Top of book
ConnectingBest bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—
Waiting for the first live quote…
What the markets expect
Raphinha 44.5%
Next is Serhou Guirassy at 43.3%. Only Polymarket lists this market, so there is no second price to compare.
Odds by venue
Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.
Prices come from our regular polls of each venue. Ages are as of when this page was built.
- Polymarket
Outcome
Consensus
Venue prices on a 0–100% scale
Polymarket
Best Yes price
Raphinha44.5%44.5%4¢ bid, 85¢ askpolled, 28s ago85¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $118 (1.18x)Raphinha44.5%Polymarket 44.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Raphinha
44.5%
44.5%
4¢ bid, 85¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
85¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Raphinha
44.5%
Polymarket 44.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 85¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $118 (1.18x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Raphinha
- Last price
- 44.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85¢
- Sell Yes
- 4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $118 (1.18x)
- Volume
- $251
Serhou Guirassy43.3%43.3%0.6¢ bid, 85.9¢ askpolled, 28s ago85.9¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $116 (1.16x)Serhou Guirassy43.3%Polymarket 43.3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 85.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Serhou Guirassy
43.3%
43.3%
0.6¢ bid, 85.9¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
85.9¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Serhou Guirassy
43.3%
Polymarket 43.3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 85.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $116 (1.16x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Serhou Guirassy
- Last price
- 43.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85.9¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $116 (1.16x)
- Volume
- $111
Viktor Gyökeres43%43%0.1¢ bid, 85.8¢ askpolled, 28s ago85.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $117 (1.17x)Viktor Gyökeres43%Polymarket 43%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 85.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $117 (1.17x)
Viktor Gyökeres
43%
43%
0.1¢ bid, 85.8¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
85.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $117 (1.17x)
Viktor Gyökeres
43%
Polymarket 43%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 85.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $117 (1.17x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Viktor Gyökeres
- Last price
- 43%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 85.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $117 (1.17x)
- Volume
- $81
Julián Álvarez39.2%39.2%0.2¢ bid, 78.2¢ askpolled, 28s ago78.2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Julián Álvarez39.2%Polymarket 39.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 78.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Julián Álvarez
39.2%
39.2%
0.2¢ bid, 78.2¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
78.2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Julián Álvarez
39.2%
Polymarket 39.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 78.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Julián Álvarez
- Last price
- 39.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 78.2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
- Volume
- $124
Victor Osimhen39.1%39.1%0.2¢ bid, 78¢ askpolled, 28s ago78¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $128 (1.28x)Victor Osimhen39.1%Polymarket 39.1%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Victor Osimhen
39.1%
39.1%
0.2¢ bid, 78¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
78¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Victor Osimhen
39.1%
Polymarket 39.1%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 78¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $128 (1.28x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Victor Osimhen
- Last price
- 39.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 78¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $128 (1.28x)
- Volume
- $134
Leroy Sané37.2%37.2%0.2¢ bid, 74.1¢ askpolled, 28s ago74.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $135 (1.35x)Leroy Sané37.2%Polymarket 37.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 74.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Leroy Sané
37.2%
37.2%
0.2¢ bid, 74.1¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
74.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Leroy Sané
37.2%
Polymarket 37.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 74.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Leroy Sané
- Last price
- 37.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 74.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $135 (1.35x)
- Volume
- $402
Kylian Mbappé15%15%1¢ bid, 29¢ askpolled, 28s ago29¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $345 (3.45x)Kylian Mbappé15%Polymarket 15%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kylian Mbappé
15%
15%
1¢ bid, 29¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
29¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Kylian Mbappé
15%
Polymarket 15%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kylian Mbappé
- Last price
- 15%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 29¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $345 (3.45x)
- Volume
- $274
Pedri12.2%12.2%0.6¢ bid, 23.8¢ askpolled, 28s ago23.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $420 (4.20x)Pedri12.2%Polymarket 12.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 23.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $420 (4.20x)
Pedri
12.2%
12.2%
0.6¢ bid, 23.8¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
23.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $420 (4.20x)
Pedri
12.2%
Polymarket 12.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 23.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $420 (4.20x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Pedri
- Last price
- 12.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 23.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $420 (4.20x)
- Volume
- $1K
Michael Olise9.8%9.8%0.7¢ bid, 18.8¢ askpolled, 28s ago18.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $532 (5.32x)Michael Olise9.8%Polymarket 9.8%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 18.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $532 (5.32x)
Michael Olise
9.8%
9.8%
0.7¢ bid, 18.8¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
18.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $532 (5.32x)
Michael Olise
9.8%
Polymarket 9.8%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 18.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $532 (5.32x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Michael Olise
