1.6%
2%
0.2¢ bid, 3.8¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Péter Gulácsi
1.6%
Polymarket 2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,632 (26.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Péter Gulácsi
- Last price
- 2%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,632 (26.3x)
- Volume
- $136
Yann Sommer1.5%1.9%0.4¢ bid, 3.4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago3.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)Yann Sommer1.5%Polymarket 1.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Yann Sommer
1.5%
1.9%
0.4¢ bid, 3.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
3.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Yann Sommer
1.5%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,941 (29.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Yann Sommer
- Last price
- 1.9%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 3.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,941 (29.4x)
- Volume
- $110
Lucas Chevalier1.1%1.5%0.5¢ bid, 2.4¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)Lucas Chevalier1.1%Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Lucas Chevalier
1.1%
1.5%
0.5¢ bid, 2.4¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Lucas Chevalier
1.1%
Polymarket 1.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lucas Chevalier
- Last price
- 1.5%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.5¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $4,167 (41.7x)
- Volume
- $142
Vanja Milinkovic-Savic0.9%1.1%0.2¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 1 min ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Vanja Milinkovic-Savic0.9%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Vanja Milinkovic-Savic
0.9%
1.1%
0.2¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Vanja Milinkovic-Savic
0.9%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Vanja Milinkovic-Savic
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $120
Ivan Provedel0.8%1%0.6¢ bid, 1.3¢ askpolled, 1 min ago1.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)Ivan Provedel0.8%Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Ivan Provedel
0.8%
1%
0.6¢ bid, 1.3¢ ask
polled, 1 min ago
1.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Ivan Provedel
0.8%
Polymarket 1%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 1.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $7,692 (76.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ivan Provedel
- Last price
- 1%
- As of
- Polled 1 min ago
- Buy Yes
- 1.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $7,692 (76.9x)
- Volume
- $178
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- David Raya
- Manuel Neuer
- Gianluigi Donnarumma
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "UEFA Champions League: Most Clean Sheets (GK) 2026-27". David Raya leads at 27.3%. Next is Manuel Neuer at 9%. $11K has traded across 24 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 19, 2027.
This market will resolve to the goalkeeper who records the most clean sheets through all main tournament rounds of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA. If multiple leaders are announced, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
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