The Prediction Markets

UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 final

Closes
May 9, 2027, in 7 months
Traded
$9K
Venues
Polymarket, Kalshi
Prices updated
just now
Share

What the markets expect

Spain 73%

Next is France at 47%. The venues differ most on Club Brugge (Polymarket 4.6%, Kalshi 24.5%), a 20-point gap.

Odds by venue

Consensus blends each venue’s last price, weighted by how much has traded there. Best Yes price is the cheapest ask across venues, and the payout is what a winning $100 stake returns before fees. Open a row for each venue’s contract name, bid and ask, and how closely their rules match.

Prices come from our regular polls of each venue, the oldest 1 min ago. Ages are as of when this page was built.

  • Polymarket
  • Kalshi
Spain
73%
Kalshi 73%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 74¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $135 (1.35x)
Kalshi
Contract
Spain
Last price
73%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
74¢
Sell Yes
11¢
$100 on Yes pays
$135 (1.35x)
Volume
$37
Trade this on Kalshi
France
47%
Kalshi 47%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 47¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $213 (2.13x)
Kalshi
Contract
France
Last price
47%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
30¢
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Volume
$94
Trade this on Kalshi
PSG
43%
Kalshi 43%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 43¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $233 (2.33x)
Kalshi
Contract
PSG
Last price
43%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
43¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$233 (2.33x)
Volume
$60
Trade this on Kalshi
Barcelona
38.3%
Polymarket 36.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 41%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 38¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $263 (2.63x)
Polymarket
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
36.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
38¢
Sell Yes
35¢
$100 on Yes pays
$263 (2.63x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Barcelona
Last price
41%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
42¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$238 (2.38x)
Volume
$867
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 34¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 38¢.

Portugal
34%
Kalshi 34%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 59¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $169 (1.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Portugal
Last price
34%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
59¢
Sell Yes
34¢
$100 on Yes pays
$169 (1.69x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Real MadridArb
30.5%
Polymarket 20%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 34%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 21¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
20%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
19¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Real Madrid
Last price
34%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
25¢
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Volume
$116
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 21¢ and selling on Kalshi at 25¢ nets 400 bps before fees.

Paris Saint-Germain
28%
Polymarket 28%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 29¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $345 (3.45x)
Polymarket
Contract
Paris Saint-Germain
Last price
28%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
27¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Arsenal
27.2%
Polymarket 25%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 28%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 27¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $370 (3.70x)
Polymarket
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
25%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
27¢
Sell Yes
23¢
$100 on Yes pays
$370 (3.70x)
Volume
$161
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Arsenal
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
40¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$250 (2.50x)
Volume
$409
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 23¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 40¢.

Bayern MunichArb
25.5%
Polymarket 23%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 28%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
23%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
22¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Bayern Munich
Last price
28%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
39¢
Sell Yes
28¢
$100 on Yes pays
$256 (2.56x)
Volume
$333
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

Buying on Polymarket at 24¢ and selling on Kalshi at 28¢ nets 400 bps before fees.

Atletico
25%
Kalshi 25%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 50¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $200 (2.00x)
Kalshi
Contract
Atletico
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Show 52 more outcomes
LASK
24.9%
Polymarket 25.4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 24.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
LASK
Last price
25.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
LASK
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 49¢.

Sporting CP
24.7%
Polymarket 24.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 24.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sporting CP
Last price
24.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Sporting CP
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 49¢.

Inter
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Inter
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Stuttgart
24.5%
Kalshi 24.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
Stuttgart
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Bodø/Glimt
23%
Kalshi 23%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 46¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $217 (2.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Bodoe/Glimt
Last price
23%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
46¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$217 (2.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Dortmund
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Dortmund
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Leipzig
22%
Kalshi 22%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 44¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $227 (2.27x)
Kalshi
Contract
Leipzig
Last price
22%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
44¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$227 (2.27x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Netherlands
21%
Kalshi 21%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 21¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $476 (4.76x)
Kalshi
Contract
Netherlands
Last price
21%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
21¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$476 (4.76x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Kalshi
Galatasaray
19%
Polymarket 13%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 25%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 25.3¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $395 (3.95x)
Polymarket
Contract
Galatasaray
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25.3¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$395 (3.95x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Galatasaray
Last price
25%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 50¢.