- Last price
- 9.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 18.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.7¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $532 (5.32x)
- Volume
- $210
Lamine Yamal6%6%2¢ bid, 10¢ askpolled, 28s ago10¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)Lamine Yamal6%Polymarket 6%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Lamine Yamal
6%
6%
2¢ bid, 10¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
10¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Lamine Yamal
6%
Polymarket 6%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lamine Yamal
- Last price
- 6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 10¢
- Sell Yes
- 2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,000 (10.0x)
- Volume
- $242
Show 18 more outcomesHide 18 outcomes
Erling Haaland4.5%4.5%1¢ bid, 8¢ askpolled, 28s ago8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)Erling Haaland4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Erling Haaland
4.5%
4.5%
1¢ bid, 8¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Erling Haaland
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,250 (12.5x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Erling Haaland
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8¢
- Sell Yes
- 1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,250 (12.5x)
- Volume
- $175
Jamal Musiala4.5%4.5%0.4¢ bid, 8.6¢ askpolled, 28s ago8.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)Jamal Musiala4.5%Polymarket 4.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Jamal Musiala
4.5%
4.5%
0.4¢ bid, 8.6¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
8.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Jamal Musiala
4.5%
Polymarket 4.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 8.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,163 (11.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jamal Musiala
- Last price
- 4.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 8.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,163 (11.6x)
- Volume
- $127
Harry Kane4.1%4.1%0.3¢ bid, 7.8¢ askpolled, 28s ago7.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)Harry Kane4.1%Polymarket 4.1%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Harry Kane
4.1%
4.1%
0.3¢ bid, 7.8¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
7.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Harry Kane
4.1%
Polymarket 4.1%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 7.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,282 (12.8x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Harry Kane
- Last price
- 4.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,282 (12.8x)
- Volume
- $3K
Bukayo Saka3.9%3.9%0.1¢ bid, 7.7¢ askpolled, 28s ago7.7¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)Bukayo Saka3.9%Polymarket 3.9%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Bukayo Saka
3.9%
3.9%
0.1¢ bid, 7.7¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
7.7¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Bukayo Saka
3.9%
Polymarket 3.9%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 7.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,299 (13.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bukayo Saka
- Last price
- 3.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.7¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.1¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,299 (13.0x)
- Volume
- $4K
Romelu Lukaku3.8%3.8%0.2¢ bid, 7.3¢ askpolled, 28s ago7.3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)Romelu Lukaku3.8%Polymarket 3.8%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Romelu Lukaku
3.8%
3.8%
0.2¢ bid, 7.3¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
7.3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Romelu Lukaku
3.8%
Polymarket 3.8%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 7.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,370 (13.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Romelu Lukaku
- Last price
- 3.8%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 7.3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,370 (13.7x)
- Volume
- $124
Martin Ødegaard3.6%3.6%0.6¢ bid, 6.6¢ askpolled, 28s ago6.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)Martin Ødegaard3.6%Polymarket 3.6%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Martin Ødegaard
3.6%
3.6%
0.6¢ bid, 6.6¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
6.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Martin Ødegaard
3.6%
Polymarket 3.6%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Martin Ødegaard
- Last price
- 3.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,515 (15.2x)
- Volume
- $124
Paulo Dybala3.5%3.5%0.2¢ bid, 6.8¢ askpolled, 28s ago6.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)Paulo Dybala3.5%Polymarket 3.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Paulo Dybala
3.5%
3.5%
0.2¢ bid, 6.8¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
6.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Paulo Dybala
3.5%
Polymarket 3.5%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Paulo Dybala
- Last price
- 3.5%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,471 (14.7x)
- Volume
- $128
Vinícius Júnior3.4%3.4%0.4¢ bid, 6.4¢ askpolled, 28s ago6.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)Vinícius Júnior3.4%Polymarket 3.4%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Vinícius Júnior
3.4%
3.4%
0.4¢ bid, 6.4¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
6.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Vinícius Júnior
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Vinícius Júnior
- Last price
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,563 (15.6x)
- Volume
- $134
Vitinha3.4%3.4%0.4¢ bid, 6.4¢ askpolled, 28s ago6.4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)Vitinha3.4%Polymarket 3.4%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Vitinha
3.4%
3.4%
0.4¢ bid, 6.4¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
6.4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Vitinha
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 6.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,563 (15.6x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Vitinha
- Last price
- 3.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,563 (15.6x)
- Volume
- $134
Alexander Isak3.3%3.3%0.4¢ bid, 6.1¢ askpolled, 28s ago6.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)Alexander Isak3.3%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Alexander Isak
3.3%
3.3%
0.4¢ bid, 6.1¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
6.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Alexander Isak
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Alexander Isak
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,639 (16.4x)
- Volume
- $133