Lille
18.6%
Polymarket 12.8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 24.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 24.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $403 (4.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lille
Last price
12.8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24.8¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$403 (4.03x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lille
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 49¢.

PSV Eindhoven
18.3%
Polymarket 12.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 24.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
PSV Eindhoven
Last price
12.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
PSV Eindhoven
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 49¢.

Slavia Prague
18.3%
Polymarket 24.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 12%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slavia Prague
Last price
24.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Slavia Prague
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 24¢.

Como
17.2%
Polymarket 10.3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 24%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 19.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $503 (5.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
Como
Last price
10.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19.9¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$503 (5.03x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Como
Last price
24%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
48¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$208 (2.08x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 48¢.

England
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 49¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $204 (2.04x)
Kalshi
Contract
England
Last price
17%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Volume
$1K
Trade this on Kalshi
Shakhtar
17%
Kalshi 17%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 34¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $294 (2.94x)
Kalshi
Contract
Shakhtar
Last price
17%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
34¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$294 (2.94x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Real Betis
16.8%
Polymarket 10.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 23.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 19.7¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $508 (5.08x)
Polymarket
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
10.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19.7¢
Sell Yes
0.7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$508 (5.08x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Real Betis
Last price
23.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
47¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$213 (2.13x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 47¢.

Liverpool
16.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 22.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 12¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $833 (8.33x)
Polymarket
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
12¢
Sell Yes
9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$833 (8.33x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Liverpool
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 45¢.

Manchester United
16.3%
Polymarket 8%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 24.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 10¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
8%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$421
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester United
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 49¢.

Manchester City
16%
Polymarket 16%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 16%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 18¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $556 (5.56x)
Polymarket
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
18¢
Sell Yes
14¢
$100 on Yes pays
$556 (5.56x)
Volume
$71
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Manchester City
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
29¢
Sell Yes
16¢
$100 on Yes pays
$345 (3.45x)
Volume
$278
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 16¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 18¢.

Germany
16%
Kalshi 16%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Kalshi
Contract
Germany
Last price
16%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$8
Trade this on Kalshi
Aston Villa
15.8%
Polymarket 9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 22.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 11¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Polymarket
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
7¢
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Aston Villa
Last price
22.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
45¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$222 (2.22x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 7¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 45¢.

Belgium
15%
Kalshi 15%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 15¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $667 (6.67x)
Kalshi
Contract
Belgium
Last price
15%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
15¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$667 (6.67x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Club Brugge
14.6%
Polymarket 4.6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 24.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 6.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,515 (15.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Club Brugge
Last price
4.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.6¢
Sell Yes
2.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,515 (15.2x)
Volume
$223
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Club Brugge
Last price
24.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
49¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$204 (2.04x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2.6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 49¢.

Porto
14.2%
Polymarket 12.3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 16%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 16¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Porto
Last price
12.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
0.6¢
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Porto
Last price
16%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Volume
$18
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.6¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 16¢.

Italy
14%
Kalshi 14%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 14¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $714 (7.14x)
Kalshi
Contract
Italy
Last price
14%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
14¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$714 (7.14x)
Volume
$10
Trade this on Kalshi
Greece
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Greece
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$3
Trade this on Kalshi
Norway
13%
Kalshi 13%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Norway
Last price
13%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$6
Trade this on Kalshi
Slovan Bratislava
12.6%
Polymarket 13.2%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 12%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Slovan Bratislava
Last price
13.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
25.4¢
Sell Yes
0.9¢
$100 on Yes pays
$394 (3.94x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Slovan Bratislava
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.9¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 24¢.

Lens
12.2%
Polymarket 12.4%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 12%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Polymarket
Contract
Lens
Last price
12.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
24.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$407 (4.07x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Lens
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 24¢.

Roma
12%
Polymarket 6%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 18%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,111 (11.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Roma
Last price
6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,111 (11.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Roma
Last price
18%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
36¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$278 (2.78x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 3¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 36¢.

Sabah Masazir
12%
Kalshi 12%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 24¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $417 (4.17x)
Kalshi
Contract
Sabah Masazir
Last price
12%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
24¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$417 (4.17x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Napoli
11.8%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 18.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 9.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,010 (10.1x)
Polymarket
Contract
Napoli
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
9.9¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,010 (10.1x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Napoli
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 37¢.

Denmark
11%
Kalshi 11%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 11¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $909 (9.09x)
Kalshi
Contract
Denmark
Last price
11%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
11¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$909 (9.09x)
Volume
$2
Trade this on Kalshi
VfB Stuttgart
10.6%
Polymarket 10.6%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $503 (5.03x)
Polymarket
Contract
VfB Stuttgart
Last price
10.6%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19.9¢
Sell Yes
1.3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$503 (5.03x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Inter Milan
10.5%
Polymarket 10.5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 19¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $526 (5.26x)
Polymarket
Contract
Inter Milan
Last price
10.5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Fenerbahçe
10.3%
Polymarket 10.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 20¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $500 (5.00x)
Polymarket
Contract
Fenerbahçe
Last price
10.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
20¢
Sell Yes
0.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$500 (5.00x)
Trade this on Polymarket
AEK Athens
10.2%
Polymarket 1.9%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 18.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 3.6¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,778 (27.8x)
Polymarket
Contract
AEK Athens
Last price
1.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.6¢
Sell Yes
0.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,778 (27.8x)
Volume
$81
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
AEK Athens
Last price
18.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
37¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$270 (2.70x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 37¢.

Croatia
10%
Kalshi 10%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Croatia
Last price
10%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Volume
$4
Trade this on Kalshi
Atlético Madrid
9%
Polymarket 9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 16¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $625 (6.25x)
Polymarket
Contract
Atlético Madrid
Last price
9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
16¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$625 (6.25x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Viking
8.6%
Polymarket 4.7%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 12.5%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 7.9¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,266 (12.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Viking
Last price
4.7%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
7.9¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,266 (12.7x)
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Viking
Last price
12.5%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
25¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$400 (4.00x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 1.5¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 25¢.

Czechia
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Czechia
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Serbia
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Serbia
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Turkiye
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Turkiye
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Wales
5%
Kalshi 5%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 10¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $1,000 (10.0x)
Kalshi
Contract
Wales
Last price
5%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
10¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$1,000 (10.0x)
Trade this on Kalshi
Bodø/Glimt
4.9%
Polymarket 4.9%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 6.8¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,471 (14.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Bodø/Glimt
Last price
4.9%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
6.8¢
Sell Yes
3¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,471 (14.7x)
Volume
$120
Trade this on Polymarket
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.4%
Polymarket 3.4%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,923 (19.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Shakhtar Donetsk
Last price
3.4%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.2¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,923 (19.2x)
Volume
$280
Trade this on Polymarket
Borussia Dortmund
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5.5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,818 (18.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Borussia Dortmund
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5.5¢
Sell Yes
1.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,818 (18.2x)
Volume
$41
Trade this on Polymarket
RB Leipzig
3.3%
Polymarket 3.3%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 5¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $2,000 (20.0x)
Polymarket
Contract
RB Leipzig
Last price
3.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
5¢
Sell Yes
1.5¢
$100 on Yes pays
$2,000 (20.0x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Villarreal
2.8%
Polymarket 5.1%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 2%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 8.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $1,220 (12.2x)
Polymarket
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
5.1%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
8.2¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$1,220 (12.2x)
Volume
$21
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Villarreal
Last price
2%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
19¢
Sell Yes
2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$526 (5.26x)
Volume
$160
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 2¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 8.2¢.

Sabah
2.2%
Polymarket 2.2%polled, 1 min agoBest Yes 3.2¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $3,125 (31.3x)
Polymarket
Contract
Sabah
Last price
2.2%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
3.2¢
Sell Yes
1.2¢
$100 on Yes pays
$3,125 (31.3x)
Volume
$312
Trade this on Polymarket
Feyenoord
1.2%
Polymarket 1.3%polled, 1 min agoKalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 2.4¢ on Polymarket, $100 pays $4,167 (41.7x)
Polymarket
Contract
Feyenoord
Last price
1.3%
As of
Polled 1 min ago
Buy Yes
2.4¢
Sell Yes
0.1¢
$100 on Yes pays
$4,167 (41.7x)
Volume
$420
Trade this on Polymarket
Kalshi
Contract
Feyenoord
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
50¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$200 (2.00x)
Volume
$32
Trade this on Kalshi
Same label, rules unverified

Labels suggest the same named outcome; no persisted outcome identity or settlement parity is verified.