Jude Bellingham3.3%3.3%0.4¢ bid, 6.1¢ askpolled, 28s ago6.1¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)Jude Bellingham3.3%Polymarket 3.3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Jude Bellingham
3.3%
3.3%
0.4¢ bid, 6.1¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
6.1¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Jude Bellingham
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 6.1¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,639 (16.4x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Jude Bellingham
- Last price
- 3.3%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 6.1¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.4¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,639 (16.4x)
- Volume
- $133
Lautaro Martínez3.2%3.2%0.6¢ bid, 5.8¢ askpolled, 28s ago5.8¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)Lautaro Martínez3.2%Polymarket 3.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Lautaro Martínez
3.2%
3.2%
0.6¢ bid, 5.8¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
5.8¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Lautaro Martínez
3.2%
Polymarket 3.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,724 (17.2x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Lautaro Martínez
- Last price
- 3.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.8¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.6¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,724 (17.2x)
- Volume
- $164
Kevin De Bruyne2.9%2.9%0.2¢ bid, 5.6¢ askpolled, 28s ago5.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)Kevin De Bruyne2.9%Polymarket 2.9%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Kevin De Bruyne
2.9%
2.9%
0.2¢ bid, 5.6¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
5.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Kevin De Bruyne
2.9%
Polymarket 2.9%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 5.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,786 (17.9x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Kevin De Bruyne
- Last price
- 2.9%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 5.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $1,786 (17.9x)
- Volume
- $134
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia2.2%2.2%0.3¢ bid, 4¢ askpolled, 28s ago4¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)Khvicha Kvaratskhelia2.2%Polymarket 2.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2.2%
2.2%
0.3¢ bid, 4¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
4¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,500 (25.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
- Last price
- 2.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 4¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $2,500 (25.0x)
- Volume
- $329
Florian Wirtz1.6%1.6%0.2¢ bid, 3¢ askpolled, 28s ago3¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)Florian Wirtz1.6%Polymarket 1.6%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Florian Wirtz
1.6%
1.6%
0.2¢ bid, 3¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
3¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Florian Wirtz
1.6%
Polymarket 1.6%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,333 (33.3x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Florian Wirtz
- Last price
- 1.6%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 3¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $3,333 (33.3x)
- Volume
- $132
Ousmane Dembélé1.2%1.2%0.3¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 28s ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Ousmane Dembélé1.2%Polymarket 1.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ousmane Dembélé
1.2%
1.2%
0.3¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Ousmane Dembélé
1.2%
Polymarket 1.2%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Ousmane Dembélé
- Last price
- 1.2%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.3¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $116
Rafael Leão1.1%1.1%0.2¢ bid, 2¢ askpolled, 28s ago2¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)Rafael Leão1.1%Polymarket 1.1%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Rafael Leão
1.1%
1.1%
0.2¢ bid, 2¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
2¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Rafael Leão
1.1%
Polymarket 1.1%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $5,000 (50.0x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Rafael Leão
- Last price
- 1.1%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 2¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $5,000 (50.0x)
- Volume
- $133
Bruno Fernandes0.4%0.4%0.2¢ bid, 0.6¢ askpolled, 28s ago0.6¢ on Polymarket$100 pays $16,667 (167x)Bruno Fernandes0.4%Polymarket 0.4%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Bruno Fernandes
0.4%
0.4%
0.2¢ bid, 0.6¢ ask
polled, 28s ago
0.6¢ on Polymarket
$100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Bruno Fernandes
0.4%
Polymarket 0.4%polled, 28s agoBest Yes 0.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $16,667 (167x)
Polymarket
- Contract
- Bruno Fernandes
- Last price
- 0.4%
- As of
- Polled just now
- Buy Yes
- 0.6¢
- Sell Yes
- 0.2¢
- $100 on Yes pays
- $16,667 (167x)
- Volume
- $114
Who resolves this market
- Polymarket resolves via:
- UMA optimistic oracle
How the odds have moved
The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.
- Raphinha
- Serhou Guirassy
- Viktor Gyökeres
Order books
Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.
What your stake buys
Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.
$
Buy
Loading both order books…
Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.
About this market
Live prediction market odds for "UEFA Champions League: Most Player of the Match Awards 2026-27". Raphinha leads at 44.5%. Next is Serhou Guirassy at 43.3%. $12K has traded across 28 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 19, 2027.
This market will resolve to the player who collects the most Player of the Match awards through all rounds of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by UEFA. If multiple leaders are announced, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 Champions League competition is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Questions
What does the consensus price mean?
It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.
How is the payout worked out?
A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.
Why do the venues show different prices?
Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.
Is a price gap an arbitrage?
Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.
How fresh are these prices?
Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.
More sports markets
See all sports markets- F1 Drivers' ChampionKimi Antonelli97.9%$204.6M traded
- 2027 Pro Football ChampionSan Francisco18%$195.8M traded
- Pro Baseball ChampionMilwaukee65.2%$133.8M traded
- College Football National Championship WinnerGeorgia16%$63.8M traded
- 2027 Pro Basketball ChampionOklahoma City25%$45.1M traded
- MVP Winner?Josh Allen28%$36.7M traded