No arbitrage: the best bid elsewhere is 0.1¢, at or below the cheapest ask of 50¢.

Fenerbahce
1%
Kalshi 1%polled, 16s agoBest Yes 13¢ on Kalshi, $100 pays $769 (7.69x)
Kalshi
Contract
Fenerbahce
Last price
1%
As of
Polled just now
Buy Yes
13¢
Sell Yes
—
$100 on Yes pays
$769 (7.69x)
Volume
$376
Trade this on Kalshi

Possible arbitrage before fees: buy Bayern Munich on Polymarket at 24¢, sell on Kalshi at 28¢ (400 bps). Check the rules below before trading. See all live spreads

Mostly the same bet: one difference

Where they differ

  • Trading closes at different times: May 9, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and May 20, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.
Polymarket
Polymarket resolves via:
UMA optimistic oracle
Kalshi
Kalshi resolves via:
Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange), source: ESPN, ESPN, UEFA
Show full rule comparison
  • Trading closes May 9, 2027, 11:59 PM UTC on Polymarket and May 20, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC on Kalshi.

Summarized from each venue’s published rules; the venue’s own rules page is the final word.

How the odds have moved

The top 3 outcomes on both venues, with the consensus between them. Hover for exact values.

  • Spain
  • France
  • PSG

Order books

Each venue’s resting orders for the selected outcome’s Yes contract, side by side. Top of book streams live; depth refreshes every 15 seconds.

Polymarket

Polymarket doesn’t list Spain for this event.

Kalshi

Open on Kalshi ↗

Top of book

Connecting
Best bid
—
Spread
—
Best ask
—

Waiting for the first live quote…

Depth · top 8 levels

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Recent trades

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What your stake buys

Enter a stake to see where it buys the most after fees, using each venue’s live order book.

$
Buy

Loading both order books…

Buys at the asks resting now (taker orders), cheapest after fees first, from order-book snapshots up to 15 seconds old. Fees: Kalshi 0.07 × price × (1 − price) per share, rounded up to the cent; Polymarket 0.05 × price × (1 − price) per share (sports rate). Fee calculator. Estimates only, not advice.

About this market

Live prediction market odds for "UEFA Champions League: Team to advance to 2027 final". Spain leads at 73%. Next is France at 47%. $9K has traded across 62 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by May 9, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team reaches the 2027 UEFA Champions League final. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2027 UEFA Champions League final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 UEFA Champions League is cancelled, postponed after June 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or the 2027 UEFA Champions League final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Questions

What does the consensus price mean?

It is the price of a Yes contract that pays $1 if the outcome happens. A 14¢ price means traders put the chance near 14%. Where two venues list the same outcome, we blend their last prices, weighting the venue with more trading volume more heavily (neither counts for less than a quarter). When only one outcome can win, each venue’s prices add up to a little over 100% (its margin); the fair chance removes that margin so the outcomes add up to exactly 100%.

How is the payout worked out?

A Yes contract pays $1 if it wins, so at the best ask a $100 stake buys 100 ÷ ask contracts. At 18¢ that is about 555 contracts, paying $556 (5.56x) if Yes happens. Venue fees and price slippage on larger orders are not included.

Why do the venues show different prices?

Each venue has its own traders, fees and order book. Contracts can also settle on slightly different terms, which is why each row lists how closely the rules match.

Is a price gap an arbitrage?

Only when you can buy Yes on one venue below what someone pays for Yes on the other, after fees, and both contracts settle the same way. We show the executable bid and ask so you can check.

How fresh are these prices?

Venue prices refresh every few minutes, and the order book and live quotes stream continuously. Each venue’s card shows when we last observed it.

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